Very true. Pakistan has revised its Nuclear doctrine from being the last resort option to being the first option. Pakistan is going to start the next war in Kashmir with a nuclear bang.
The Pink Flamingo on the Subcontinent: Nuclear War between India and Pakistan
David Barno and Nora Bensahel
November 3, 2015
A “pink flamingo” is the term recently coined by Frank Hoffman to describe predictable but ignored events that can yield disastrous results. Hoffman argues that these situations are fully visible, but almost entirely ignored by policymakers. Pink flamingos stand in stark contrast to “
black swans” — the unpredictable, even unforeseeable shocks whose outcomes may be entirely unknown.
The tense nuclear standoff between India and Pakistan may be the most dangerous pink flamingo in today’s world.
The Indian subcontinent — home to both India and Pakistan — remains among the most dangerous corners of the world, and continues to pose a deep threat to global stability and the current world order. Their 1,800-mile border is the only place in the world where two hostile, nuclear-armed states face off every day. And the risk of nuclear conflict has only continued to rise in the past few years, to the point that it is now a very real possibility.
India and Pakistan have fought three wars since they gained independence in 1947, including one that ended in 1971 with Pakistan losing approximately half its territory (present-day Bangladesh). Today, the disputed Line of Control that divides the disputed Kashmir region remains a particularly tense flash point. Both the Kargil crisis of 1999 and the 2001
attack on the Indian Parliament by Pakistan-supported militants brought both nations once again to the brink of war. Yet unlike earlier major wars, these two crises occurred after both India and Pakistan became nuclear-armed states. Quick and forceful diplomatic intervention played a pivotal role in preventing a larger conflict from erupting during each crisis.
These stakes are even higher, and more dangerous, today.
Since 2004, India has been developing a new military doctrine called Cold Start, a limited war option designed largely to deter Islamabad from sponsoring irregular attacks against New Delhi. It involves rapid conventional retaliation after any such attack, launching a number of quick armored assaults into Pakistan and
rapidly securing limited objectives that hypothetically remain below Pakistan’s nuclear threshold. In accordance with this doctrine, the Indian military is meant to
mobilize half a million troops in less than 72 hours.
Beyond the risks of runaway nuclear escalation, Pakistan’s growing tactical nuclear weapons program also brings a wide array of other destabilizing characteristics to this already unstable mix: the necessity to position these short-range weapons close to the border with India, making them more vulnerable to interdiction; the need to move and disperse these weapons during a crisis, thereby signaling a nuclear threat; and the prospects of local
A nuclear war between India and Pakistan would dramatically alter the world as we know it. The damage from fallout and blast, the deaths of potentially millions, and the environmental devastation of even a few weapons detonations would suddenly dwarf any other global problem. There are no shortage of conflicts and crises around the world demanding the attention of policymakers in Washington and other capitals. But the stakes of a war between two of the world’s most hostile nuclear powers deserves attention before the next inevitable flare-up. Taking a series of modest steps now to try to avert the worst outcomes from this dangerous pink flamingo hiding in plain sight is an investment well worth making.
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First of all Indians are so proud of 1971 war,
Pakistan could easily divided India in many smaller states in 1962 Indo-China war, when India was in simmilar situastion as pakistan in 1971, but Pakistan showed greatness by not striking when India was most vulnerable, but history has taught us that Indians do not let these opportunities go when they get simmilar oppertunities.
Its no doubt about it that it was the blounder of the centuary by Pakistan by not launching attack on India in 1962 and liberate Jammu & Kashmir. India did attack Pakistan in 1971 when Pakistan had internal security issues.
Pakistani armed forces must not let opportunities as these let go in future.
2.
If India launches a massive attack on Pakistan under its cold start doctrine on one or more locations at the border , then we must have it clear how we should react quickly to clear away as many Indians from our territory. Indians are so petty, you can expect anything from them. Then Pakistan has to use a weapons before Indian soliders enter into Pakistani territory and harass pakistanies. As long as the war is on borders its ok, but if Indians pentrate far inside pakistani side of the border then Pak army must launch attack.
Pakistan must also understand thats India's new friends will increase its capabilities in advance.
. On the other hand we are proud that we have been fighting with a 5 times Larger enemy with limited resources and also defeated them at many occasions . 
