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The Greece Effect

the Chinese economy may be running into trouble.

China announced Thursday that growth in imports had unexpectedly come to a screeching halt in April — rising just 0.3 percent from the same period a year earlier, compared with expectations for an 11 percent increase. Businesses across the country appeared to lose much of their appetite for products as varied as iron ore and computer chips.

Exports, a cornerstone of China’s economic growth over the last three decades, grew 4.9 percent last month — half as much as economists had expected. And a slump in new orders over the last month at the Canton Fair, China’s main marketplace for exporters and foreign buyers, suggests that overseas shipments by the world’s second-biggest economy, after that of the United States, may not recover quickly.

Growth in other sectors appears to be slowing, too, particularly in real estate. Soufun Holdings, a Chinese real estate data provider, released figures Monday showing that residential land sales in the country’s 20 largest cities had fallen 92 percent last week from the week before, as declining prices for apartments have left developers short of cash and reluctant to start further projects.

In a series of interviews over the last week, bankers and senior executives from provinces all over China, in a range of light and heavy industries, cited a broad deterioration in business conditions. Two of them said that some tax agencies in smaller cities had been telling companies to inflate their sales and profits to make local economic growth look less weak than it really was, while reassuring the companies that their actual tax bills would be left unchanged.

There are early signs of a credit squeeze, at least among private sector companies. Many seem to be asking their suppliers for more time to pay debts and complaining of cash flow problems. Zhang Jinmei, the sales manager at the Qitele Group, a company that makes playground equipment in the coastal city of Wenzhou, said that local investment and lending pools there were starting to charge higher interest rates for loans, a sign of worries about creditworthiness.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/11/b...de-growth-slumps-in-april.html?pagewanted=all
 
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Eurozone was a disaster from day one.

Euro currency is ruined... so far the first time in my life, I have a fear that Euro currency will break after Greece, Spain, Italy and portgual will quit the eurozone and Europe will go back to 10 years when the Euro currency was introduced.

Look at Euro/Usd it's down to 1.2550 from the peak of 1.5000 couple of months ago :lol:
 
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Euro currency is ruined... so far the first time in my life, I have a fear that Euro currency will break after Greece, Spain, Italy and portgual will quit the eurozone and Europe will go back to 10 years when the Euro currency was introduced.

Look at Euro/Usd it's down to 1.2550 from the peak of 1.5000 couple of months ago :lol:

No... its just the fear prevalent in the markets nowadays. Euro saw worst before. It is likely to rebound from this level into a short rally as there is a double bottom pattern forming before around 2008.. If Greece defaults, most likely, the support level of 1.1950 would be touched.
 
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there is still time for the rest of the world to soften up the effects after the euro failure i am sure everyone expecting a crisis like the great depression may be the answer is be less depended on world trade and have as little dollar reserves as you can i think gold is the safest thing as a reserve
some talks between china and russia and brazil and india on how to act if the west fall
 
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No... its just the fear prevalent in the markets nowadays. Euro saw worst before. It is likely to rebound from this level into a short rally as there is a double bottom pattern forming before around 2008.. If Greece defaults, most likely, the support level of 1.1950 would be touched.

If Greece Goes, I see Euro close to dollar value... Spain and Italy are not doing any favour to Euro anyway so they will continue to hurt Eurozone unless they also decides to quit

The sense of panic is very strong among the traders and it will only hurt Eurozone further
 
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Euro currency is ruined... so far the first time in my life, I have a fear that Euro currency will break after Greece, Spain, Italy and portgual will quit the eurozone and Europe will go back to 10 years when the Euro currency was introduced.

Look at Euro/Usd it's down to 1.2550 from the peak of 1.5000 couple of months ago :lol:

please let the Euro go, good for Greece, good for Spain, good for the States, good for Germany..
good for all of us :wave:
 
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BEIJING — China's commerce minister said in comments published Monday that the country faces a "severe" trade situation this year, as the Asian powerhouse continues to feel the pinch of global economic woes.
"Foreign trade still faces quite a severe situation going forward," Chen Deming said in a brief statement carried by the official Xinhua news agency and posted on the central government's website.
But he said that "with luck", China would still achieve 10 percent growth in foreign trade -- which combines imports and exports -- as per predictions made earlier this year.
The forecast growth for the year ahead is far slower than the 22.5 percent growth achieved in 2011, as the debt crisis in Europe -- China's biggest export market -- rages on.
Official data released on Sunday showed exports rose 15.3 percent on-year in May to $181.1 billion and imports grew 12.7 percent to $162.4 billion, slightly widening the trade surplus for the third consecutive month to $18.7 billion.
However, the better-than-expected trade figures failed to downplay concerns that the world's second largest economy is slowing, after China put in a poor economic performance in May.
Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao last month said greater priority should be given to growth, which slowed to 8.1 percent in the first quarter of 2012 year-on-year -- its slowest pace in nearly three years.
Authorities have been easing monetary policy for some time in an effort to stimulate growth, cutting the amount of money banks are required to keep in reserve three times since December last year.
On Friday, the central bank also cut interest rates for the first time in more than three years and allowed banks more flexibility to set rates, introducing greater competition in the market.

AFP: China faces 'severe' trade situation: minister
 
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