What's new

The end of the deal, hopes, delusions and treasons

Iran needs 200B+ USD investment in its oil industry in order to be not become a net importer of gasoline.

Things the head of an Iranian ministry says in order to shock and gather more budget is seldom in line with reality.

Lying is a sport there, so don't take such alarmist news too seriously
 
March 5, 20221:37 PM GMT+1 Last Updated 7 hours ago

Russia says West's sanctions create a 'problem' for Iran nuclear deal​

2 minute read
A gas flare on an oil production platform in the Soroush oil fields is seen alongside an Iranian flag in the Gulf

A gas flare on an oil production platform in the Soroush oil fields is seen alongside an Iranian flag in the Gulf July 25, 2005.
REUTERS/Raheb Homavandi/File Photo

LONDON, March 5 (Reuters) - Russia said on Saturday that Western sanctions imposed over the conflict in Ukraine had become a stumbling block for the Iran nuclear deal, warning that West that Russian national interests would have to be taken into account.

Iran said on Saturday it had agreed a roadmap with the U.N. nuclear watchdog to resolve all outstanding questions about the country's nuclear program by late June, a move seen as a latest push to revive Tehran's 2015 nuclear deal with global powers. read more

But Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said the sanctions on Russia had created a "problem" from Moscow's perspective.

"It would have all been fine, but that avalanche of aggressive sanctions that have erupted from the West - and which I understand has not yet stopped - demand additional understanding by lawyers above all," Lavrov said.

Lavrov said Russia wanted a written guarantee from the United States that Russia's trade, investment and military-technical cooperation with Iran would not be hindered in any way by the sanctions.

"We want an answer - a very clear answer - we need a guarantee that these sanctions will not in any way touch the regime of trade-economic and investment relations which is laid down in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action," Lavrov said.

Lavrov said that under the deal, Russia and China would be allowed to help Iran develop its civilian nuclear programs in accordance with non-proliferation rules. Sanctions would not be able to affect those projects, Lavrov said.

"There are still several topics which our Iranian colleagues want more clarity on and we consider those are fair demands," Lavrov said.

"We have asked for a written guarantee ... that the current process triggered by the United States does not in any way damage our right to free and full trade, economic and investment cooperation and military-technical cooperation with the Islamic Republic."

 
Last edited:
March 5, 20221:37 PM GMT+1 Last Updated 7 hours ago

Russia says West's sanctions create a 'problem' for Iran nuclear deal​

2 minute read
A gas flare on an oil production platform in the Soroush oil fields is seen alongside an Iranian flag in the Gulf

A gas flare on an oil production platform in the Soroush oil fields is seen alongside an Iranian flag in the Gulf July 25, 2005.
REUTERS/Raheb Homavandi/File Photo

LONDON, March 5 (Reuters) - Russia said on Saturday that Western sanctions imposed over the conflict in Ukraine had become a stumbling block for the Iran nuclear deal, warning that West that Russian national interests would have to be taken into account.

Iran said on Saturday it had agreed a roadmap with the U.N. nuclear watchdog to resolve all outstanding questions about the country's nuclear program by late June, a move seen as a latest push to revive Tehran's 2015 nuclear deal with global powers. read more

But Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said the sanctions on Russia had created a "problem" from Moscow's perspective.

"It would have all been fine, but that avalanche of aggressive sanctions that have erupted from the West - and which I understand has not yet stopped - demand additional understanding by lawyers above all," Lavrov said.

Lavrov said Russia wanted a written guarantee from the United States that Russia's trade, investment and military-technical cooperation with Iran would not be hindered in any way by the sanctions.

"We want an answer - a very clear answer - we need a guarantee that these sanctions will not in any way touch the regime of trade-economic and investment relations which is laid down in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action," Lavrov said.

Lavrov said that under the deal, Russia and China would be allowed to help Iran develop its civilian nuclear programs in accordance with non-proliferation rules. Sanctions would not be able to affect those projects, Lavrov said.

"There are still several topics which our Iranian colleagues want more clarity on and we consider those are fair demands," Lavrov said.

"We have asked for a written guarantee ... that the current process triggered by the United States does not in any way damage our right to free and full trade, economic and investment cooperation and military-technical cooperation with the Islamic Republic."

It means there is still no deal. all the talks about close deal is aiming the oil price.
 
This is an interesting variation on russia playing the "iran card",now isnt it?.
Essentially the russians are now also demanding guarantees that us/western sanctions wont target their trade with iran,considering that they didnt seem concerned about sanctions impacting their [limited] trade with iran before,does this mean that they now envisage a much greater degree of trade with iran,such as large arms sales perhaps?.........who knows?.
All we need now is for the chinese to increase the pressure by also demanding guarantees.......
It is truly astonishing how things have turned a full 180 degrees in irans favor in the jcpoa negotiations in a mere 8 months.I`ve no doubt that the biden regime is now bitterly regretting its squandering of the small window of opportunity that it had with rouhani.

