Psychic
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The first effort to change status quo on the LOC was not made in 1983 (PA snow gear order). The line had already been violated prior to that by the Indian side. The first ever violation of the Simla Agreement was made by India right after it was signed; when Indian forces occupied Chorbet La area by crossing the LOC and establishing five posts upto a depth of three kilometers.I would like to know why Pakistan should have been planning a change of status quo in 1983, through military action, and when beaten to the draw, went on planning to change the status quo through military action in 1999. Is it perhaps included in the role-definition that Pakistan should plan to change the status quo through military action, and India should, in all cases, simply react?
Coming to the Siachen region, while its true that it was undemarcated as per the Karachi Agreement, the language used (from NJ9842 thence North to the glaciers) was vague. Pakistan claimed the area on the basis of having controlled it since 47. Both India and the rest of the world acknowledged Pakistan's de-facto control over Siachen. India publicly acknowledged it in her Parliament and in its written communications with Pakistan[when it was protesting against the Sino-Pak 1963 Boundary Agreement]. International mountaineering groups also accepted, Pakistan’s version of the LOC (which included Siachen). To add further to this, I quote:
" The Atlases reflecting Pakistan’s version of the LOC were produced in the US and UK by National Geographic and by Encyclopaedia Britannica (1979) and in the maps produced in the prestigious American Alpine Journal and Hugh Swift’s classic Trekkers Guide to the Himalaya and the Karakoram. Even US agency maps showed Siachin as part of Pakistan. India also made somewhat muted counter claims. Indian military launched its first expedition into the area in the late seventies, (prior to Pak shopping endeavor in 83 + attempt to change status quo). India opted not to publicly criticize the Pakistani control or express ‘fear’ of a complete Pakistani take-over of the area. India’s rethink on the area and its decision to overturn the status quo began in the late seventies................ However, when several mountaineering maps caught India’s attention, Delhi began focusing on the status of Siachen and its surrounding areas. These international maps, depicting a straight line canting off at a north-easterly angle and terminating on the Chinese border, had placed Siachen inside Pakistan."
Now, coming to the actual military expeditions in Siachen, the first ever was made in 1978 by Col Narinder Kumar planting Indian flag there. In 1981, India sent 70 soldiers on an eight week long expedition. In 1982, Pakistan sent two patrols which found evidence of presence of Ladakh Scouts in Goma which included Indian currency. In 1983, an SSG patrol encountered Indian presence, Indians withdrew rapidly; that was the time when Pakistan felt the need to militarily occupy the region and the race to take over the passes began. However, by this time, Indian preparations to occupy the region were already underway. India's occupation of the glacier was not a knee-jerk reaction to Pakistan's arctic equipment order as it was already sending military expeditions to the glacier to survey, reconnoiter and map the area since 1978. The narrative of "pre-emptive" takeover sells since no one is there to question it with facts like the take-over of Chorbet La, acknowledgment of Pakistan's defacto control or Kumar and Chibber's military expeditions in 1978 and 1981. Long before the militarization of Siachen region, India had already demonstrated by capturing Chorbet La in 1972 that whosoever is able to grab a piece of land through barrel of a gun will retain it as long as it could by force even when it is a blatant violation of a written agreement.
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