Buddy you're on a strategy board, do you want me to explain the simplest of things?
Ok, I'll not get into the nitty-gritty of it, however, I'll explain something that may appeal to your mind.
Part A:
Trade = Ships
Ships = Insurance
Insurance = Risk
As Risk > What goes up?
Part B:
Economy = Oil
Oil = Tankers
Tankers = Insurance
Insurance = Risk
Risk > What happens to economy?
Do we understand the basics, young grass-hopper?
you are generalizing for whole asia....
look at the case of iran and analyze it....