What is Modi's real game plan in Kashmir?

[Verve]

AoA

Below are some of my thoughts on what I think Modi's real game plan on Kashmir is. It is kind of disorganized due to back pain so apologies in advance.

Modi has split Kashmir in two Union Territories (& not States - please differentiate between the two as that is important - UTs have their own laws whereas States do not) and this will give him the opportunity to amend the laws of each. Therein is the flexibility for amendments specifically for the Valley - the main area of resistance. Overall the Hindutvas are celebrating the de-operationalizing of Article 370 and Trump's offer is a thing of the past. Modi is happy and so are his fellow fascists.

Main objective has been achieved. Ladakh, pro-India, is where the development and investment will flow to including possible US/Israeli military bases. Hence USA's backing.

It is highly unlikely that local and foreign investors will invest in the Valley anytime soon due to high risk of conflict and insurgency. Chinese will not attack Ladakh unless India attacks China (unlikely) - Taiwan and Hong Kong are it's main priority so result will be punitive diplomatic actions from China. Is Pakistan going to start a war over these changes in Ladakh? Highly unlikely.

BJP leaders in Jammu have already asked Modi not to allow free movement (i.e. relocation and purchase of land) by outsiders. Ladakh will allow that whereas J&K will not. This will add to cooling down the situation in the Valley and the Hindutvas won't make too much noise about it as the request has come from BJP leaders amongst other celebrations. Clever move this.

Israeli tactics at display. Clamp down the areas of maximum resistance whilst taking over the areas of least resistance.

So what is likely to happen in the Valley?

Well, there will be mass protests after the curfew is lifted but movement in and out of Valley will remain very much restricted. Troops will be pulled back to allow normalancy and things to cool down. Genocide may have been a provisional part of the plan but I do not think it was the operative - cut off Ladakh from the Valley. Valley will be the open air jail with no freedom of movement in and out.

Demography in the Valley will not be changed in the short run.

No Genocide = no PaK Army attack

Many more will join Freedom Fighters and insurgency will pick up pace over the next few years. Heavy troop deployment will assure that it remains confined to Valley only. Only when insurgency starts to peak, we will likely witness the beginning of the genocide (fitna as per NSW). Some time to go.

Will India attack AJK?

Unlikely. If only one looks at the Fascists and the way they control their public, they will be diverted to celebrate Ladakh and attack on GB. All it takes is a slight change of direction by their media and it's done.

Will India attack GB?

Likely, after a false flag. This serves both US and Indian interests (to cut off China and Pakistan, and India having land route to Afghanistan) and it may just be shortly after the curfew is lifted or in spring.

Short Localised Northern war. Indian media will beat the drums of victory and Fascists will celebrate. As usual, Indoo army casualties will be classified as suicides.

There is little information on what the proxies are doing on the Eastern border. However in the light of COAS's recent statement, it seems that two front Northern war is on the card.

Are we heading for the Final War now?

Not now. Indian forces need more weapons for that and it just doesn't seem to fall in place to say that it is happening anytime soon. Pakistan's policy has been defensive but events leading up to the Final War will change the policy to the offensive. That will be the genocide in the Valley.

----

Winter is approaching so localised Northern war will have to be very soon or when the ice starts to melt. I still think it will be a two front war and Modi may have been pushed to make this move earlier than planned.

What I find really interesting are the voices from the Zionist controlled Western Media. Overall my conclusion is that the focus is being kept on the curfew in Valley whilst illegal take over of Ladakh has totally been sidelined/omitted. All seems pre-planned.

 

[PurAzamBaHadaf]

I disagree with India attacking GB. They won't do that because their primary objective has been achieved and India knows what will happen if they try to carry out any midadventure in the future.

 

[PakSword]

I agree with many points you have mention.. but I don't agree with you on India attacking GB or AJK or crossing international border..

India may carryout genocide.. if not.. displacement/ relocation of Kashmiris to prepare for the referendum in Kashmir.

