cirr
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Briefly@cirr @AndrewJin
What is the future Chinese development track regarding HPC?
As far as the US is concerned, it has financed three 100-200 Petaflop machines by 2018, and then start work on Exascale, to be commissioned by 2023.
The only knowledge that I have is that China will upgrade Tianhe 2 to Tianhe 2A, anywhere between 100-200 Petaflops.
Of course there is the plan to reach Exascale by 2020, but I think US would lead in performance count, and may be even in top machine if China doesn't introduce one more machine above 100 Petaflops by 2018.
(1) 100 Pflop Tianhe-2A later in the year(NUDT and partners)
(2) 200-300 Pflop Tianhe-2B in 2018(NUDT and partners)
(3) an upgraded Sunway Taihulight in 2 years(Jiangnan Inst. and partners)?
(4) exascale prototype in 2018(NUDT and partners)
(5) commerical exascale in 2020(NUDT and partners)
(6) CAS has more or less finalized its roadmap for an exascale(don't know if CAS will build the machine on its own hook or with partners, but it can certainly do with a better machine for its supercomputing centre)
(7) a bunch of other HPCs by the likes of Sugon(the Dawning series), Inspur, Lenovo etc.
(8) quantum computer prototype in or around 2020((USTC and partners. Real quantum computer, not D-Wave the pretender)
(9) a bunch of cities vying for supercomputing centres, state approval being sought
In short, this is not a turtle hare race. China is in this game for the long term.