DalalErMaNodi
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I will be 104 years old if I survive till 2100.
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I will be 104 years old if I survive till 2100.
I don't know about other countries, but I find Pew and many other organisations tend to be off the mark by a wide margin regarding Pakistan, I do not know why that is, but their figures just do not make sense.
Population growth rate in Pakistan stands at or just over 2.2% right now, The average growth rate between the previous two census points of 1998 to 2017 was around 2.4%. I remember reading many times in those years that Pakistan's population growth rate is 1.7% or 1.8%, always shown as less than 2%. I can only assume they work on extremely conservative assumptions regarding Pakistan, showing a lot less than the reality.
Applying the rule of 70, at the present 2.2% growth rate, any population would double in 32 years,
That would mean Pakistan's present population of 227 million should reach 454 million by 2052, if it continues at the same rate. There is no sign of an effective family planning program in Pakistan right now, even if we assume an effective programme is put into place this decade, it will take time to design and implement, so one has to assume its effectiveness won't kick-in till 2030s. That's most of the way into the 454 million projection.
Even if such a plan was put into place and was effective, Much of the 454 Million projection will be met, and, even after a populating planning programme that has been successful, and has managed to control the growth of population, the population still continues to grow, because of the higher percentage of the population consists of younger people, who continue to feed the growth.
SO, with a potential population of between 450 million to 500 million, that will not reach full zero growth until the 2050's ,60's or 2070's, does it really make sense that it will fall down to 248million by 2100. That projection by Pew regarding Pakistan much have been made in a fantasy bubble.
Tbh ayub khan will be remembered forever for his Muslim family laws . For this law ( I believe he revived real Islamic laws and saved Muslim family form mullahs ) many Muslim family is saved .Other than Ayub Khan no Pakistani leader ever focused on family planning and population reduction. Infact BD learned a lot from Ayubs policies and implemented them vigorously.
IUD for women is the solution.Condoms sucks