 

[Verve]

I agree with many points you have mention.. but I don't agree with you on India attacking GB or AJK or crossing international border..

India may carryout genocide.. if not.. displacement/ relocation of Kashmiris to prepare for the referendum in Kashmir.

Indian attack will be in disputed region only, and GB is part of that. It will be after the false flag(s).

Valley will not be touched. Israeli tactics. It will be enclavement of Valley and change of demography will be around it where there is least/no resistance.

Referendum/plebiscite - the thought of that is dead and burried. Never going to happen. No Indian government will commit that suicide. And Pakistan will never accept it, neither will AJK people.

 

[PakSword]

Indian attack will be in disputed region only, and GB is part of that. It will be after the false flag(s).

Valley will not be touched. Israeli tactics. It will be enclavement of Valley where there is least resistance to change of demography.

Referendum - the thought of that is dead and burried. Never going to happen.

India will never attack Pakistan as it will create a havoc around the world.. and Kashmir dispute will again go to Security Council.. India doesn't want that. Instead, India wants us to recognize GB and AJK and convert LoC into international border.

Unless India is confident that it will decisively defeat Pakistan, India will not attack Pakistan.. India has to lose much more in the next war.. at least 50 times more than Pakistan.

 

[Verve]

India will never attack Pakistan as it will create a havoc around the world.. and Kashmir dispute will again go to Security Council.. India doesn't want that. Instead, India wants us to recognize GB and AJK and convert LoC into international border.

Unless India is confident that it will decisively defeat Pakistan, India will not attack Pakistan.. India has to lose much more in the next war.. at least 50 times more than Pakistan.

And US in all this? This game is much bigger than just what India wants.

 

[war&peace]

India will never attack Pakistan as it will create a havoc around the world.. and Kashmir dispute will again go to Security Council.. India doesn't want that. Instead, India wants us to recognize GB and AJK and convert LoC into international border.

Unless India is confident that it will decisively defeat Pakistan, India will not attack Pakistan.. India has to lose much more in the next war.. at least 50 times more than Pakistan.

Initially I used to think that India won't but after our so called Muslim brothers started openly supporting India in all her actions and rewarded Modi, I think India is not afraid of any diplomatic uproar..in fact I have come to know that certain Islami brother is part of the plans..

 

[PakSword]

And US in all this? This game is much bigger than just what India wants.

US has many more places to station its forces against China.. Vietnam is one of them. Hong Kong is being prepared...

But even if US is interested, India can provide IoK and Ladakh for investments and bases once the situation is controlled and Pakistan is arm twisted into submission. For that, India doesn't require to attack Pakistan and lose all its progress at the cost of US interests.. You and I know Indians.. they are banyas.. they play on others money.. they don't let others play on their money.

 

[graphican]

Don't overlook the fact that Israel is looking to demolish Masjid-e-Aqsa soon - and it must engage or ally every Islamic country which has the ability to pose it a challenge. Only three such states are around them which may pose a challenge including Turkey, Iran, and Pakistan.

For Turkey, I don't have visibility but for Iran and Paksitan, the game plan is visible. In the last few months, we felt as if USA and Iran will undergo a fight - that didn't happen but when Israel starts its operations against Majid-e-Aqsa, Iran and Pakistan both need to be engaged. For Iran, USA will help and for Pakistan, India will have to do its bit.

Western media's voicing over Kashmir is unusual, they didn't speak a word on Ughair where the massacre was happening but on Kashmir and this time only, they are speaking, reporting and acting to be concerned. They are helping the conflict and will continue to do until Pakistan is engaged with India and Israel gets its "fair-go".

Just a reminder, in 2015 - occurrence of 4 blood moons was taken as a message for the Jews to rebuild the temple of Solomon - and within 6 years of this incident they expect temple will be built. We are into 5th year now.

 

[Fawadqasim1]

AoA

Below are some of my thoughts on what I think Modi's real game plan on Kashmir is. It is kind of disorganized due to back pain so apologies in advance.

