Let me make it clear that i am against GOI help to Taiwan because it do not give us any significant advantage....Moreover it would be foolish for oth India and China to lock horns....However your reasoning needs a reality check so sharing my thoughts....
I feel that you Indians cannot play this game due to:
Yup lets see your reasons....
1) China and Taiwan are the same; same culture and similar language with only political differences
2) Recent warming of ties across Taiwan Strait.
3) Taiwan already gets help from United States when it comes to defense.
4) Even initiating ties with Taiwan at an international level would mean flattening your $60 billion plus annual trade with China mainland and severing ties with it and start from scratch with Taipei. Are your politicians willing to do it, especially since your government has historically had a Socialist approach?
5) Potential aggression from China and sourness of the ties that have started becoming better between Beijing and you.
6) Are you capable enough yet to do what the Chinese are supposedly doing in your strategic backyard? Their economy is almost 4 times yours and so is their capability.
1) Very wrong example....Can you please elaborate what happens to this same culture, similar language when Taiwan take help from US??? This one reason does not hold ground...If India can provide credible defence to Taiwan there is no reason they will not take it from us....Just look at India and Pakistan...Same culture ...same language and yet so much rivalry because of political difference....
2) However that warming of ties did not stop taiwan from going ahead with a $6.4 billion arms deal with US..right??? This news is just a month old
China urges US to end arms sales to Taiwan
In fact so much lobbying has been done by China against this deal
US arms sales to Taiwan on hold - People's Daily Online
So yes warming up is going on...but that does not mean Taiwan will stop arming herself...
3) Yes...However how will it hurt if India can provide them something which can add more teeth to her defence capabilities??
4) Buddy this trade is both ways....You are making it sound as if $60 trade loss is pea nuts for China but a huge loss for GOI... b/w you know that there is a huge trade deficit in China's favor as far this $60 billion is concerned...right???
5) Yes you are right...However you are again making it sound as if its only GOI's loss...It is a two way street my dear friend...Any potential agression b/w two giants is going to harm both and west will cash in the most...
6) What?? I am sorry what exactly are you doing in our strategic backyard??? Secondly yes we are very much capable however our current priority is to take care of IOC...As of now we are doing great...We can't go to South China sea in anger and you cannot come to IOC in anger...We are happy with it....
My humble advise to you is not to get complacent about your emerging status and not attempt at something your country cannot do for at least next 2 decades.
Well wait just for this decade and you will see how your humble advice will fall flat....It is better for China and India not to cross each other lines but if you think that China can keep arming PAk and expect India not to reciprocate then you are mistaken....Sooner or later you will see what i am talking about....