You really have no idea whats going on there and who is who, stick with ur deluded views. I cant take u serious.
Turkish beef with the PKK organization is a legitimate political issue for the country and its people (I completely endorse this view and sympathize with Turkish official position in relation), and Turkish concerns about the SDF bloc containing elements of PKK are equally valid (this problem should be addressed by relevant stakeholders - no
ifs and
buts).
Following article is very instructive in relation:
https://www.vox.com/world/2019/10/16/20908262/turkey-syria-kurds-trump-invasion-questions
So what exactly is the SDF bloc and its agenda?
The SDF bloc is a different animal altogether and materialized to address a different issue in the region (i.e. ISIS movement). The SDF bloc encompass multiple organizations:
01. YPG/YPJ/PKK conglomeration
02. Al-Sanadid Forces
03. Syriac Military Council
04. Burkan Al-Fırat Operations Center
05. Suwar al-Raqqa
06. Shams al-Shamal
07. Lîwa Al-Selcuki
08. Brigade Groups of Al-Jazira
09. Jabhat Al-Akrad
10. Jaysh Al-Thuwar
11. Lîwai Al-Tehrîr and
12. Lîwai 99 Muşat
- which came together with American support to counter/defeat/neutralize ISIS movement in Syria which had affected many communities in the region since 2013 [in connection with US-led Operation Inherent Resolve for the needful]. This view is in line my original assertion (post # 427/page 29):
"YPG is a component of the wider SDF bloc in Syria - this bloc emerged to counter ISIS movement in Syria. This bloc has nothing to do with Turkey. PKK elements might have used this bloc as a cover to execute attacks in Turkey but the bloc at large have a Syrian-exclusive mandate and focus. Ground realities of the region are COMPLEX - not as cut-and-dry as political narratives seem to suggest."
For reference:
https://www.janes.com/images/assets/333/57333/SDF_plays_central_role_in_Syrian_civil_war__1_.pdf
Now;
Scores of Turkish members (not sure if this is wider view) continue to perceive SDF in Syria as an extension of the PKK organization hell bent on destroying Turkey but this is a misleading (compartmentalized) politicized view of events in motion in Syria. This why Turkish assault on the positions of the wider SDF bloc in 2019 (Operation Peace Spring) was NEGATIVELY RECEIVED by much of the world at the time. To refresh your memory:
1)
https://www.globalresearch.ca/world...ce-spring-demand-exercising-restraint/5691701
2)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reactions_to_the_2019_Turkish_offensive_into_north-eastern_Syria
Operation Peace Spring is absolutely unpopular move in Syria and unlikely to work because all stakeholders in Syria including Assad regime oppose this move on the ground. Therefore, Erdogan administration should seek another way to address the problem of the much touted SDF - PKK connection in Turkish circles.
Like this or not, ISIS movement was/is a bigger and more pressing concern for the world at large including Pakistan. ISIS movement have legs in Afghanistan in case you didn't knew.
Thank you for reminding me
, but there a huge number of people in the world who share my view in regards to developments in Syria.
That Assad won was already clear in 2016 with the fall of aleppo to Assad and the recent escalation between Turkey and the pro-assad camp has different reasons.
Assad regime control about 70% of Syrian territory in 2020 - mission not accomplished.
The 2 primary missions are the defeat of the PKK and their 3 letter alphabet soups and the deportation of syrian refugees to the "safe zones".
Erdogan administration might be looking forward to reshaping Syrian demographics to its satisfaction but Operation Peace Spring is absolutely unpopular move in Syria and unlikely to work because all stakeholders in Syria including Assad regime oppose this move on the ground. Therefore, Erdogan administration should seek another way to address the problem of the much touted SDF - PKK connection in Turkish circles.
NATO as a whole is irrelevant, there are 3 primary partners from a Turkish pov,- USA,UK and Germany and Russia capitalizing on conflicts will result with them loosing on other future conflicts.