Modi has split Kashmir in two Union Territories (& not States - please differentiate between the two as that is important - UTs have their own laws whereas States do not) and this will give him the opportunity to amend the laws of each. Therein is the flexibility for amendments specifically for the Valley - the main area of resistance. Overall the Hindutvas are celebrating the de-operationalizing of Article 370 and Trump's offer is a thing of the past. Modi is happy and so are his fellow fascists.

Main objective has been achieved. Ladakh, pro-India, is where the development and investment will flow to including possible US/Israeli military bases. Hence USA's backing.

It is highly unlikely that local and foreign investors will invest in the Valley anytime soon due to high risk of conflict and insurgency. Chinese will not attack Ladakh unless India attacks China (unlikely) - Taiwan and Hong Kong are it's main priority so result will be punitive diplomatic actions from China. Is Pakistan going to start a war over these changes in Ladakh? Highly unlikely.

BJP leaders in Jammu have already asked Modi not to allow free movement (i.e. relocation and purchase of land) by outsiders. Ladakh will allow that whereas J&K will not. This will add to cooling down the situation in the Valley and the Hindutvas won't make too much noise about it as the request has come from BJP leaders amongst other celebrations. Clever move this.

Israeli tactics at display. Clamp down the areas of maximum resistance whilst taking over the areas of least resistance.

So what is likely to happen in the Valley?

Well, there will be mass protests after the curfew is lifted but movement in and out of Valley will remain very much restricted. Troops will be pulled back to allow normalancy and things to cool down. Genocide may have been a provisional part of the plan but I do not think it was the operative - cut off Ladakh from the Valley. Valley will be the open air jail with no freedom of movement in and out.

Demography in the Valley will not be changed in the short run.

No Genocide = no PaK Army attack

Many more will join Freedom Fighters and insurgency will pick up pace over the next few years. Heavy troop deployment will assure that it remains confined to Valley only. Only when insurgency starts to peak, we will likely witness the beginning of the genocide (fitna as per NSW). Some time to go.

Will India attack AJK?

Unlikely. If only one looks at the Fascists and the way they control their public, they will be diverted to celebrate Ladakh and attack on GB. All it takes is a slight change of direction by their media and it's done.

Will India attack GB?

Likely, after a false flag. This serves both US and Indian interests (to cut off China and Pakistan, and India having land route to Afghanistan) and it may just be shortly after the curfew is lifted or in spring.

Short Localised Northern war. Indian media will beat the drums of victory and Fascists will celebrate. As usual, Indoo army casualties will be classified as suicides.

There is little information on what the proxies are doing on the Eastern border. However in the light of COAS's recent statement, it seems that two front Northern war is on the card.

Are we heading for the Final War now?

Not now. Indian forces need more weapons for that and it just doesn't seem to fall in place to say that it is happening anytime soon. Pakistan's policy has been defensive but events leading up to the Final War will change the policy to the offensive. That will be the genocide in the Valley.

----

Winter is approaching so localised Northern war will have to be very soon or when the ice starts to melt. I still think it will be a two front war and Modi may have been pushed to make this move earlier than planned.

What I find really interesting are the voices from the Zionist controlled Western Media. Overall my conclusion is that the focus is being kept on the curfew in Valley whilst illegal take over of Ladakh has totally been sidelined/omitted. All seems pre-planned.

War is a game of misdirections sir as far as gb is concerned it's safe sir they won't dare to attack GB it will mean an all out war ( it's our life line) and a direct attack on Chinese interests.
dramas like pulwama can happen.
congratulations are in order for a well thought out and well written article.

 

[PakSword]

Initially I used to think that India won't but after our so called Muslim brothers openly supporting India in all her actions and rewarding Modi, I think India is not afraid of any diplomatic uproar,..in fact I have come to know that certain Islami brother is part of the plans..

