HTS is losing men ... soon they will collapse
HTS lost around 2k men and double that for the wounded in this last year with a pool of around 8k-15K.
Other groups did disappear with only a fraction of what HTS felt...
As I said before... HTS is not a group, that will disappear bc they lose soldiers... HTS is first of all an embodiment of an Ideology, and purpose.
HTS WILL survive as long as the fight Against ASSad isn't over... It may not have the same name... but that group dynamic will stay...
The islamic status of HTS is a structural one... Islam rule their life and shape their structure... Like any other Islamic based society... That's why they are so hard to get rid of... Since other "Rebel" groups can't maintain their autonomy in such war/radical environment and therefore either die or get eaten/absorbed by others.
Adding to it a "Point of Interest"... and in this case, the End of ASSad...
In conclusion, you have a social structure ready to use (Sharia/Islam) and a Point of Interest ( ASSad death). And you have it... a strong survivalist entity.
I already spoke about it last year in this same Thread, on the fastest and easier way to Deplete HTS ranks... and that is... Giving an Alternative... that could be another group or... A state...
I also said, with the Example of TR... that if that "State" finally engage herself fully as an alternative... then HTS will be irrelevant... Ppl will switch side little by little, without going into a direct confrontation that will come back on you or create a vacuum power...