raptor22
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you underestimate america. iraq and afganistan was invaded not only by sea but also through neighboring countries. iraq did exactly what you said, that is threaten with missiles, but history shows us that the US non-the-less convinced others to allow a route(the us is also very good at hunting down launchers). terrain might present a factor, but again is no show stopper, afganistan is pretty mountainous too, not to mention any attack will start with a massive tomahawk/stealth atk rain taking out vital ports, airfields, CnC nodes, while iran could do little to disrupt american command, sortie points or intelligence. this is followed by neutralization of now undefended units like tanks and ships caught out in the open, which allows the beginning of a multi-pronged invasion by land, air and sea, all under the cover of air superiority and long range strike capability along with unparalleled battlefield intelligence through satellites and drones. against this, a fighter is among the last thing you want to fight or deter america. keep in mind planes dont fight by them selves, they need bases that can be protected, they need parts that can be procured even in war. to deter america, iran needs more survivable assets or go nuclear. however where fighters do come in handy is against lessor opponents, for instance deterring a israeli air strike, which a half decent fighter along with good ground sensors would be ideal for. to stand a chance against america at all you need either nuclear capability or the full size and complete conventional war machine package which really only russia and china has.
ive already addressed that america is likely to be able to secured a land route. but lets suppose it cannot. there is no way they would send in the troop transports without clearing the coast where they are landing through airtrikes/naval strikes. speedboats work well if you force the enemy to come close without sinking all your assets from far away. the US has no reason to sent in transports or even ships until the coast is cleared by subs and air attacks. i do know about the millennium challenge, but in that case they threw two forces close together specifically having those capital ships in range of the coastal boats, in war those capital ship will not be in that kind of proximity to the coast until those boats have been sunk by air attacks. and while landing there will continuously be air cover for any survivors.
First of all be sure if it was as simple as you described they would attacked already.
On the other hand Iran has already made it clear that in any situation if it sees a possible incoming war it wouldn't hesitate for a second it'd strike first. the same happened in 2006, Hezbollah was well aware that war was about to happen that's why they fooled israel to start the war unprepared and sooner than what it'd been planed.