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Heading for a Catastrophe in Kashmir

Khan_21

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https://thewire.in/119763/heading-catastrophe-kashmir/

Villagers in Kashmir, who used to remain aloof from the conflict, are now prepared to die in order to save militants under siege.
budgam-encounter.jpg

A group of youth pelting stones on security forces during an anti-militant operation at village Durbugh in Chadoora area of central Kashmir’s Budgam district on Tuesday. One militant and three civilians were killed in the operation. Credit: PTI/S. Irfan

Predictions of war are universally unpopular and therefore seldom taken seriously. But there is a real possibility that the country might find itself embroiled in one in Kashmir by the end if this summer. The reason is that instead of using the respite given by winter to cool tempers down after the mass uprising of last summer and restart a political dialogue that could lead to peace, the security forces and Kashmir police have spent the entire winter hunting down militants, mostly in South Kashmir, and killing them when ‘necessary’.

The killing of three local youths and the injuring of at least 18 others who threw themselves upon the police and CRPF in a vain attempt to allow a militant hiding in a village in Budgam district to escape, could ignite the fuse. If that happens, the blame will rest squarely upon Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his shadowy mentors in the RSS.

In November last year, there was a palpable feeling of relief in the Valley. The Hurriyat had gained a modicum of control over the youth, stone pelting had ended, schools had re-opened and buses and taxis had begun to ply once more. This relief was fed by numerous visits from members of Indian civil society, culminating in a delegation led by former BJP foreign minister Yashwant Sinha. This came alongside statements made by former home minister P. Chidambaram and others that the political contract with Kashmir needed to be rewritten within the framework of the Instrument of Accession, and by a seemingly heartfelt commitment from the prime minister to a delegation of Kashmiri opposition parties that he would welcome any initiative for restoring peace within the framework of the Indian constitution.

But since then, Delhi has done absolutely nothing to start a process of dialogue and reconciliation. Instead, it has continued with its six-year-long mindless attempt to control militancy by killing militants one by one, like rats in a granary.

Winter, their counter-terrorism ‘strategists’ have convinced them, is the best time to do so. The severe cold forces militants to move out of their hideouts in the upper ranges of the Pir Panjal and take shelter in the villages. This makes it relatively easy to locate and eliminate them. When informed of the arrival of a militant in a village, security forces mount a cordon-and-search operation to capture or kill him. So far, most of them have ended up dead. This has reinforced the view, among militants, that the Indian state will give them no quarter, so it is better to die fighting. As a result, gun battles have invariably ensued and the militants killed.

What is new today is the reaction of the villagers. In the 1990s, and especially from 1999 till 2008, the villagers stayed aloof from the conflict, with many secretly welcoming the intervention of the security forces. Since the end of 2015, however, they have begun to throw themselves between the security forces and the militants and court death in order to allow the latter to escape.

Also read: Use of Pellet Guns Has Caused a Public Health Crisis in Kashmir

The significance of this change seems to have escaped Delhi altogether. It means that the villagers, and particularly the youth, now identify with the militants so completely that they are willing to give up their lives to protect them. Since they are unarmed, they are using stones to drive away the security forces. But should they find a source of arms, they will not hesitate to use them in the future. That source lies just across the Line of Control.

Thanks to the fence along the Indo-Pak border, smuggling arms across the LoC is no longer as easy as it used to be. But all that it can do is turn a flood into a trickle. Militants have been crossing the LoC and the international border in small numbers every year. Arms are beginning to appear in the Valley. If the Modi government insists upon relying on force alone to end militancy, the fence will only delay the onset of a full-scale armed rebellion in the Valley.

The difference between this insurrection and the one that began in 1989 is that the latter began against a background of prolonged peace, in a Valley that hardly knew crime, let alone mega-death. The next one will take place against a backdrop of 28 years of incessant violence, repression and violations of human rights. In 1990, Kashmiris, with very few exceptions, respected the Indian constitution, envied other Indians and the freedoms they enjoyed under it and wanted that freedom and empowerment for themselves. Today, they have lost that faith in Indian democracy, no longer consider India a secular country wedded to religious freedom and are convinced that no Indian government will respect Kashmir’s unique ethno-national identity. As a consequence they believe there is, therefore, nothing to be gained from remaining a part of India.

