7 districts to be returned, Nakhichevan gets corridor
"Ilham Aliyev has put maximum claims."
What happens behind the scenes of the Karabakh summit at the Elysee Palace: the preparation for the Major Peace Agreement voiced by official Baku have started; the Azerbaijani president has put maximum claims at the Hollande-Sargsyan-Aliyev meeting; Kremlin's chief is also informed about the situation ...
Earlier we have provided information about some of the details of the Paris meeting of Presidents Aliyev and Sargsyan. Although no specific documents and statements were adopted as the result of strained bilateral and multilateral discussions at the Elysee palace, the political analysts are in no hurry to declare the absence of results.
Among the eye-catching details is an agreement to hold the next round of talks between the two presidents in September next year, as part of the UN General Assembly. This, of course, means a significant time period, and it may mean time given to the conflict parties for the Major Peace Agreement, which was unexpectedly (?) voiced by Azerbaijan, and at the same time can be spent for nothing.
If we take into account that, according to Western sources, the atmosphere at the summit was "warm" ("Frans Press"), as well as the fact that President F.Hollande called on the parties Group to focus efforts on the solution of the conflict through negotiations on the basis of the Minsk Group principles the sides "through negotiations on the basis of the principles of the Minsk ", stating that the status quo is unacceptable, and suggested to "start to prepare their people for peace, to show political will, and to start preparing the major peace agreement” and the fact that the US co-chair of the Minsk Group J.Warlick called the Paris meeting a positive step forward, we should not hurry to draw the conclusions of this meeting.
The latest version is largely supported by the statements of independent experts. According to the head of the Institute of cooperation with NATO F.Mammadov, West offered Azerbaijan and Armenia a new roadmap. Russian intelligence is informed about it, so protests were launched against Sargsyan in Yerevan.
Russian political scientist, Director of the Information and Analytical Center of MSU A.Petrov said that this round of Karabakh talks could go down in history as the most significant:
"The parties have not given any information on the discussed issues and the results of the negotiations. This can be considered both good and bad. In my opinion, the results of the previous two meetings have already formed an actual agenda for negotiations. The co-chairs finally declared their readiness to help resolve the problem, kind of rivalry arose among them. The Karabakh problem is again on the agenda. This means that there are all conditions for a real dialogue, and the solution depends only on the will of the parties to the conflict. The fact that the world is recalled about the conflict and wishes a speedy completion is highlighted. "
According to the analyst:
"If bilateral and multilateral negotiations are held during a day, it means that unlike the previous negotiations, there has been some progress. Simply it is too early for us to know about."
But it seems not quite early. According to a reliable source, the principle of major peace agreement was coordinated at the Paris meeting, though not in written. The source links the overall silence of the meeting participants to that fact. That is, they consider that there is no need to inform the public prematurely, or rather, before the preparation of a specific joint document."
However, it is stated that the respective brain centers and profile specialists of the West are dealing seriously with that. Part of them even attended the Paris meeting. A new road map was launched to achieve the major peace agreement in the next 8-9 months.
As it was noted, the Kremlin is informed about it. The anti-Sargsyan statements of the pro-Russian opposition are considered an important indicator of this. By some information, the West seeks to attract Moscow to this process, because there is an opinion that neither West nor Russia can implement these plans alone. In addition, West realizes that one of the conflict parties-Armenia is fully dependent on Moscow.
Kremlin can get involved in this process by three factors:
1. The August events on the frontline shows that war may erupt at any time in the conflict area. Russia does not benefit from this in many senses (as a reason, they cite its reluctance to spoil relations with Turkey as its economic partner).
2. Russia is in an uneasy situation and continues weakening because of sanctions. Therefore, it is in a hurry, supposing that the West can achieve a certain progress in this issue as a result of a plot. If Russia does not promote the problem settlement, it will happen without its involvement, since the West is already dealing with it.
3. If the initial stage of the peace agreement envisages the liberation of 3-5-7 regions around Nagorno Karabakh (in line with Warlick’s 6-paragraph proposal), the Kremlin may get Baku’s approval to joining the Eurasian Economic Union.
West’s interests also coincide greatly on the indicated three directions. The main thing is that they can be coordinated with Russia: the matter is that West also made serious conclusions from the August events, having its vital interests concentrated in the region. It means that as the Russian political scientist said, both centers of power can start settling the conflict synchronously. Today there are the most favorable conditions for that…
As for the positions of the conflict parties, Armenia does not favor this plan, because, being an aggressor, it is required to make the first step. But the situation is that Yerevan will make any required step as it is the Kremlin’s puppet.
One of Armenia’s concerns is about the new sensational provision set by Azerbaijan.
“The matter is that Baku is not against starting work over the major peace agreement. However, at the Hollande-Aliyev-Sargsyan meeting Azerbaijan set the maximum provisions: seven regions must be liberated on the first stage, the corridor from Megri to Nakhchivan must be opened in exchange for the preservation of the Lachin corridor (!!!). Baku agrees and is ready to grant the highest status to Nagorno Karabakh. Putin is also aware of Baku’s requirements”, our source reports.
By the recent information, discussions may start in this very context. But the direction of the process is unclear.
