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SIFY
China To Attack India 'Only If Provoked'
2009-07-20 21:01:50
Last Updated: 2009-07-20 22:19:05
China to attack India `only if provoked`
By Sify News Desk
``There is one scenario where there is possibility for (a Sino-Indian) war: an aggressive Indian policy toward China, a `New Forward Policy` may aggravate border disputes and push China to use force - despite China`s appeal, as far as possible, for peaceful solutions.``
So says a scathing Chinese editorial published in response to Indian defence analyst Bharat Verma`s assertion that China may attack India before 2012.
The article, `Illusion of ``China`s Attack on India Before 2012` written By Chen Xiaochen, was published on July 17 in Chinastakes.com, which bills itself as `the first online English publication dedicated to reviewing China`s finance/ economy/business.``
Noting that ``the 2000 km border between China and India has been a notable absence from press headlines in the years since then-Indian PM Vajpayee`s 2003 visit to Beijing,`` Chen adds that ``Tensions, however, have risen again as India announced last month a plan to deploy two additional army divisions and two air force squadrons of Su-30 Fighter Unit, some 60,000 soldiers in total, in a disputed border area in the southern part of Tibet, which India claims as its state of Arunachal Pradesh.``
``Adding fuel to the flames,`` he continues, ``is an article by Bharat Verma, editor of Indian Defense Review, predicting that China will attack India before 2012, leaving only three years to Indian government for preparation.``
Describing Verma`s arguments as `vague` and `lacking documentation,` he notes that even if China were to consider such an act, ``The Western powers would not take kindly to a Chinese conflict with India, leaving China rightfully reluctant to use force in any case other than extreme provocation.``
``If China were to be involved in a war within the next three years, as unlikely as that seems, the adversary would hardly be India. The best option, the sole option, open for the Chinese government is to negotiate around the disputed territory,`` he argues.
``Consider the 1959-1962 conflict, the only recorded war between China and India in the long history of their civilizations. After some slight friction with China in 1959, the Indian army implemented aggressive action known as its Forward Policy. The Chinese Army made a limited but successful counterattack in 1962,`` says Chen, who is described as `a journalist of editorial and comments in China Business News.``
``Now,`` he says, ``it seems `back to the future`. Mr. Verma asserts another war will happen before 2012, a half century after the last, regrettable one. India has started to deploy more troops in the border area, similar to its Forward Policy 50 years ago. Is Mr. Verma`s China-bashing merely a justification for more troops deployed along the border? Will India`s `New Forward Policy`, as the old one did 50 years ago, trigger a `2012 war?` ``
``The answers lie mainly on the Indian side,`` says Chen. ``Given China`s relatively small military garrison in Tibet, Indian`s 60,000 additional soldiers may largely break the balance. If India is as `pacific` as Mr. Verma says, and is sincere in its border negotiation, China-India friendship will remain. After all, China shares a long and mostly friendly cultural exchange with India as well as other neighbours.
``Now China is seeking deeper cooperation, wider coordination, and better consensus with India, especially in the global recession, and peace is a precondition for doing so. China wants to say, `We are on the same side,` as the Indian Ambassador did in a recent interview in China. Thus, `China will attack India before 2012` is a provocative and inflammatory illusion,`` Chen concludes.
China To Attack India 'Only If Provoked'
2009-07-20 21:01:50
Last Updated: 2009-07-20 22:19:05
China to attack India `only if provoked`
By Sify News Desk
``There is one scenario where there is possibility for (a Sino-Indian) war: an aggressive Indian policy toward China, a `New Forward Policy` may aggravate border disputes and push China to use force - despite China`s appeal, as far as possible, for peaceful solutions.``
So says a scathing Chinese editorial published in response to Indian defence analyst Bharat Verma`s assertion that China may attack India before 2012.
The article, `Illusion of ``China`s Attack on India Before 2012` written By Chen Xiaochen, was published on July 17 in Chinastakes.com, which bills itself as `the first online English publication dedicated to reviewing China`s finance/ economy/business.``
Noting that ``the 2000 km border between China and India has been a notable absence from press headlines in the years since then-Indian PM Vajpayee`s 2003 visit to Beijing,`` Chen adds that ``Tensions, however, have risen again as India announced last month a plan to deploy two additional army divisions and two air force squadrons of Su-30 Fighter Unit, some 60,000 soldiers in total, in a disputed border area in the southern part of Tibet, which India claims as its state of Arunachal Pradesh.``
``Adding fuel to the flames,`` he continues, ``is an article by Bharat Verma, editor of Indian Defense Review, predicting that China will attack India before 2012, leaving only three years to Indian government for preparation.``
Describing Verma`s arguments as `vague` and `lacking documentation,` he notes that even if China were to consider such an act, ``The Western powers would not take kindly to a Chinese conflict with India, leaving China rightfully reluctant to use force in any case other than extreme provocation.``
``If China were to be involved in a war within the next three years, as unlikely as that seems, the adversary would hardly be India. The best option, the sole option, open for the Chinese government is to negotiate around the disputed territory,`` he argues.
``Consider the 1959-1962 conflict, the only recorded war between China and India in the long history of their civilizations. After some slight friction with China in 1959, the Indian army implemented aggressive action known as its Forward Policy. The Chinese Army made a limited but successful counterattack in 1962,`` says Chen, who is described as `a journalist of editorial and comments in China Business News.``
``Now,`` he says, ``it seems `back to the future`. Mr. Verma asserts another war will happen before 2012, a half century after the last, regrettable one. India has started to deploy more troops in the border area, similar to its Forward Policy 50 years ago. Is Mr. Verma`s China-bashing merely a justification for more troops deployed along the border? Will India`s `New Forward Policy`, as the old one did 50 years ago, trigger a `2012 war?` ``
``The answers lie mainly on the Indian side,`` says Chen. ``Given China`s relatively small military garrison in Tibet, Indian`s 60,000 additional soldiers may largely break the balance. If India is as `pacific` as Mr. Verma says, and is sincere in its border negotiation, China-India friendship will remain. After all, China shares a long and mostly friendly cultural exchange with India as well as other neighbours.
``Now China is seeking deeper cooperation, wider coordination, and better consensus with India, especially in the global recession, and peace is a precondition for doing so. China wants to say, `We are on the same side,` as the Indian Ambassador did in a recent interview in China. Thus, `China will attack India before 2012` is a provocative and inflammatory illusion,`` Chen concludes.