Even if what you are saying is true, India doesn't need any approval from anyone to attack Pakistan.

People are forgetting that India has to lose so much in the next war that it will go at least 3-4 decades back.. All the Foreign investment will go out of India.. People will go jobless.. Its IT industries, manufacturing sector and dams in Kashmir will get the direct hits.. Stock exchanges will be converted into rubble. This I am only talking about conventional war, not taking nuclear into perspective.

Pakistan doesn't have to lose much in the war.. Foreign investors are still low in number. We don't have established industries.. we have huge loans and right after the war, we can file for bankruptcy.

Bro, believe me.. Banya is so clever that it will not jeopardize all that it has achieved in the past 15-20 years.. Whatever it is doing currently is not for war.. India knows that it can't enter AJK without losing tens of thousands of soldiers.. and even in that case, SC will come to intervene with new resolutions which may provide inclusion of a third party..

And God forbid, if the war becomes nuclear, half of the world's population will perish in the first year and next half will barely survive. The Muslim countries you are talking about can't and will not side with India in any of the war.. Their tactical interests might be with India, but strategic interests are with us. You will see this if war happens.. Our oil supply will never stop during the war.

 

[Goenitz]

If china has raied issue over Ladakh how come shd can allow US bases in kashmir.

 

[Verve]

War is a game of misdirections sir as far as gb is concerned it's safe sir they won't dare to attack GB it will mean an all out war ( it's our life line) and a direct attack on Chinese interests.
dramas like pulwama can happen.
congratulations are in order for a well thought out and well written article.

Sir when I say attack on GB, I don't mean an attack to conquer but to destroy infrastructure and routes. And I do not think that Pak Army will retaliate by crossing International Border thus unlikely an all out war.

USA is supporting India for China containment and Israel is supporting to keep Pakistan away from helping the Arabs.

India doesn't need any approval from anyone to attack Pakistan

Yaar the reality is that India is not the planner in all this although they are pumped up to be. Israel and US Deep State are the real planners.

Just as Hitler was sponsored by Zionist bankers to achieve their objectives, Modi is as well.

Latest Spice 2000 version has been delivered to India now. Is that for China?

if the war becomes nuclear

Not going to happen. Battlefield nukes at the most.

World powers will never allow use of conventional nukes. Israel will go too.

 

[Sine Nomine]

Don't overlook the fact that Israel is looking to demolish Masjid-e-Aqsa soon - and it must engage or ally every Islamic country which has the ability to pose it a challenge. Only three such states are around them which may pose a challenge including Turkey, Iran, and Pakistan.

Muslim Blood more Sacred than the Holy Ka`ba

In the Targhib wa’ l-Tarhib of Imam al-Mundhiri, 3/276 it has the following hadith from `Abd Allah ibn `Amr ibn al-`As (Allah be well pleased with him) that he said:

“I saw the Messenger of Allah (saw) performing tawaf around the Holy Ka`ba saying to it: ‘how pure and good you are! how pure and good your fragrance is! how great and exalted you are! and how great and exalted your sanctity is! But by Him in Whose hand is Muhammad’s soul, the sanctity of a believer’s blood and property in the sight of Allah is greater than your sanctity!’“

رأيت رسول الله صلى الله عليه وسلم يطوف بالكعبة ويقول ما أطيبك وما أطيب ريحك ما أعظمك وما أعظم حرمتك والذي نفس محمد بيده لحرمه المؤمن عند الله أعظم من حرمتك ماله ودمه

Notes:

1. The blood of a Muslim is sacred.
2. Spilling Muslim blood is unlawful – without right.
3. It’s sanctity is compared to that of the Holy Ka`ba and declared greater.
4. The Muslim life and property must require protection and safeguarding.

And Allah knows best.
Million of Muslims have been killed.

 

[Kathin_Singh]

Game plan would be on same path as China did in Xinjiang. Now there are more Han Chinese in Xinjiang than ethnic Uighurs Muslims.