SOME OBSERVATIONS ABOUT TURKEY
Turkish Economy would be much better than Chech, Hungry, Poland, Croatia had it been admitted in the EU. These countries have ONLY benefitted due to membership of EU and the economic opportunities it entails.
Turkey has been trying to become part of the EU since late 1950s but it has been rejected due to unfounded pretext put forward by EU. First Turkey was charged with low infrastructure and unskilled labor. Turkey took gigantic and triumphant steps towards rectification of the same. Then it was the Cyprus Issue; where EU bias was so evident that it really disappointed (and pissed off Turkey) In the mid 2000 when Turkey demonstrated tremendous improvements of the EU outlined Turkish lackings, EU had no other reason but to finally come out clean and state that a vast CULTURAL AND IDEOLOGICAL SCHISM remains between Turkey and Europe (in other words instructing Turkey to leave their Islamic ways and adopt western cultures( rather a culture of NO CULTURE). This is just a stark testament of prejudice against Turkey’s adherence of its Islamic culture, yet being modern and progressive at the same time.
Even though the EU can benefit much by admitting the Turks in the EU as it would get an efficient trade route to the Middle East, however it is reluctant because of religious and diaspora bias.
The Turkish Army top brass is largely secular and US Blue eyed boys so it does make sense that a coup was indeed in progress to dethrone the Erdagan govt. And there is enough proof of that. Despite this crackdown on the army, the Armed Forces has also developed into a very capable and modern fighting force.
One of the reasons because of the rifts between the generals and the government is also because of the difference of diplomatic opinions between the two, the former not liking the latter’s extreme anti Israel stance especially post Freedom Flotilla.
One thing that EU had demanded and the Turks fulfilled to a large extent was the reduction of Duties and Tarrifs (as is the rule per EU paragon). This affects Turkey largely but EU is gaining much due to this as this has seen a rise in imports in Turkey from EU. Unless EU admits Turkey in the EU, Turkey
has no real reason to revert to its old tariff structure.
I feel that Turkey’s ‘Look East Policy’ is a very dangerous one for EU. And if implemented successfully, Turkey has all the potential and prospects of emerging as a great power. I wouldn’t be surprised if Turkey would soon enjoin the BRIC states. Turkey’s contribution towards the ECO is also laudable, the last and most recent of such activity is the signing of the Iran-Pakistan(and possibly China), a regional energy deal which has great potential to convert the region into the biggest energy corridor of the world! Turkey sees this and has bridged gaps between Iran and Pakistan towards singing of the deal. The pipeline has strong indications to start off by end 2011 or early 2012. This is a true trait of a country that has leadership qualities!
If Turkey-Russo problems can be solved the EU is in for a big geo political tribulation; something Turkey and Russia are strongly working towards.The two country have demonstrated that they want to deny NATO more power in the region, albeit tacitly. Lets keep our fingers crossed.