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With Chabahar Text Finalised, India’s Dream of a Road to Afghanistan Gathers Speed

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Negotiators from Afghanistan, India and Iran have reached agreement on the contours of a deal that will turn an Iranian port near Pakistan into the hub through which all roads to the region from India will run.

An Iranian guard looks on at oil docks at the port of Kalantari in the city of Chabahar, 300km (186 miles) east of the Strait of Hormuz. Credit: REUTERS/RAHEB HOMAVANDI

New Delhi: The 13-year-old proposal of a trade route from India to Iran, and Afghanistan and also Central Asia – bypassing Pakistan – is now within grasping distance of becoming reality.

The three countries have finished negotiations on the text of the trilateral transport and transit pact that will serve as the legal framework to operate trade corridors with the Iranian port of Chabahar as its main hub.

“The three technical negotiating teams finalised the text yesterday (Monday, April 11),” Afghanistan’s ambassador to India, Shaida Abdali told The Wire on Tuesday evening. “This is a very, very crucial agreement for Afghanistan. The opening of this corridor will help us to fully reach our potential, give us a new trade route. This is a completely new chapter”.

Monday was a very long day for Indian, Iranian and Afghanistan negotiators as they laboured to finish the text. They finally dispersed after shaking hands at 9.30 in the night. The text was finalized at the second meeting of the expert group. Their first meeting had been in Tehran last September.

“We are talking about the dates for the signing, which will likely take place in Iran,” he said.

Asked who would sign the agreement, Abdali said the preference was for this to happen “at the highest level possible”. “We hope to sign it within the next two months,” he added.

Incidentally, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is scheduled to visit Iran in the first half of this year.

Sources said that the agreement will encompass the trade and transport corridors which will link Mumbai to Chabahar and Afghanistan, via Zahedan. However, the pact has not specified the routes, which will be decided later.

As per diplomatic sources, negotiators had to overcome last moment hurdles over visa issues.

To New Delhi and Kabul, Pakistan’s development of Gwadar port with China and continued reluctance to give transit rights to India for Afghanistan and Central Asia, gives a certain strategic sheen to Chabahar. In 2014-15, India-Afghanistan bilateral trade stood at $684 million, which both capitals feel is far below potential.

While India and Iran had first spoken about Chabahar in 2002, the first trilateral meeting with Afghanistan was held in 2003. In 2004, Ashok Leyland Project services and two state-owned railway construction firms formed a consortium with ambitious plans for building the missing rail connectivity and developing the port. But the work never took off.

India completed the 215-kilometre Zaranj-Delaram highway in 2009, which gave land-locked Afghanistan an outlet to another sea port – thereby reducing its dependence on access to Pakistani ports.

With nearly a decade lost due to Western sanctions against Iran over the nuclear issue, there was some sign of life in the Iranian port project when a trilateral working group was set up in 2012.

Meanwhile, Iran and six world powers formally began nuclear negotiations in November 2013. It was the wake-up call required for New Delhi to remove the cobwebs over the Chabahar talks and take it forward.

When the nuclear negotiations were at the last crucial stage, shipping minister Nitin Gadkari visited visited Iran in May 2015 and signed an $85 million deal for lease of two berths which will be used as container and multi-purpose cargo terminals.

But India got a rude shock after the signing of the MoU on learning that Iran had not disclosed that the port had been leased on a long-term basis to a private firm, Arya Bandar. Both sides went back to the drawing board to draw up a new contract.

On July 9, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Hassan Rouhani met on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Ufa, Russia, which provided the required political impetus to Chabahar.

Five days days later, the foreign ministers of six nations – the P5+1 – stood together in Vienna and announced the completion of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action with Iran. As foreign firms rushed to Thran in anticipation of the removal of sanctions, India tried to keep pace.

Iranian foreign minister Javed Zarif travelled to India to keep up the impetus in August. External Affairs minister Sushma Swaraj will make a return visit this week – on April 16.

