What does Biden Presidency mean for East Asia?

[Viet]

My bet:

the US will rejoin Tpp.
Thanks heavens Vietnam as Tpp member is offered a huge opportunity.
We will export cars. We will flood the US with cheap but high quality products.

What are your bets?

Biden would want the U.S. to rejoin Trans-Pacific Partnership, leading China watcher says

The U.S. election is still very much in play, but a victory by Joe Biden would likely see him wanting the U.S. back in the TPP in some new form, says a Harvard professor.

www.cnbc.com

 

[whatintarnation]

My bet:

the US will rejoin Tpp.
Thanks heavens Vietnam as Tpp member is offered a huge opportunity.
We will export cars. We will flood the US with cheap but high quality products.

What are your bets?

Biden would want the U.S. to rejoin Trans-Pacific Partnership, leading China watcher says

The U.S. election is still very much in play, but a victory by Joe Biden would likely see him wanting the U.S. back in the TPP in some new form, says a Harvard professor.

www.cnbc.com

I can't help but say that your predictions are as delusional as that guy who said WW3 will start in October, in regards to your claim that Vietnam "will flood the US with cheap but high-quality cars".

Vietnam's automotive industry has grown at a rapid pace but it's still a long ways from countries already in the lead like Thailand and Indonesia. Your country hasn't even penetrated the ASEAN market yet, let alone the US automotive market.

In addition, Vietnam's manufacturing sector is minuscule, currently, compared to other ASEAN nations with developed industrial sectors. So it'll be a long while before Joe buys a 24 pack of plastic cups from his local Walmart with a Made in Vietnam seal on it.

Other than that, I agree with your notion that the US will rejoin TPP. I personally don't know why they left the organization in the first place.

 

[Indos]

Nice thread @Viet , I would like to comment later or Tomorrow as I want to watch TV for a while.........

 

[Nan Yang]

No more fat Pompeo

 

[Viet]

Nice thread @Viet , I would like to comment later or Tomorrow as I want to watch TV for a while.........

Enjoy the Tv bro.
With Biden we begin a new game.
Trump’s America first is history.

 

[Globenim]

The U.S. will conduct the same shady business as usual with a slightly different themed pretext and labels for the same programs.

 

[FairAndUnbiased]

Biden is a personal contact of Xi Jinping when both were vice presidents. Domestically he'll be forced to deal with 5 internal crises facing the US:

1. Coronavirus pandemic
2. Economic depression
3. Racial justice
4. Political polarization
5. Debt crisis

He will be forced to take attention off China if he cares about the US domestically. The US can't just coast along on their Cold War era legacy anymore, it demands strong internal governance. Trump didn't care, and so left Biden an even larger mess.

 

[waz]

China healing.
Trying to ease tensions between S.Korea and Japan.
More political negotiations in Afghanistan.
Pressure on Russia.
Pulling back from Modi.

 

[Aspen]

No more fat Pompeo

This is the only thing we know for sure. But I'm not complaining

 

[obj 705A]

US foreign policy does not change regardless of who is the president, this should be obvious even for 5 year olds by now.

TPP will not come back because there is no popular support for it in the US, even Hillary dropped her support for it, however he will continue a policy that aims at achieving maximum damage to China/Russia through every means possible. but how can he even seriously harm China? by the time he is president in 2021 China will be even more capable than now, the Chinese semiconductor industry will be in a better position than now and the GDP may become around 16$ trillion.

So he does not have too many economic options against China, thus the US in 2021 (even if it was Trump instead of Biden) will depend mainly on non-economic ways to try to deal with China, mainly continue the freedom of navigation patrols, ramp up the sanctions on North Korea in hopes for a regime change, place more missiles in Australia, Japan and may be South Korea if they accept it, strengthen the Quad, try to convince India to host US and NATO military bases.

Almost every single US president has started some sort of a military conflict, Joe Biden himself is an absolute warhawk so it's highly unlikely that he will be one of the few exceptions that wouldn't start a war (not with China obviously because China is too much for them but with some other nation), so the question in which country Will Biden start a conflict and how is it gonna look like? a civil war may be like in Libya and Syria? a colour revolution like the one in Ukraine? Regardless the US will probably target a new country under a Biden presidency, may be regime change in Thailand or Algeria or Venezuela.

 

[tower9]

US foreign policy does not change regardless of who is the president, this should be obvious even for 5 year olds by now.

TPP will not come back because there is no popular support for it in the US, even Hillary dropped her support for it, however he will continue a policy that aims at achieving maximum damage to China/Russia through every means possible. but how can he even seriously harm China? by the time he is president in 2021 China will be even more capable than now, the Chinese semiconductor industry will be in a better position than now and the GDP may become around 16$ trillion.

So he does not have too many economic options against China, thus the US in 2021 (even if it was Trump instead of Biden) will depend mainly on non-economic ways to try to deal with China, mainly continue the freedom of navigation patrols, ramp up the sanctions on North Korea in hopes for a regime change, place more missiles in Australia, Japan and may be South Korea if they accept it, strengthen the Quad, try to convince India to host US and NATO military bases.

Almost every single US president has started some sort of a military conflict, Joe Biden himself is an absolute warhawk so it's highly unlikely that he will be one of the few exceptions that wouldn't start a war (not with China obviously because China is too much for them but with some other nation), so the question in which country Will Biden start a conflict and how is it gonna look like? a civil war may be like in Libya and Syria? a colour revolution like the one in Ukraine? Regardless the US will probably target a new country under a Biden presidency, may be regime change in Thailand or Algeria or Venezuela.

Biden may continue where Hillary left off, which is involvement/destabilization in Syria.

 

[donkeykong]

America will be anti russia and anti china still but at least they will hash out a trade plan and keep the markets in order. Biden will be far more focused on internal policy than foreign policy like trump was.

 

[Path-Finder]

where obama had left off it will pick up from there. wars and more deaths and mayhem.

 

[F-22Raptor]

US foreign policy does not change regardless of who is the president, this should be obvious even for 5 year olds by now.

TPP will not come back because there is no popular support for it in the US, even Hillary dropped her support for it, however he will continue a policy that aims at achieving maximum damage to China/Russia through every means possible. but how can he even seriously harm China? by the time he is president in 2021 China will be even more capable than now, the Chinese semiconductor industry will be in a better position than now and the GDP may become around 16$ trillion.

So he does not have too many economic options against China, thus the US in 2021 (even if it was Trump instead of Biden) will depend mainly on non-economic ways to try to deal with China, mainly continue the freedom of navigation patrols, ramp up the sanctions on North Korea in hopes for a regime change, place more missiles in Australia, Japan and may be South Korea if they accept it, strengthen the Quad, try to convince India to host US and NATO military bases.

Almost every single US president has started some sort of a military conflict, Joe Biden himself is an absolute warhawk so it's highly unlikely that he will be one of the few exceptions that wouldn't start a war (not with China obviously because China is too much for them but with some other nation), so the question in which country Will Biden start a conflict and how is it gonna look like? a civil war may be like in Libya and Syria? a colour revolution like the one in Ukraine? Regardless the US will probably target a new country under a Biden presidency, may be regime change in Thailand or Algeria or Venezuela.

Not sure where your getting the $16T number for China’s economy. China’s GDP was $14.3T at the end of 2019 and has grown only 0.2% through the first 9 months of the year. Their not close to $16T.

 

[Kai Liu]

How can these three words: vn, high quality, and cars come together???