jhungary
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Well, it depends on how you see it.Don't you think Usa power has declined since Afghan and Iraqi wars. Yes Usa can do alot to Saudis but will this increase or decrease Usa power, to me it looks like Saudis know Usa is declining so they're trying to balance the relation with China. I dont think they would dare to do this 20 years ago. It doesn't mean Saudi will leave usa camp but will try to balance it so they're not totally reliant on the usa. Egypt has done the same, they bought alot of weaponry from the Russians, before that they were reliant on Usa weapons.
At the moment ofcourse Usa is very powerful but Chinese rise must be raising eyebrows in international relations.
Power level is always the same, it's just depends on what you focus on, at this moment, this current administration is focusing the power back to Europe, after Russia invaded Ukraine. It is a given because that would have to revitalise the European defence, you can see the end result is US being redeploying some of their force in Europe and Europe as a whole increase their readiness.
U.S. to boost military presence in Europe for Russia threat
President Joe Biden says the U.S. is enhancing its military presence in Europe for the long haul to bolster regional security after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
www.cbsnews.com
Problem is, you can't redeploy your force without shifting focus, which mean if US were to increase present in Europe, something gotta give, it would either be drawing force from Continental command (Which protect US Mainland and South Am), or taking away forces in the Middle East/Africa, or taking away forces in Asia Pacific. and the natural response is going to be step away from Middle East because US cannot afford to not defend their backyard, or stem the Chinese rise in the Pacific, which mean the only logical choice is to step back from Middle East. That is what this shift come from.
On the other hand, China cannot replace US as security partner with the GCC, because the Chinese don't have direct access to the area. Problem for Chinese force is they aren't really a global force, which mean if need arise, you can't really depends on them to save your behind. For China to intervene in the middle east, they would need to have unrestricted access over the Indian ocean, which is now still considered US/UK/Indian backyard, I mean, if that line in the indian ocean is cut for the Chinese, then it would be bad news for GCC if they depends on China.
All in all, there weren't going to change much in the future, unless India somehow align with China, that would have change the dynamic of the global security situation. Because you ALWAYS needed India to be on your side to have access to Indian Ocean. On the other hand, Russian influence is going to go straight down after their misadventure in Ukraine....