Meanwhile, New Delhi and Kabul were also coordinating efforts, with the project figuring large in bilateral documents released after major visits in April and December last year.

In between, the India-Iran joint commission meeting in Delhi in December kept up the pressure – with Swaraj noting that Indian participation in Chabahar will “facilitate the linking of Afghanistan and Central Asia with India”.

In January 4 this year, Afghanistan chief executive Abdullah Abdullah made a visit to the port project.

At the Raisina Dialogue last month, foreign secretary S. Jaishankar also termed the opening up of Iran as one of the “game changers” which would help India to break out towards Central Asia.

After the official lifting of the sanctions against Iran in January 2016, bilateral foreign office consultations in Delhi took the matter forward – especially as a bilateral VVIP visit was on the anvil. China’s spreading presence in Chabahar was another added incentive for New Delhi to accelerate progress.

Meanwhile, other pieces of the Chabahar puzzle were falling into place. The contract between Iran’s Arya Bander and India Ports Global Private Limited, an SPV of the Kandla and Jawaharlal Nehru port trust, was finalised and will be signed during the Maritime India summit this week. The cabinet also approved a $150 million line of credit for development of Chabahar.

This week, the minister of state for petroleum and gas, Dharmendra Pradhan went to Iran bearing gifts – or at least the promise of gifts – worth $20 billion. On April 10, he visited the Chabahar free trade zone and port and expressed interest in setting up an LNG plant and a gas cracker unit at Chabahar.

With Chabahar Text Finalised, India’s Dream of a Road to Afghanistan Gathers Speed | The Wire
 
Looking forward to it after the success of Rafael,tejas and modi Pakistan foreign policy.
Acountry which will not sign a deal for asking price reduction of 1-2 billion dollars to strenthen its defence will spend $20 billion to import hashish and poppy from land of Warlords
 
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Looking forward to it after the success of Rafael,tejas and modi Pakistan foreign policy.
Acountry which will not sign a deal for asking price reduction of 1-2 billion dollars to strenthen its defence will spend $20 billion to import hashish and poppy from land of Warlords
lol never underestimate the trading skills of hindu baniya
 
To New Delhi and Kabul, Pakistan’s development of Gwadar port with China and continued reluctance to give transit rights to India for Afghanistan and Central Asia, gives a certain strategic sheen to Chabahar. In 2014-15, India-Afghanistan bilateral trade stood at $684 million, which both capitals feel is far below potential.

If Pakistan is playing its cards right it is well on track to cause a massive financial shock to India.

Has Pakistan been liberal in giving transit trade concession to India. the opportunity of Chahbar would still lurk around and act as a negotiating fulcrum to extract more discounts and concessions from Pakistan...

If Pakistan suddenly liberalizes after multi-billion dollar investments in Chahbar it would cause sudden erosion of business and market share at Chahbar as well as massive financial shock to India.

There is a suspicious side to this whole deal that Iran is tracking India for investment in its port rather than doing it itself.

And always remember Iran is under watchful eyes of sanction axe anytime which would have massive implications for both India and Pakistan.

Pakistan will earn during sanctions time on Iran while India will lose.

A port needs two way traffic to make it business competitive for international maritime freighters. Now there is not much Afghanistan and Iran can export so you are looking at ships unloading cargo and returning empty. Which would raise the cost of freight to this port..Just to give you an example of how cost can escalate..

Dubai and Dammam seaport are in close proximity to each other yet it cost half as much than Dammam to ship containers to Dubai. Shipping is a game of economies of scale...volume up..cost down...

China’s existing sea route passes through the risky South China Sea, Pacific Rim, the Strait of Malacca and Sri Lanka, and Chinese vessels have to cruise about 10,000 km to reach the trading partners in the region. But the Gwadar Port will reduce the sea distance to 2,500 km instead of 10,000 km and land distance for Kashgar to 2,800 because Kashgar is 4,500 km from the main Chinese port, the port of Shanghai, while Gwadar is 2800 km from Kashgar. Resultantly, it will not only save time, but also millions of dollars for China.
 