Iran nuclear talks rocked by Russian demand for sanctions exemption
Moscow seeks guarantees regarding trade with Iran that would undermine west’s response to Ukraine invasion
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/06/iran-nuclear-talks-rocked-by-russian-demand-for-sanctions-exemption

Russia has been accused of trying to take the Iran nuclear deal hostage as part of its wider battle with the west over Ukraine, after it threw a last-minute spanner into plans for an agreement to lift a swathe of US economic sanctions on Tehran.

After months of negotiations in Vienna, a revised deal was expected to be reached within days under which US sanctions would be lifted in return for Tehran returning to full compliance with the 2015 nuclear nonproliferation deal.


But diplomatic efforts have been sent into a tailspin by Russia’s unexpected demand for written guarantees that its economic trade with Iran will be exempted from US sanctions imposed on Russia since its invasion of Ukraine.

The Russian foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, at the weekend cited the “avalanche of aggressive sanctions [on Russia] that the west has started spewing out”, and said: “This meant Moscow had to ask the US for guarantees first, requiring a clear answer that the new sanctions will not affect its rights under the nuclear deal.

“We requested that our US colleagues … give us written guarantees at the minimum level of the secretary of state that the current [sanctions] process launched by the US will not in any way harm our right to free, fully fledged trade and economic and investment cooperation and military-technical cooperation with Iran.”

In a sign of how the imposition of sanctions will bite, Aeroflot flights from Moscow to Iran were cancelled on Sunday.

If Lavrov’s demand is to require the US to exempt Russian-Iranian trade from sanctions, the west is almost certain to reject the demand since it would open a huge loophole in the sanctions regime. It would then be up to Moscow whether to veto the nuclear deal altogether.

The US secretary of state, Antony Blinken, dismissed Russia’s demands as “irrelevant”, saying that sanctions imposed after the invasion of Ukraine “have nothing to do with the Iran nuclear deal”.

They “just are not in any way linked together, so I think that’s irrelevant,” Blinken told CBS News.

The Vienna talks have for months been an oasis of diplomatic cooperation between Russia and the west as they painstakingly crafted a compromise acceptable to both Iran and the US. Russia’s chief negotiator at the Vienna talks, Mikhail Ulyanov, has been an indefatigable intermediary but now risks seeing his work being undone by Moscow’s confrontation with the west over Ukraine.

Iranian officials criticised Russia’s intervention, saying “the Russians put this demand on the table at the Vienna talks two days ago. There is an understanding that by changing its position in [the] Vienna talks, Russia wants to secure its interests in other places. This move is not constructive for [the] Vienna nuclear talks.”

Russia also has a short-term strategic interest in scuppering or postponing the deal. Iran produces more than 2m barrels of oil a day, and if these supplies were able to reach the markets, the upward surge in prices would be slowed.

Russia, a large-scale oil producer, wants to drive the oil price up to turn the screw on western economies but also to boost its own revenues.

Israel, a fierce opponent of a revived nuclear deal, will be the only major country privately welcoming Russia’s actions.

The parties to the deal are Iran, the E3 (France, Germany and the UK), Russia and China. The US is present in Vienna, but Iran will not directly negotiate with the US delegation.

Separately, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Rafael Grossi, was in Tehran this weekend trying to secure a deal on the future inspection regime. Grossi was hoping to resolve disagreements over the IAEA’s demand for access to four sites where suspicious nuclear activities were alleged to have taken place.

Iran wants the IAEA to close down these investigations, claiming they are based on false Israeli intelligence. Mohammad Eslami, the head of the Iranian atomic energy association, has also sought assurances that what Iran regards as Israeli intelligence would not form the basis of future IAEA investigations into Iran.

The two sides agreed to exchange documents by June, the likely date for the Iran deal to come back into force, but seemed to have left issues about the inspection regime unresolved.

Meanwhile, the IAEA will continue with an inspection regime in which its surveillance cameras remain in place, and the memory cards of the cameras kept under joint seal.
 

CIA Evidence from Whistleblower Trial Could Tilt Iran Nuclear Talks

The Jeffrey Sterling trial shows the U.S. government to be committed to deception about the Iranian nuclear program.

https://www.guernicamag.com/norman-solomon-cia-evidence-from-whistleblower-trial-could-tilt-iran-nuclear-talks/

7996783220_90a2f560d0_z-e1425015688886.jpg



Image from Flickr via iaea_imagebank



By Norman Solomon
By arrangement with ExposeFacts.org


A month after former CIA officer Jeffrey Sterling was convicted on nine felony counts with circumstantial metadata, the zealous prosecution is now having potentially major consequences—casting doubt on the credibility of claims by the U.S. government that Iran has developed a nuclear weapons program.


