senheiser
SENIOR MEMBER
- Joined
- Jun 26, 2012
- Messages
- 4,037
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its just a matter of time until you go bankrupt
-in Middle east Iraq is facing civil war and if you dont intervene Iran will do. It will probably react into a civil war that will drive oil prices to extreme levels and damage US and EU economies and most importantly it can spread into the middle east and probably result into a hot war between iran and saudi arabia. Again even more higehr oil price.
-In Ukraine Russia will use this opportunity with high oil prices and your involvement in middle east to invade ukraine as you will be stuck in the middle east again. If you choose ukraine over middle east you will lose out like mention above. Note that europeans will use ukraine case as reason not get involvement and help you in any way with the other problems, not now and neither in the future.
Russian gas which will also be cut on Monday if the junta doesnt agree on the price will increase energy prices too for europe.
-Your pivot to asia becomes more and more a pipe dream, china will rise unhindered and can act more comfortable in its foreign policy with its neighbors. So your military built up in this region is stuck and resources have to go west again.
And i only mentioned short term its even more expensive by looking long term. Americas deployment of troops in eastern europe is just one example you have to waste money, what will be the reaction to the middle east? Will Asian troops be enough?
Obviously america can try to spent huge money to all 3 of them but will sooner or later go bankrupt. But if america refuses to spend money conflicts have to be settled by regional players which will undermine americas influence anyways
-in Middle east Iraq is facing civil war and if you dont intervene Iran will do. It will probably react into a civil war that will drive oil prices to extreme levels and damage US and EU economies and most importantly it can spread into the middle east and probably result into a hot war between iran and saudi arabia. Again even more higehr oil price.
-In Ukraine Russia will use this opportunity with high oil prices and your involvement in middle east to invade ukraine as you will be stuck in the middle east again. If you choose ukraine over middle east you will lose out like mention above. Note that europeans will use ukraine case as reason not get involvement and help you in any way with the other problems, not now and neither in the future.
Russian gas which will also be cut on Monday if the junta doesnt agree on the price will increase energy prices too for europe.
-Your pivot to asia becomes more and more a pipe dream, china will rise unhindered and can act more comfortable in its foreign policy with its neighbors. So your military built up in this region is stuck and resources have to go west again.
And i only mentioned short term its even more expensive by looking long term. Americas deployment of troops in eastern europe is just one example you have to waste money, what will be the reaction to the middle east? Will Asian troops be enough?
Obviously america can try to spent huge money to all 3 of them but will sooner or later go bankrupt. But if america refuses to spend money conflicts have to be settled by regional players which will undermine americas influence anyways