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Pakistan will earn during sanctions time on Iran while India will lose.

Nice analyst. Except for the quote above.

Even during the sanctions India kept it's trade with Iran continuing. Granted they bought Iranian oil for next to nothing, thanks to India's Economic Muscle.

There's only so much the US can do, the world wants a piece of the Indian economy.
 
Nice analyst. Except for the quote above.

Even during the sanctions India kept it's trade with Iran continuing. Granted they bought Iranian oil for next to nothing, thanks to India's Economic Muscle.

There's only so much the US can do, the world wants a piece of the Indian economy.

Iran had no choice either because no one would carry Iranian crude or insure their ships..
Therefore in this regards still Iran stands to benefit more from Pakistan where it can ship oil by pipeline offsetting the needs of ship and insurance.

A port is not viable only on government backed crude oil trade..it needs a massive shipping volume and during sanctions time many international maritime freight liners will simply not sail to Iran...while Gwadar will take place of Dubai Free zone for re-exports to Iran.
 
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Negotiators from Afghanistan, India and Iran have reached agreement on the contours of a deal that will turn an Iranian port near Pakistan into the hub through which all roads to the region from India will run.

An Iranian guard looks on at oil docks at the port of Kalantari in the city of Chabahar, 300km (186 miles) east of the Strait of Hormuz. Credit: REUTERS/RAHEB HOMAVANDI

New Delhi: The 13-year-old proposal of a trade route from India to Iran, and Afghanistan and also Central Asia – bypassing Pakistan – is now within grasping distance of becoming reality.

The three countries have finished negotiations on the text of the trilateral transport and transit pact that will serve as the legal framework to operate trade corridors with the Iranian port of Chabahar as its main hub.

“The three technical negotiating teams finalised the text yesterday (Monday, April 11),” Afghanistan’s ambassador to India, Shaida Abdali told The Wire on Tuesday evening. “This is a very, very crucial agreement for Afghanistan. The opening of this corridor will help us to fully reach our potential, give us a new trade route. This is a completely new chapter”.

Monday was a very long day for Indian, Iranian and Afghanistan negotiators as they laboured to finish the text. They finally dispersed after shaking hands at 9.30 in the night. The text was finalized at the second meeting of the expert group. Their first meeting had been in Tehran last September.

“We are talking about the dates for the signing, which will likely take place in Iran,” he said.

Asked who would sign the agreement, Abdali said the preference was for this to happen “at the highest level possible”. “We hope to sign it within the next two months,” he added.

Incidentally, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is scheduled to visit Iran in the first half of this year.

Sources said that the agreement will encompass the trade and transport corridors which will link Mumbai to Chabahar and Afghanistan, via Zahedan. However, the pact has not specified the routes, which will be decided later.

As per diplomatic sources, negotiators had to overcome last moment hurdles over visa issues.

To New Delhi and Kabul, Pakistan’s development of Gwadar port with China and continued reluctance to give transit rights to India for Afghanistan and Central Asia, gives a certain strategic sheen to Chabahar. In 2014-15, India-Afghanistan bilateral trade stood at $684 million, which both capitals feel is far below potential.

While India and Iran had first spoken about Chabahar in 2002, the first trilateral meeting with Afghanistan was held in 2003. In 2004, Ashok Leyland Project services and two state-owned railway construction firms formed a consortium with ambitious plans for building the missing rail connectivity and developing the port. But the work never took off.

India completed the 215-kilometre Zaranj-Delaram highway in 2009, which gave land-locked Afghanistan an outlet to another sea port – thereby reducing its dependence on access to Pakistani ports.

With nearly a decade lost due to Western sanctions against Iran over the nuclear issue, there was some sign of life in the Iranian port project when a trilateral working group was set up in 2012.

Meanwhile, Iran and six world powers formally began nuclear negotiations in November 2013. It was the wake-up call required for New Delhi to remove the cobwebs over the Chabahar talks and take it forward.

