But by your own reckoning (let's assume most-to-all of your assertions are correct) what incentive does Pakistan have to establish a stronger Afghan state with a hostile Afghan elite? None
Or in any non-short term what incentive does America have to prioritize Afghanistan over Pakistan? None
Or how can the glorified-defender-of-the-people ANA numbering a 300,000+ cede territory to a few thousand armed proxies of a most hated enemy (Pakistan)? I-certainly-have-no-idea
Whatever your stated position is, if you cannot present clear, consistent, non-contradictory answers to questions like this: you will not, even at a bare minimum, be able to convince your supporters that your position has any merit -- winning the war is still a long shot.