News.Az
"Ilham Aliyev has put maximum claims."
What happens behind the scenes of the Karabakh summit at the Elysee Palace: the preparation for the Major Peace Agreement voiced by official Baku have started; the Azerbaijani president has put maximum claims at the Hollande-Sargsyan-Aliyev meeting; Kremlin's chief is also informed about the situation ...
Earlier we have provided information about some of the details of the Paris meeting of Presidents Aliyev and Sargsyan. Although no specific documents and statements were adopted as the result of strained bilateral and multilateral discussions at the Elysee palace, the political analysts are in no hurry to declare the absence of results.
Among the eye-catching details is an agreement to hold the next round of talks between the two presidents in September next year, as part of the UN General Assembly. This, of course, means a significant time period, and it may mean time given to the conflict parties for the Major Peace Agreement, which was unexpectedly (?) voiced by Azerbaijan, and at the same time can be spent for nothing.
If we take into account that, according to Western sources, the atmosphere at the summit was "warm" ("Frans Press"), as well as the fact that President F.Hollande called on the parties Group to focus efforts on the solution of the conflict through negotiations on the basis of the Minsk Group principles the sides "through negotiations on the basis of the principles of the Minsk ", stating that the status quo is unacceptable, and suggested to "start to prepare their people for peace, to show political will, and to start preparing the major peace agreement” and the fact that the US co-chair of the Minsk Group J.Warlick called the Paris meeting a positive step forward, we should not hurry to draw the conclusions of this meeting.
The latest version is largely supported by the statements of independent experts. According to the head of the Institute of cooperation with NATO F.Mammadov, West offered Azerbaijan and Armenia a new roadmap. Russian intelligence is informed about it, so protests were launched against Sargsyan in Yerevan.
Russian political scientist, Director of the Information and Analytical Center of MSU A.Petrov said that this round of Karabakh talks could go down in history as the most significant:
"The parties have not given any information on the discussed issues and the results of the negotiations. This can be considered both good and bad. In my opinion, the results of the previous two meetings have already formed an actual agenda for negotiations. The co-chairs finally declared their readiness to help resolve the problem, kind of rivalry arose among them. The Karabakh problem is again on the agenda. This means that there are all conditions for a real dialogue, and the solution depends only on the will of the parties to the conflict. The fact that the world is recalled about the conflict and wishes a speedy completion is highlighted. "
According to the analyst:
"If bilateral and multilateral negotiations are held during a day, it means that unlike the previous negotiations, there has been some progress. Simply it is too early for us to know about."
But it seems not quite early. According to a reliable source, the principle of major peace agreement was coordinated at the Paris meeting, though not in written. The source links the overall silence of the meeting participants to that fact. That is, they consider that there is no need to inform the public prematurely, or rather, before the preparation of a specific joint document."
However, it is stated that the respective brain centers and profile specialists of the West are dealing seriously with that. Part of them even attended the Paris meeting. A new road map was launched to achieve the major peace agreement in the next 8-9 months.
As it was noted, the Kremlin is informed about it. The anti-Sargsyan statements of the pro-Russian opposition are considered an important indicator of this. By some information, the West seeks to attract Moscow to this process, because there is an opinion that neither West nor Russia can implement these plans alone. In addition, West realizes that one of the conflict parties-Armenia is fully dependent on Moscow.
Kremlin can get involved in this process by three factors:
1. The August events on the frontline shows that war may erupt at any time in the conflict area. Russia does not benefit from this in many senses (as a reason, they cite its reluctance to spoil relations with Turkey as its economic partner).
2. Russia is in an uneasy situation and continues weakening because of sanctions. Therefore, it is in a hurry, supposing that the West can achieve a certain progress in this issue as a result of a plot. If Russia does not promote the problem settlement, it will happen without its involvement, since the West is already dealing with it.
3. If the initial stage of the peace agreement envisages the liberation of 3-5-7 regions around Nagorno Karabakh (in line with Warlick’s 6-paragraph proposal), the Kremlin may get Baku’s approval to joining the Eurasian Economic Union.
West’s interests also coincide greatly on the indicated three directions. The main thing is that they can be coordinated with Russia: the matter is that West also made serious conclusions from the August events, having its vital interests concentrated in the region. It means that as the Russian political scientist said, both centers of power can start settling the conflict synchronously. Today there are the most favorable conditions for that…
As for the positions of the conflict parties, Armenia does not favor this plan, because, being an aggressor, it is required to make the first step. But the situation is that Yerevan will make any required step as it is the Kremlin’s puppet.
One of Armenia’s concerns is about the new sensational provision set by Azerbaijan.
“The matter is that Baku is not against starting work over the major peace agreement. However, at the Hollande-Aliyev-Sargsyan meeting Azerbaijan set the maximum provisions: seven regions must be liberated on the first stage, the corridor from Megri to Nakhchivan must be opened in exchange for the preservation of the Lachin corridor (!!!). Baku agrees and is ready to grant the highest status to Nagorno Karabakh. Putin is also aware of Baku’s requirements”, our source reports.
By the recent information, discussions may start in this very context. But the direction of the process is unclear.
News.Az