When the nuclear negotiations were at the last crucial stage, shipping minister Nitin Gadkari visited visited Iran in May 2015 and signed an $85 million deal for lease of two berths which will be used as container and multi-purpose cargo terminals.

But India got a rude shock after the signing of the MoU on learning that Iran had not disclosed that the port had been leased on a long-term basis to a private firm, Arya Bandar. Both sides went back to the drawing board to draw up a new contract.

On July 9, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Hassan Rouhani met on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Ufa, Russia, which provided the required political impetus to Chabahar.

Five days days later, the foreign ministers of six nations – the P5+1 – stood together in Vienna and announced the completion of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action with Iran. As foreign firms rushed to Thran in anticipation of the removal of sanctions, India tried to keep pace.

Iranian foreign minister Javed Zarif travelled to India to keep up the impetus in August. External Affairs minister Sushma Swaraj will make a return visit this week – on April 16.

Meanwhile, New Delhi and Kabul were also coordinating efforts, with the project figuring large in bilateral documents released after major visits in April and December last year.

In between, the India-Iran joint commission meeting in Delhi in December kept up the pressure – with Swaraj noting that Indian participation in Chabahar will “facilitate the linking of Afghanistan and Central Asia with India”.

In January 4 this year, Afghanistan chief executive Abdullah Abdullah made a visit to the port project.

At the Raisina Dialogue last month, foreign secretary S. Jaishankar also termed the opening up of Iran as one of the “game changers” which would help India to break out towards Central Asia.

After the official lifting of the sanctions against Iran in January 2016, bilateral foreign office consultations in Delhi took the matter forward – especially as a bilateral VVIP visit was on the anvil. China’s spreading presence in Chabahar was another added incentive for New Delhi to accelerate progress.

Meanwhile, other pieces of the Chabahar puzzle were falling into place. The contract between Iran’s Arya Bander and India Ports Global Private Limited, an SPV of the Kandla and Jawaharlal Nehru port trust, was finalised and will be signed during the Maritime India summit this week. The cabinet also approved a $150 million line of credit for development of Chabahar.

This week, the minister of state for petroleum and gas, Dharmendra Pradhan went to Iran bearing gifts – or at least the promise of gifts – worth $20 billion. On April 10, he visited the Chabahar free trade zone and port and expressed interest in setting up an LNG plant and a gas cracker unit at Chabahar.

With Chabahar Text Finalised, India’s Dream of a Road to Afghanistan Gathers Speed | The Wire

Great news for commerce in the region.
 
If Pakistan is playing its cards right it is well on track to cause a massive financial shock to India.

Has Pakistan been liberal in giving transit trade concession to India. the opportunity of Chahbar would still lurk around and act as a negotiating fulcrum to extract more discounts and concessions from Pakistan...

If Pakistan suddenly liberalizes after multi-billion dollar investments in Chahbar it would cause sudden erosion of business and market share at Chahbar as well as massive financial shock to India.

There is a suspicious side to this whole deal that Iran is tracking India for investment in its port rather than doing it itself.

And always remember Iran is under watchful eyes of sanction axe anytime which would have massive implications for both India and Pakistan.

Pakistan will earn during sanctions time on Iran while India will lose.

A port needs two way traffic to make it business competitive for international maritime freighters. Now there is not much Afghanistan and Iran can export so you are looking at ships unloading cargo and returning empty. Which would raise the cost of freight to this port..Just to give you an example of how cost can escalate..

Dubai and Dammam seaport are in close proximity to each other yet it cost half as much than Dammam to ship containers to Dubai. Shipping is a game of economies of scale...volume up..cost down...

China’s existing sea route passes through the risky South China Sea, Pacific Rim, the Strait of Malacca and Sri Lanka, and Chinese vessels have to cruise about 10,000 km to reach the trading partners in the region. But the Gwadar Port will reduce the sea distance to 2,500 km instead of 10,000 km and land distance for Kashgar to 2,800 because Kashgar is 4,500 km from the main Chinese port, the port of Shanghai, while Gwadar is 2800 km from Kashgar. Resultantly, it will not only save time, but also millions of dollars for China.