The Budgam deaths have closed down the Valley. But it is too soon to tell whether the anger will be contained or fly out of control as happened after Burhan Wani’s death. Should it die down, New Delhi, indeed India, will get one last chance to offer the Kashmiris what they have always wanted since 1947 – a place of honour within the Indian ethno-federal mosaic. Modi has not shown any inclination towards doing this so far, but even if he has a change of heart now, he will not find it easy because Pakistan’s security apparatus will do its best to thwart a return to peace.

One way it could try to do this would be to allow the Lashkar-e-Tayyaba, the Jaish-e-Muhammad and others to send mujahideen to Kashmir. If they do that, then war will become difficult to avoid. Modi will need to exercise restraint and show sagacity in dealing with the twin threats India will face. These are not qualities that he is famous for.

Liked the story? We’re a non-profit. Make a donation and help pay for our journalism.
 
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The worst time for Kashmir was during the 90s , I don't think the situation now is worse than that.
I think the Kashmiri freedom movement has been hijacked by the Islamist ISIS type groups, they don't care about the minorities in Kashmir, they just want to establish an Islamic state there.
There will be very few takers for such groups in the international stage.
 
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Only one it will be a catastrophe for are Kashmiri stone Pelters.
 
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The worst time for Kashmir was during the 90s , I don't think the situation now is worse than that.
I think the Kashmiri freedom movement has been hijacked by the Islamist ISIS type groups, they don't care about the minorities in Kashmir, they just want to establish an Islamic state there.
There will be very few takers for such groups in the international stage.

There was never any regionalism there but only religion. Why do you not see non-sunni Kashmiris not having any issues? The non-muslims there are as such proud of being Indians, now unfortunately kicked out of their own homeland in their own country.

It was always about demographic warfare.

Hence that state is seeing such chaos.

https://thewire.in/119763/heading-catastrophe-kashmir/

Villagers in Kashmir, who used to remain aloof from the conflict, are now prepared to die in order to save militants under siege.
budgam-encounter.jpg

A group of youth pelting stones on security forces during an anti-militant operation at village Durbugh in Chadoora area of central Kashmir’s Budgam district on Tuesday. One militant and three civilians were killed in the operation. Credit: PTI/S. Irfan

Predictions of war are universally unpopular and therefore seldom taken seriously. But there is a real possibility that the country might find itself embroiled in one in Kashmir by the end if this summer. The reason is that instead of using the respite given by winter to cool tempers down after the mass uprising of last summer and restart a political dialogue that could lead to peace, the security forces and Kashmir police have spent the entire winter hunting down militants, mostly in South Kashmir, and killing them when ‘necessary’.

The killing of three local youths and the injuring of at least 18 others who threw themselves upon the police and CRPF in a vain attempt to allow a militant hiding in a village in Budgam district to escape, could ignite the fuse. If that happens, the blame will rest squarely upon Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his shadowy mentors in the RSS.

In November last year, there was a palpable feeling of relief in the Valley. The Hurriyat had gained a modicum of control over the youth, stone pelting had ended, schools had re-opened and buses and taxis had begun to ply once more. This relief was fed by numerous visits from members of Indian civil society, culminating in a delegation led by former BJP foreign minister Yashwant Sinha. This came alongside statements made by former home minister P. Chidambaram and others that the political contract with Kashmir needed to be rewritten within the framework of the Instrument of Accession, and by a seemingly heartfelt commitment from the prime minister to a delegation of Kashmiri opposition parties that he would welcome any initiative for restoring peace within the framework of the Indian constitution.

But since then, Delhi has done absolutely nothing to start a process of dialogue and reconciliation. Instead, it has continued with its six-year-long mindless attempt to control militancy by killing militants one by one, like rats in a granary.

