The current deadly military clashes between the Indians and Chinese at Ladakh and other Indian occupied areas have surprised many of us. But, given the consistently aggressive, expansionist, and illegal actions by extremist Hindus-lead Modi government, these clashes are certainly not entirely unexpected. In fact, India has followed a well calibrated policy of gaining prolonged time under lame excuses and using that time to slowly but steadily taming down Kashmiri resistance and changing the status of Indian occupied sate of J&K. Indians slowly reduced the role of UN military observers deployed on their side of the LOC and then removed them (even though they are still deployed on Pakistani side) in an attempt to change the natures of the dispute from international to bilateral one and then finally to start calling it an internal Indian matter. By doing so, Indians were effectively renegading on all their promises made at the UN to the people of occupied J&K and the world community at large. In parallel, Indian government followed a well-planed strategy for removing the resentment in the people of occupied land by using strategies of stick and carrot, divide and conquer, and discrediting the freedom struggle by labeling it as terrorism. After Modi became the Indian prime minister, that well calibrated policy was replaced with a fascist approach to kill and crush the freedom struggle by using brutal force of more than 700,000 personnel. On 5 August 2019, Modi government also revoked the Indian constitution's article 370 that gave a special status to the state as a lollypop due to its disputed and sensitive nature. Modi took that action while completely failing in comprehending its far-reaching legal, political, and geostrategic consequences.
By unilaterally changing the status of a disputed territory, which is claimed by multiple parties, Modi government not only completely turned rogue on the UN resolutions but also, and more importantly so, effectively backed out of multiple bilateral agreements that India had signed with Pakistan and China in the past. In other words, Indians have effectively nullified the India-China agreement of 1993 that actually defined the Line of Actual Control (LAC). Similarly, by revoking the article 370, dividing the occupied state of J&K into multiple regions, and then making them a regular part of India, Modi has reneged on multiple agreements with Pakistan too, thus, rendering the LOC non-existent. The Modi gang probably planned for keeping the best of both sides (of bigotry and agreements) by expecting China and Pakistan to keep the 'sanctity' of LAC and LOC while India formally declares the disputed territory as its part. Only brainless idiots could think of that.
Emboldened by any effective opposition to unilateral Indian actions, Modi and his gang of fascist Hindu fanatics then embarked on a rather bigger misadventure of challenging the combined power of China and Pakistan by occupying Pakistan's northern areas of Gilgit-Baltistan and militarily disrupting CPEC route. Indians have been building the required military infrastructure over the past several years and now the final stage was fast approaching after formally annexing the occupied state of J&K. Their plan probably was to occupy the target areas before the harsh winter season sets in so that any counter attack by Pakistan and China would practically be impossible. Indians also had big plans to ignite and fuel an insurgency in certain Chinese provinces after getting hold of Gilgit-Baltistan area. Chinese have not only effectively pre-empted the Indian move but also turned the tables on Indians by roping in Nepal on their side too. On top of that scores of Indian soldiers are getting killed by Chinese. Modi is in desperate need of action to save his 56" chest image built painstakingly among Indian masses. Any action, however, will bring more humiliation to Indian military and Modi. Repeated Indian requests to Chinese for their withdrawal from the 'Indian areas' haven't paid off so far either. The extent of Modi's humiliation can be gauged by the fact that not even a single statement from any world power (or even a small country) in Modi's support has come out.
Regardless of what Indians claim, the disputed territory is still a disputed one. If anything, Modi's expansionist and illegal actions have rendered India’s bilateral agreements with Pakistan and China ineffective, thus, reverting the status of the disputed state back to pre-LAC and pre-LOC era. It is there a totally invalid claim by Indians that Chinese have occupied their land. It is not their land. It is a disputed land. There is no violation of the sanctity of LOC by Chinese because there is legally no LOC in existence anymore. Chinese are now justified to revert back to their pre-LAC claim as spelled out in a letter written by the then Chinese premier, Zhou Enlai, on 7 November 1959 to Jawaharlal Nehru who was then the Indian prime minister. If Indians think that things would go back to pre-revocation of article 370 stage, they will be making a grave miscalculation. Pakistan and China cannot trust Indians anymore. Indians have proved themselves as an untrustworthy rogue nation that can renegade on any bilateral or international agreement, treaty, or instrument without a shame. Indians have followed a heavy-handed approach against their smaller neighboring countries and grown bolder to challenge China too. Now the butcher of Gujrat, Modi, is facing the heat, getting thoroughly humiliated, and tasting an international isolation and disgrace. He is currently struggling on a slippery slope. Modi will certainly issue empty threats to China and Pakistan. But Modi will turn into a pussy cat against China in all likelihood. What is more probable from his stupidity, Modi will indulge in a misadventure against Pakistan. But we all hope that, unlike 27 Fab. 2019, this time there will be no restrain from Pakistani side.