Yawn...oh great wonderful insight.....you're so smart. Where did you get your degree from? LMAO... Iran is never going to f-k up this great opportunity it has. Israel has been pacified. The US has ensured that its safety is paramount. Nobody is going to do anything. India's role is cemented and guaranteed.
 
If Pakistan is playing its cards right it is well on track to cause a massive financial shock to India.

Has Pakistan been liberal in giving transit trade concession to India. the opportunity of Chahbar would still lurk around and act as a negotiating fulcrum to extract more discounts and concessions from Pakistan...

If Pakistan suddenly liberalizes after multi-billion dollar investments in Chahbar it would cause sudden erosion of business and market share at Chahbar as well as massive financial shock to India.

There is a suspicious side to this whole deal that Iran is tracking India for investment in its port rather than doing it itself.

And always remember Iran is under watchful eyes of sanction axe anytime which would have massive implications for both India and Pakistan.

Pakistan will earn during sanctions time on Iran while India will lose.

A port needs two way traffic to make it business competitive for international maritime freighters. Now there is not much Afghanistan and Iran can export so you are looking at ships unloading cargo and returning empty. Which would raise the cost of freight to this port..Just to give you an example of how cost can escalate..

Dubai and Dammam seaport are in close proximity to each other yet it cost half as much than Dammam to ship containers to Dubai. Shipping is a game of economies of scale...volume up..cost down...

China’s existing sea route passes through the risky South China Sea, Pacific Rim, the Strait of Malacca and Sri Lanka, and Chinese vessels have to cruise about 10,000 km to reach the trading partners in the region. But the Gwadar Port will reduce the sea distance to 2,500 km instead of 10,000 km and land distance for Kashgar to 2,800 because Kashgar is 4,500 km from the main Chinese port, the port of Shanghai, while Gwadar is 2800 km from Kashgar. Resultantly, it will not only save time, but also millions of dollars for China.


Few problem:

First: Let's assume that India lose ALL of its investment in Chabhar, $20 billion investment done over a period of a decade (basically $2 Billion per year) is hardly a shock for a country like India.

Second: You assume this investment to be an investment done for financial reasons. It is not. Trade from Afghanistan and CAR would not even recoup principle, let alone make any profit. This is an strategic investment in order to make Afghanistan independent of Pakistani blackmail and give them leverage against Pakistan. A strong Afghanistan is a bigger nightmare for Pakistan than India as Afghans could potentially walk away with half of Pakistani territory; something which they would try as it would give them access to Oceans. A strong Afghanistan would result in constant terrorism in Pakistan.

Third: You are assuming that if Pakistan liberalize, India would use Pakistan for transit while Chahbar still exist. It would not simply because apart from harassment Indian truckers would face from Pakistani auxiliaries (Islamic Terrorists), transport by Truck to Afghanistan would always be costlier than Sea+Rail transport for anywhere except Easternmost part of Afghanistan. This is economics 101.

Fourth: You are assuming that Central Asian republics would prefer Gwadar over Chahbar. They do not have any advantage in doing so. Apart from the fact that distance between Gwadar/Karachi is more than that of Chahbar/Bandar Abbas, A CAR convoy headed for Gwadar/Karachi would have to pass through terrors infested Af-Pak border. This is not to say that CAR would use Chahbar for business (neither is Chahbar being built on this assumption), but that Iranian ports are not only cheaper, but also safer for business. To CAR, Gwadar does not make any economic sense.

