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Armenia dismisses national security chief - Ifax
By Reuters Staff
1 MIN READ

MOSCOW (Reuters) - Armenia on Thursday dismissed Argishti Kyaramyan, the head its National Security Service, the Interfax news agency reported citing a presidential decree.
His firing comes amid the deadliest fighting in more than 25 years between ethnic Armenian and Azeri forces over the Nagorno-Karabakh region.

 
i'm actually surprised that Armenia despite it's small tiny population, little to no external military support(even Russia has refused to get involve on their side in this conflict), poor military equipment compared to their adversary , and poor resources(cant think of any valuable resources they have) that they are still keeping Azerbaijan at bay, even though Azerbaijan has far more manpower/population/ massive military support from Turkey, Israel and even militias from Syria, more natural and financial resources, well equipped and trained etc etc, yet they are still struggling to defeat such a small/poor equipped opponent. Seems to me like the Armenians are more determined than their opponent. I suppose they know they have more to lose, so they are giving it their all. That's just my guess though, since i can't think of any other reason given such an imbalance of power. lol
1500 Pakistani soldiers from paramilitary fought 30k Indian soldiers for months.
Its because of terrain and strong defences.
 
1500 Pakistani soldiers from paramilitary fought 30k Indian soldiers for months.
Its because of terrain and strong defences.


True, higher ground advantage. Indian Mirage2000-5 did bomb heights but did not had a huge effect. They then started focusing on supply lines as they are more vulnerable to ambushes from artillery OP identifications.
 
The Russians have declared their red line, 'no taking of Armenian sovereign land'. So long as Azerbaijan sticks to only taking back its territory, it'll be in the clear.

The writing is on the wall, the Armenians are a burden for Russia right now, which is why the Russians haven't intervened yet, even though the status quo benefits them. The Armenians will either lose, or the international community will convince Azerbaijan to stop its offensive, in either case, the Russians have nothing to gain.

The hope for Russia now is that Azeri land goes back to Azerbaijan, and Armenia remains in one piece. In this way, their south border will become stable again. They'll still have influence in Armenia, but they know now that Azerbaijan is a lost cause for them. Their goal will be to counter Turkish influence in Azerbaijan, by propping up Armenia even further, after the war ends.

[Edit]: on a side note, I wouldn't be surprised if Azerbaijan and Turkey have Washington's secret backing. Keep in mind, Turkey is a member of NATO, and Azerbaijan shares a border with both Russia and Iran. Azerbaijan is also geographically close to China, making it an ideal place for NATO to counter Russia, Iran and China. It also helps that Russia, Iran and China are all rivals to both Turkey and the US.
It wont be easy for azeri to take NK..will be very difficult

Noone expects azeri to take the whole NK

Probably the southern occupied lands that are occupied by armenia even though its not part
Of NK will be focus of azeri forcea
 
True, higher ground advantage. Indian Mirage2000-5 did bomb heights but did not had a huge effect. They then started focusing on supply lines as they are more vulnerable to ambushes from artillery OP identifications.
Hence, UAVs, and more and better and larger of more UAVs....

Turkey is working on 36 different UAVs, from miniature to jet powered fighter-bomber class, for a reason.....

The most critical parts of the UAVs are composite materials, engines, CATS FLIR imaging systems, micro-ammunitions including guided missiles, targeting systems, AI based computational units for autonomous flights, ultra-secured SAT-links via own micro satellites for C4I and net-centric air warfare, EW suits etc. Elhamdulillah, Turkey is producing all these stuffs indigenously with heavy investments on R&D...
 
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Russia wouldn't want to lose 1.88 billion dollar for Nagorno-Karabakh.

Imports by Azerbaijan:
View attachment 677000

1) Russian intervenes
2) Russian annexes Azerbaijan, Azerbaijan becomes Russian territory
3) Imports to former country of Azerbaijan double or triple, due to internal trade. Russia own Azerbaijani oil that is a multi-billion dollar industry

Russia is not simply wanting to intervene to save Armenia, they want the old Soviet Union, including the whole of Azerbaijan.
 
1) Russian intervenes
2) Russian annexes Azerbaijan, Azerbaijan becomes Russian territory
3) Imports to former country of Azerbaijan double or triple, due to internal trade. Russia own Azerbaijani oil that is a multi-billion dollar industry

Russia is not simply wanting to intervene to save Armenia, they want the old Soviet Union, including the whole of Azerbaijan.

Russia is still suffering from sanctions for annexing Crimea with a 90% ethnic Russian population. What do you think the world will do if Russia annexes a country of 10 million people that is internationally recognizes? Expect territorial sanctions, Russia's exports would be cut in half, foreign investment would be cut in half, the Rubble would crash. Further, Russia does not want a conventional war, those days are over. Today, proxies are used. Look at Ukraine. It would also risk getting into a hot war with Turkey and the whole region exploding into a war zone which Russia simply does not want to do over Armenia or Azerbaijan.

A good comparison is Ukraine. Russia share historical and religious ties with Ukraine, and still HAVE NOT directly invaded the country. What makes you think they would invade Azerbaijan?

The nature of war has changed.
 
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