Winter, their counter-terrorism ‘strategists’ have convinced them, is the best time to do so. The severe cold forces militants to move out of their hideouts in the upper ranges of the Pir Panjal and take shelter in the villages. This makes it relatively easy to locate and eliminate them. When informed of the arrival of a militant in a village, security forces mount a cordon-and-search operation to capture or kill him. So far, most of them have ended up dead. This has reinforced the view, among militants, that the Indian state will give them no quarter, so it is better to die fighting. As a result, gun battles have invariably ensued and the militants killed.

What is new today is the reaction of the villagers. In the 1990s, and especially from 1999 till 2008, the villagers stayed aloof from the conflict, with many secretly welcoming the intervention of the security forces. Since the end of 2015, however, they have begun to throw themselves between the security forces and the militants and court death in order to allow the latter to escape.

Also read: Use of Pellet Guns Has Caused a Public Health Crisis in Kashmir

The significance of this change seems to have escaped Delhi altogether. It means that the villagers, and particularly the youth, now identify with the militants so completely that they are willing to give up their lives to protect them. Since they are unarmed, they are using stones to drive away the security forces. But should they find a source of arms, they will not hesitate to use them in the future. That source lies just across the Line of Control.

Thanks to the fence along the Indo-Pak border, smuggling arms across the LoC is no longer as easy as it used to be. But all that it can do is turn a flood into a trickle. Militants have been crossing the LoC and the international border in small numbers every year. Arms are beginning to appear in the Valley. If the Modi government insists upon relying on force alone to end militancy, the fence will only delay the onset of a full-scale armed rebellion in the Valley.

The difference between this insurrection and the one that began in 1989 is that the latter began against a background of prolonged peace, in a Valley that hardly knew crime, let alone mega-death. The next one will take place against a backdrop of 28 years of incessant violence, repression and violations of human rights. In 1990, Kashmiris, with very few exceptions, respected the Indian constitution, envied other Indians and the freedoms they enjoyed under it and wanted that freedom and empowerment for themselves. Today, they have lost that faith in Indian democracy, no longer consider India a secular country wedded to religious freedom and are convinced that no Indian government will respect Kashmir’s unique ethno-national identity. As a consequence they believe there is, therefore, nothing to be gained from remaining a part of India.

The Budgam deaths have closed down the Valley. But it is too soon to tell whether the anger will be contained or fly out of control as happened after Burhan Wani’s death. Should it die down, New Delhi, indeed India, will get one last chance to offer the Kashmiris what they have always wanted since 1947 – a place of honour within the Indian ethno-federal mosaic. Modi has not shown any inclination towards doing this so far, but even if he has a change of heart now, he will not find it easy because Pakistan’s security apparatus will do its best to thwart a return to peace.

One way it could try to do this would be to allow the Lashkar-e-Tayyaba, the Jaish-e-Muhammad and others to send mujahideen to Kashmir. If they do that, then war will become difficult to avoid. Modi will need to exercise restraint and show sagacity in dealing with the twin threats India will face. These are not qualities that he is famous for.

Liked the story? We’re a non-profit. Make a donation and help pay for our journalism.

Wow... how touching...

This is why they are 'ready to die' suddenly.

Hurriyat funding nefarious activities.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/indiahom...0/Kashmiri-stone-pelters-admit-paid-film.html
 
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There was never any regionalism there but only religion. Why do you not see non-sunni Kashmiris not having any issues? The non-muslims there are as such proud of being Indians, now unfortunately kicked out of their own homeland in their own country.

It was always about demographic warfare.

Hence that state is seeing such chaos.



Wow... how touching...

This is why they are 'ready to die' suddenly.

Hurriyat funding nefarious activities.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/indiahom...0/Kashmiri-stone-pelters-admit-paid-film.html
Their freedom movement lost all credibility when half a million Hindus were forced to flee their homeland just because of their faith. All these so called liberal, secular Kashmiri freedom groups were dead silent then.
 
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All these so called liberal, secular Kashmiri freedom groups were dead silent then.