Russia will sustain itself because its size but in 10-20 years they will not have a diversified economy, they will be overtaken by other Nations hardware wise, their defense industry will crumble not to mention their birthrates are on a massive downward trend-so from a long term perspective, no they wont be the USSR in fact as other countries are massively catching up this will further result in the loss of Russia and even the US, Multipolar world. There is a reason why the US doesnt take Russia serious-in fact Russia heavily capitalized on the US-Turkish rupture and positioned themselves in a strong position in other theater simply because Turkey looked away. The new dynamics will be interesting because if the US drops the PKK fully then this will not look good at all from a Russian pov but thats still a lil bit far off.
American view is different from yours.
They are coming to terms with the new reality: Great Power Competition is returning with an increasingly assertive Russia and ascendant China in the mix (i.e. multi-polar world):
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2019-12-10/age-great-power-competition
Related discussions:-
https://www.cato.org/events/return-great-power-competition
https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/ai-and-return-great-power-competition
Let us consider actions of Russia for now.
2008 - Russia assaulted Georgia and annexed a part of its territory.
2014 - Russia assaulted Ukraine and annexed a part of its territory.
2015 - Russia intervened in Syria and helping Assad regime reassert its control across the country.
Regarding population-related issues, Russia have the option to bring in immigrants to address this matter.
You simply have no idea of the ground realities, reading 2 articles wont get u far.
For such a complex conflict as the syrian civil war its incredily difficult to build and maintain a strategy or stragies but as i wrote u have no idea what ur even writing about.
Take cues from Pakistani strategy to address issues in Afghanistan (arguably the most complex conflict of the age). WE did not invade Afghanistan to provide cover to the resurgent Afghan Taliban [post NATO draw-down], and WE did not attempt to create a buffer zone along the vast Durand Line between Afghanistan and Pakistan to curb cross-border activities in the region; WE are fencing the vast Durand Line instead. WE are also pushing all stakeholders in Afghanistan to address their problems through dialogue. Towards this end, WE have facilitated American-Taliban dialogue, and WE will also facilitate Intra-Afghan dialogue. Once Afghanistan is peaceful, WE will relocate Afghan refugees back to their homeland.
Coming back to Syria:-
CAMP # 1: Assad regime + Iran + Iranian proxies + Russia = focused on bringing entire country to the fold under leadership of Assad regime.
CAMP # 2: USA + SDF + Israel = focused on curbing ISIS movement in the region and to monitor Iranian efforts to sustain its proxies in Syria (via Iraq) in collusion with Israel while the latter targets them Syria. US assassinated an elite Iranian military official Qassem Suleimani in connection.
Turkey have problems with both camps and have literally invaded Syria, and openly attempting to reshape its demographics (creating so-called safe zones to resettle Syrian refugees in Turkey) - this is a much deeper level of intervention in a complex theater of operations where two CAMPS are operating in pursuit of distinct objectives.
So what is the outcome? Turkish troops caught in the line of fire and casualties mounting.
Recommended read:
https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/idlib-operation-turkeys-tradeoffs-put-it-losing-side
You seriously live in another world, there are enough turkish threads in this forum where one can clearly see who Turks blame and who they put the primary blame on and we dont even hide it delusional prick.
Who is delusional in this GREAT GAME is becoming apparent to all over time.
Turkey could devise a much better strategy to deal with Syrian Civil War back in 2012 when Damascus was almost surrounded by authentic Syrian Rebels but it missed the opportunity. This could be a Turkish spectacle with American collusion to get rid of both Assad regime and ISIS movement. However, this is no longer the case.
Turkish offensive in Syria is TOO LATE to make much impact and difference. Erdogan administration's courtship of Russia have virtually damaged American-Turkish partnership on top which is VITAL to Turkish security needs.
Another eye-opener for you:
https://www.middleeasteye.net/opini...-putin-will-always-support-assad-over-erdogan
You will realize your blunders in time. There is no rush.