Fifth: Like every Pakistani , you are deluded about importance of Gwadar. Your corridor ,apart from being 5000Km+ away from Chinese populated areas, also passes through impossible terrain of Karakoram. Even assuming a flat terrain, transportation cost of supplying Chinese Eastern cities from Dubai is 16 times more than cost of supplying them by Sea, and Khunjreb pass through which your corridor would be passing remain open only from May 1 to December 31. And if that was not enough, your CPEC opens in South-West corner of a Chinese province which is 2.1 times larger than Pakistan, but has a population just double of Karachi. When you people go gaga over CPEC, it is better that you consult a map. Beyond Kashi lies nothingness of Takla Makan desert. Even to reach Kashi, you have to cross Kulum Shan range after crossing Karakoram range.

India sending goods to Moscow using Chahbar is more of a possibility than CPEC sending goods to China.

Sixth: Iran is gravitating towards west faster than you could say allies. It is adopting classical doublespeak of Arabs vis-a-vis West and Israel.
 
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Second: You assume this investment to be an investment done for financial reasons. It is not. Trade from Afghanistan and CAR would not even recoup principle, let alone make any profit. This is an strategic investment in order to make Afghanistan independent of Pakistani blackmail and give them leverage against Pakistan. A strong Afghanistan is a bigger nightmare for Pakistan as Afghans could potentially walk away with half of Pakistani territory; something which they would try as it would give them access to Oceans. A strong Afghanistan would result in constant terrorism in Pakistan.

Sometimes one cannot conceal speaking their mind...the entire propellent of Indian policies in Afghanistan is to spread terror in Pakistan...this is easier said than done because everyone knows when push comes to shove...we will make it full scale conflict in Afghanistan.

Nothing stopped Pakistan from arming taliban back in the 70's not even the threat of super power soviet uinon and nothing stops us today..

Fifth: Like every Pakistani , you are deluded about importance of Gwadar. Your corridor ,apart from being 5000Km+ away from Chinese populated areas, also passes through impossible terrain of Karakoram. Even assuming a flat terrain, transportation cost of supplying Chinese Eastern cities from Dubai is 16 times more than cost of supplying them by Sea, and Khunjreb pass through which your corridor would be passing remain open only from May 1 to December 31. And if that was not enough, your CPEC opens in South-West corner of a Chinese province which is 2.1 times larger than Pakistan, but has a population just double of Karachi. When you people go gaga over CPEC, it is better that you consult a map. Beyond Kashi lies nothingness of Takla Makan desert. Even to reach Kashi, you have to cross Kulum Shan range after crossing Karakoram range.

I do not understand where Dubai came into picture? China has no border with Dubai..beside the route you are discussing...is just one of the CPEC routes...the final project has three routes...giving year round access..
 
Looking forward to it after the success of Rafael,tejas and modi Pakistan foreign policy.
Acountry which will not sign a deal for asking price reduction of 1-2 billion dollars to strenthen its defence will spend $20 billion to import hashish and poppy from land of Warlords

I remember a time when that list was a lot bigger for pakistanis to gloat about, and its only gonna get smaller. I hope you guys learn to live with that. Chabahar is ready and it will only challenge Gwadar even more so in the coming decade.

Remember something is a failure only until it is a success.
 
As long as west Kashmir is with Pakistan, there is no land access to Iran, all we do is make sure it will not fall.
 
Sometimes one cannot conceal speaking their mind...the entire propellent of Indian policies in Afghanistan is to spread terror in Pakistan...this is easier said than done because everyone knows when push comes to shove...we will make it full scale conflict in Afghanistan.

Nothing stopped Pakistan from arming taliban back in the 70's not even the threat of super power soviet uinon and nothing stops us today..


This is strange. I always speak truth, at least on Internet. It is not like you could do anything if you not like my posts , or make a case against India using some anonymus posting on internet.

Yes, it is in favour of India if Pakistan remain infested with terrorists. It is your narrative that India is sending terrorists into Pakistan which is faulty. India is not doing anything like that. You would not find a single Indian terrorist in Pakistan. We only empower Afghans to create terrorism in Pakistan. Only your country is stupid enough to use its citizens as terrorists, thus implicating itself.
 
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