Bangladesh is close to finalise a deal with China for six mega projects valued over $6 billion.

[UKBengali]

You didn't give the start dates of investment for these. Dhaka metro for example has been going on for how long now?

Anyway assuming average timeframe of 2015 - 2023 for this 50 billion total you are talking about. Thats about 6 billion a year. That makes less than 10% of yearly GCF in Bangladesh.....given Bangladesh GCF is around 30% of GDP in USD nominal terms.

These loans all have to have high transfer efficiencies to not create NPA bubbles, something that seems to be already unfortunately starting in BD even in simpler sectors:

https://defence.pk/threads/awami-go...bangladesh-economy.38530/page-26#post-8613289

So it is stuff I am not going to judge any long term analysis on especially given how low Bangladesh consumption and investment is per person (roughly 10 - 15 years behind India) and the bad corruption, bureaucratic hurdles and weak sustained climate (esp for foreign FDI) that Bangladesh suffers from.

We will have to wait and see. I mean what is Bangladesh stock market total capitalization anyway? That will give an idea of the domestic strength of equity resource available from private sector that will be crucial in making govt based/ coordinated investment work in the long run.

You need to understand that getting a project started in the first place is a lot harder than making it larger later on. The Dhaka metro is due to have 3 lines when complete and we can expect to this to be easily complete by say around 2025.

Matarbari is also due to end up with many more power plants and so by say 2030, do not be surprised if the total power generation is several times more than the initial 1.2GW.

 

[Nilgiri]

You need to understand that getting a project started in the first place is a lot harder than making it larger later on. The Dhaka metro is due to have 3 lines when complete and we can expect to this to be easily complete by say around 2025.

Matarbari is also due end up with many more power plants and so by say 2030, do not be surprised if the total power generation is several times more than the initial 1.2GW.

Fair enough, but do you realise my point in larger consideration of what the total GCF is for Bangladesh?

If these made up yearly annualised impetus of say more than a third of total, then I can say its something quite significant (and then we can further delve into the quality of the investment and take it from there).

But below 10%, thats below the radar for me for time being. It will be 2nd round of investments in the next decade that pick up from where these bring BD to along with its own overall GCF quality being improved through domestic means (if human capital and equity is improved enough to keep pace)....and which will interest me more.

Right now these are welcome, but not any sort of game changing thing in overall context of BD investment scenario which chugs along healthily on the domestic fundamentals.

 

[UKBengali]

Fair enough, but do you realise my point in larger consideration of what the total GCF is for Bangladesh?

If these made up yearly annualised impetus of say more than a third of total, then I can say its something quite significant (and then we can further delve into the quality of the investment and take it from there).

But below 10%, thats below the radar for me for time being. It will be 2nd round of investments in the next decade that pick up from where these bring BD to along with its own overall GCF quality being improved through domestic means (if human capital and equity is improved enough to keep pace)....and which will interest me more.

Right now these are welcome, but not any sort of game changing thing in overall context of BD investment scenario which chugs along healthily on the domestic fundamentals.

BD knows that it cannot get growth to 10% without a massive improvement in education, governance and infrastructure and so is happy to raise to 8-9% mark from current 7% by next decade. These investments are designed to do just that.

As long as it can keep security situation under control then it will not be a problem. After the recent attack in Dhaka, the government is going all out to take on extremism and BD society has reacted with disgust with what happened to those
people in the Cafe.

 

[Nilgiri]

BD knows that it cannot get growth to 10% without a massive improvement in education, governance and infrastructure and so is happy to raise to 8-9% mark from current 7% by next decade. These investments are designed to do just that.

As long as it can keep security situation under control then it will not be a problem. After the recent attack in Dhaka, the government is going all out to take on extremism and BD society has reacted with disgust with what happened to those
people in the Cafe.

You see isn't this a much better thing to discuss about than talking about India disintegration and war with India etc?

Its more productive I think anyway.

 

[Mo12]

lol embarrassing fighting over which economy is better.

Both are bad and needs developing. India might be slightly ahead, thats because its bigger.

 

[Nilgiri]

Both are bad and needs developing. India might be slightly ahead, thats because its bigger.

per capita physical consumption (PPP) in India is about 8 years ahead. That is slightly to you?

 

[Mo12]

per capita physical consumption (PPP) in India is about 8 years ahead. That is slightly to you?

India wealth is so unequal, that to the normal human being to India and Bangladesh, both are very similar and poor.

 

[Nilgiri]

India wealth is so unequal, that to the normal human being to India and Bangladesh, both are very similar and poor.

True but Bangladesh has absolute poverty rate of 30 - 40% compared to India 10% - 20% (when comparing same year and same international standards of PPP threshold income).

Anyways India and BD do both have a long way to go. We have discussed the semantics enough already

 

[kobiraaz]

lol embarrassing fighting over which economy is better.

Both are bad and needs developing. India might be slightly ahead, thats because its bigger.

At least One poster in this sub forum is talking sense