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China will work with Asian countries to beef up use of local currencies in trade and investment

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China to work with Asian nations to grow use of local currencies in trade

16 Feb 2022 11:38AM(Updated: 16 Feb 2022 12:31PM)

BEIJING :China will work with Asian countries to beef up use of local currencies in trade and investment, Yi Gang, the governor of the central bank, said on Wednesday, as part of plans to strengthen regional economic resilience.

Recent years' progress by emerging Asian nations in using local currencies in trade and investment has strengthened the region's financial safety net against external shocks, Yi told an event of the G20 grouping.

"Emerging markets should improve their resilience," Yi said by video at the event hosted by Indonesia. "This is where regional co-operation has a key role to play."

Bilateral currency swaps among the ASEAN regional grouping, China, Japan and South Korea have reached $380 billion, he said.

Last month, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) extended a bilateral currency swap pact with Bank Indonesia for three years to deepen financial cooperation and promote investment.

"Central banks from advanced economies should continue to enhance market communications," Yi added, as this would help mitigate the spillover effect at a time of greater risks to emerging economies from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Economists believe China and other emerging economies could face the risk of capital outflows once the U.S. Federal Reserve starts to tighten policy.

A Reuters poll showed the Fed will kick off its tightening cycle in March, with an interest rate hike of 25 basis points, but a growing minority say it will opt for a more aggressive half-point move to tamp down inflation.

China will keep its accommodative monetary policy flexible, as economic growth is likely to return to its potential rate this year, Yi added.

G20 host Indonesia promotes FX diversification as part of stimulus exit

February 16, 20221:51 PM GMT+8

JAKARTA, Feb 16 (Reuters) - Top Indonesian economic officials on Wednesday backed the expanded use of local currencies in trade and investment, instead of the U.S. dollar, to help maintain stability in global financial markets as pandemic-era stimulus is withdrawn.

Indonesia, which holds the presidency of the Group of 20 major economies this year, and a number of Asian countries have bilateral deals to settle transactions in domestic currencies, known as local currency settlement (LCS) arrangements, which cut demand for the dollar.

Bilateral currency swaps among members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), China, Japan and South Korea have reached $380 billion, according to the People's Bank of China.

Indonesian Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati said LCS arrangements should be replicated more broadly globally to manage shocks, especially given emerging nations face potential capital outflows when bigger economies tighten monetary policy.

"This (LCS) has been brought into a global agenda because this can also create a financial safety net for financial transactions between countries and reduce the vulnerability risks due to global economic shocks that cause financial instability," Sri Mulyani told a seminar ahead of a meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors on Thursday.

Currency diversification would support economic stability, allowing countries to sustain their recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, she said.

Indonesian officials have said the country's main priority for this week's G20 meetings will be to ensure that developed economies' exit from easy monetary policy is well calibrated, well planned and well communicated, in order to limit the spillover impact on developing economies.

Previous periods of global monetary tightening have triggered capital outflows from emerging countries as investors flock to put their money in safe-haven assets. Indonesia saw the rupiah currency plummet by more than 20% in 2013 during the so-called "taper tantrum".

Bank Indonesia (BI) Governor Perry Warjiyo told the seminar emerging economies will be able to weather global monetary tightening, including U.S. rate hikes, "much better" this year compared with previous periods of tightening.

Emerging markets, like Indonesia, had in place a better policy framework, higher foreign exchange reserves and had made efforts to deepen financial markets, he said, listing the LCS deals as an example.

LCS arrangements had cut Indonesia's U.S. dollar exposure by $2.53 billion in 2021 and a further 10% increase in such settlements is expected this year as BI sought to expand deals with other countries and develop more hedging instruments, Warjiyo said.

China will work with Asian countries to beef up the use of local currencies in trade and investment, Yi Gang, the governor of the central bank, told the seminar, as part of plans to strengthen regional economic resilience.
 
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It is a no brainer. Why use USD if both trading countries can agree to use local currencies? Using USD only props up the USD value for the US without the US actually doing something that benefits the trading countries.
 
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Good move! With more convenient settlement schemes (such as use of local currencies) China may increase import from Asia, in fact most of China's trade deficits are recorded with Asian countries like Taiwan, SK, JP and Malaysia (a huge export hub for JP and SG tech firms).

China (Mainland) 2020 trade deficits by regions:
  1. Taiwan: -$140.5 billion
  2. Australia: -$61.4 billion
  3. South Korea: -$60.3 billion
  4. Brazil: -$49.1 billion
  5. Japan: -$32.2 billion
  6. Germany: -$18.4 billion
  7. Malaysia: -$18.3 billion
  8. Chile: -$13.4 billion
 
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It is a no brainer. Why use USD if both trading countries can agree to use local currencies? Using USD only props up the USD value for the US without the US actually doing something that benefits the trading countries.
Using USD makes sense. How you determine the fair value between chinese and Indonesian currency? Is 1:10 or 1:15? that’s the problem when dealing with currencies that not tradable on open markets. Or you are ok to make assumptions.
 
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Less dollars used in global trade, the less money the US can print without causing massive inflation in the US.

Countries already reduced their dollar use in trade. This is why US inflation is already high.
 
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Using USD makes sense. How you determine the fair value between chinese and Indonesian currency? Is 1:10 or 1:15? that’s the problem when dealing with currencies that not tradable on open markets. Or you are ok to make assumptions.
Just making sure before we go on. You do understand how local currency settlement works right? Or you are ok to make assumptions.
 
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Just making sure before we go on. You do understand how local currency settlement works right? Or you are ok to make assumptions.
Not that easy
Settlement is technically changing money between hands. But again, how you determine the fair value between currencies?
 
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Not that easy
Settlement is technically changing money between hands. But again, how you determine the fair value between currencies?
Ok it is clear that you have no idea.

Value between two or more currencies can be determined by either floating or fixing the value. Rupiah uses floating regime while RMB uses managed floating regime. Floating regime means that the exchange value is determined based on the money supply and money demand between the two currencies in the free market. The values are then reflected in the reference exchange rates updated on daily basis multiple times. Entities that want to trade use the reference exchange rates to determine how much they have to pay to the other party in their local currency. Do you think the value is determined ad hoc by two companies wanting to trade? lol

Meanwhile, the so called Local Currency Settlement/Swap (LCS) has nothing to do with value setting. LCS is a framework that facilitates trades between two countries without the use of USD as a mean of transaction. This means, buying country does not have to convert local currency to USD first and selling country does not have to convert the USD back to its local currency. How does LCS benefits the countries trading without USD? Since they dont have to convert and reconvert USD, they dont have the losses from exchanging currencies multiple times and they dont have the losses from exchange rate differences between different timepoints.

Can the USD still be used as exchange value reference in an LCS? Yes, but using USD for value reference is not the same as actually using it as a mean of transaction. In other words, you are talking something that is completely irrelevant to the thread.
 
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Good :tup:

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You know your country will have Bright Future when your Economic Activity moving Fast like this

 
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