You are awesome.
How did you anticipate 6 years back that one day F-16 would be assembled in India?
Also, how in your opinion JF-17 BL II and III compare with different blocks of F-16?
Dear... it was simply a personal analysis like many more here, regarding TTP, India and axis of evil etc. etc.
When you know about the nature of your enemy well, you can guess accurately about his intentions. Now, enemy part is a long story, in brief you may assume that after development of JF-17, India lost last technical superiority it had over Pakistan’s military.
Obviously west jumped in and started jacking up India’s technological base by training its man power in technological areas, with a road map for its private firms, which were to also assume role of building key defence equipment for India in future, instead of DRDO.
Whereas, BJP as shrewd they are.. have realized India’s strategic importance for west, now they are in position to milk west as much they wish.
At the same time, egoistic BJP can’t come to terms with the notion that in the process, Teja is going to be buried, so some time was wasted.
Therefore, all initial delays were due to push of BJP for the renaissance of Teja, guaranteed by French state. This was certainly challenging for French.
Previously Ruskies made offer for local production, Vikings offered local production plus limited technology transfer and investment in private sector… was obviously not enough compared to French offer, which was all what Sweeds offered, even more technology transfer, work visa for Indians… but not all what BJP demanded i.e. certain amount of Jobs for DRDO engineers in organizations like DASSAULT, MBDA, SAGEM, SNECMA etc. and further more development of Kaveri engine, plus nuclear technology i.e. centrifuge design and advanced fusion… etc.
Now my guess in 2010 was that Indian greed is a deal breaker and France would not accept many of Indian demands and next equally qualified candidate is non other than US.
It was not too complicated to conclude. All what was required was a bit of analytical thinking and ability to read the script without exact words.
Question to ponder was: what is it actually that Indians are missing, which Sweeds can’t offer but French can!
Script was the dilly dallying of Indians, leaps of JF-17, ever changing Indian air staff requirements, reputation of F-16, AESA development, plus Indo/US venture in region and their common interests against Pakistan.
Later, last nail in coffin of Rafael was Pervez Musharraf! Yes again him…. when he made public statement that Pakistan have technology to make tiny nukes!!!!!!!!! aka tactical weapons.
This cemented Indo/US deal, where US step forward and assured lot more to Indians, than just defence deals, which include advance investments in its energy sector, uplifting of social sector, officially but blindly endorsing Indian accusations/ narratives…. list is long, when you are visionary you see next F-16 falling in Indian lap.