There is nothing called "secular" in India. They are only "secular" when petro-dollar paid actions are needed to be done. Otherwise everything is acceptable.
 
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The worst time for Kashmir was during the 90s , I don't think the situation now is worse than that.
I think the Kashmiri freedom movement has been hijacked by the Islamist ISIS type groups, they don't care about the minorities in Kashmir, they just want to establish an Islamic state there.
There will be very few takers for such groups in the international stage.
ISSI very friendly towards Israel and India:coffee: or otherwise there would be a lot of terror if what you saying is correct.
 
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Hi ,Till Ajit Doval doctrine is there ,there is no hope for peace in all this region ,The offensive defensive doctrine where they think they can crush Kashmiri`s and there is no need to talk but fundamentally in this strategy there is a flaw i.e incompatibility of Kashmiris in Indian state system , Only time will tell where it will lead to ,Pak should keep her out of Military support to Kashmiri`s but morally they should raised it at every corner of the world in the end its Kashmiri`s themselves who has to fight for there right
 
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This will pass. I don,t think the violence is any where near as 1990' s
 
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It is catastrophe fir only terrorist's and and stone pelters...More will be gunned down
 
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The worst time for Kashmir was during the 90s , I don't think the situation now is worse than that.
I think the Kashmiri freedom movement has been hijacked by the Islamist ISIS type groups, they don't care about the minorities in Kashmir, they just want to establish an Islamic state there.
There will be very few takers for such groups in the international stage.

First of all its your story and secondly even if its true, does ISIS is Iraq or Syria care if there are any takers on the international stage
 
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In Kashmir, India is hanging with a sword, which is then hanging through a worn out thread. If sword wouldn't cut India in half, they are about to fall because of old thread. In 2017, who's ready to buy Indian story?
  • There was a king who "gave up his country to India" (by the way document of accession is not accepted by UN. They called for plebiscite in Kashmir despite fact that India had presented their piece of $hit).
  • And the king is dead and there is no kingship in Kashmir or India anymore
  • And countrymen of that "given up country" don't wana be part of India (they never did)
  • But since dead king had given up its country to India, that is why it is legal for India to continue to murder, kill and torture countrymen of Kashmir for-ever
  • Because the dead king had done something
  • And Kashmiris are bound to the will of that dead king for-ever.
You actually and factually just learned Indian stance on Kashmir.
 
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In Kashmir, India is hanging with a sword, which is then hanging through a worn out thread. If sword wouldn't cut India in half, they are about to fall because of old thread. In 2017, who's ready to buy Indian story?
  • There was a king who "gave up his country to India" (by the way document of accession is not accepted by UN. They called for plabscite in Kashmir despite fact that India had presented their peice of $hit).
  • And the king is dead and there is no kingship in Kashmir or India anymore
  • But countrymen of that "given up country" always hated India and still do
  • But since dead king had given up its country to India, that is why it is legal for India to continue to murder, kill and torture countrymen of Kashmir for ever.
It does not matter who beives our story or not.
Fact is that as the most powerful country in the region we will do in Kashmir as we please and no will be able to do anything to change that.
 
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First of all its your story and secondly even if its true, does ISIS is Iraq or Syria care if there are any takers on the international stage
I agree that it's my point of view, but it's not pulled out of a hat. You must have seen the ISIS flag being hoisted during protests and demonstration in Kashmir. Not just in Kashmir but also in many parts of India certain people are attracted to ISIS propoganda, I call them the caliphate people.
These Caliphate people are the ones coming from UK, USA, Turkey, Europe, India etc and joining ISIS ranks in iraq-syria.

So my assumption that ISIS has infiltrated Kashmir is not hogwash.
 
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It does not matter who beives our story or not.
Fact is that as the most powerful country in the region we will do in Kashmir as we please and no will be able to do anything to change that.

So all of your logical $hit and having a case of Kashmir is down the drain now? So you too agree that India is only holding Kashmir because it has muscle to hold - instead of reason to hold.

Kashmiris have won another Indian on their side. Congratulations!
 
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