With negotiations between Iran and the United States at a pivotal stage, fallout from the trial’s revelations about the CIA’s Operation Merlin is likely to cause the International Atomic Energy Agency to re-examine U.S. assertions that Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons.


In its zeal to prosecute Sterling for allegedly leaking classified information about Operation Merlin—which provided flawed nuclear weapon design information to Iran in 2000—the U.S. government has damaged its own standing with the IAEA. The trial made public a treasure trove of information about the Merlin operation.


Last week Bloomberg News reported from Vienna, where the IAEA is headquartered, that the agency “will probably review intelligence they received about Iran as a result of the revelations, said the two diplomats who are familiar with the IAEA’s Iran file and asked not to be named because the details are confidential.”


The Bloomberg dispatch, which matter-of-factly referred to Merlin as a “sting” operation, quoted a former British envoy to the IAEA, Peter Jenkins, saying: “This story suggests a possibility that hostile intelligence agencies could decide to plant a ‘smoking gun’ in Iran for the IAEA to find. That looks like a big problem.”


Documents also show that Merlin continued for years, with the CIA considering plans to widen the operation beyond Iran.

After sitting through the seven-day Sterling trial, I don’t recall that the government or any of its witnesses—including 23 from the CIA as well as former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice—ever referred to Operation Merlin as a “sting.” Instead, it was consistently portrayed as an effort to send Iran down the wrong technical path. In fact, over the years, Operation Merlin may have been both.


Near the end of the Clinton administration, CIA documents released at the trial show, Merlin was a botched effort to screw up Iran’s nuclear program. (There is no evidence that Iran’s government took the bait.) But documents also show that Merlin continued for years, with the CIA considering plans to widen the operation beyond Iran.


As a matter of fact, one CIA document was not redacted sufficiently to hide evident interest in also trying a similar tactic against Saddam Hussein’s regime in Iraq. History certainly tells us that the Bush-Cheney administration would be capable of seeking to cite fabricated evidence in a push to justify military action against a targeted country.


An emerging big irony of United States of America v. Jeffrey Alexander Sterling is that the government has harmed itself in the process of gunning for the defendant.

Investigative journalist Marcy Wheeler, my colleague at ExposeFacts, has written an extensive analysis of the latest developments. The article on her EmptyWheel blog raises key questions beginning with the headline “What Was the CIA Really Doing with Merlin by 2003?”


An emerging big irony of United States of America v. Jeffrey Alexander Sterling is that the government has harmed itself in the process of gunning for the defendant. While the prosecution used innuendos and weak circumstantial evidence to obtain guilty verdicts on multiple felonies, the trial produced no actual evidence that Sterling leaked classified information. But the trial did provide abundant evidence that the U.S. government’s nuclear-related claims about Iran should not be trusted.


In the courtroom, one CIA witness after another described Operation Merlin as a vitally important program requiring strict secrecy. Yet the government revealed a great deal of information about Operation Merlin during the trial—including CIA documents that showed the U.S. government to be committed to deception about the Iranian nuclear program. If, as a result, the International Atomic Energy Agency concludes that U.S. assertions about an alleged Iranian nuclear weapons program lack credibility, top officials in Washington will have themselves to blame.
 

New excessive US demands hinder Vienna talks: Iran FM

New excessive US demands hinder Vienna talks: Iran FM


TEHRAN, Mar. 10 (MNA) – The Iranian foreign minister told the EU foreign policy chief on Thursday that "the main issues and the effective lifting of sanctions should not be influenced by excessive US demands."

In the phone call on Thursday afternoon, Josep Borrell called on both Iran and the US for more flexibility in Vienna talks.

The EU foreign policy chief added that the EU supports Iran's call for economic guarantees.

The Iranian foreign minister further said that the United States has made excessive demands recently, describing them as nonsense and an obstacle to the talks.

"There are no logical justifications for some of the new demands from the United States, and they contradict its position on a quick reaching to an agreement," Hossein Amir-Abdollahian said.

"The main issues and the effective lifting of sanctions should not be influenced by US excessive demands," the top Iranian diplomat said.

He added that the US excessive demands are for domestic purposes.
"If realism rules over the behavior of all parties, we are still close to reaching a good and strong agreement," Amir-Abdollahian added.

"Some issues related to our national heroes are not negotiable," Ami-Abdollahian said in an apparent reference to the US refusal to remove the IRGC from the US terror list.

As regards the Ukraine crisis, the Iranian foreign minister emphasized that in addition to paying attention to the UN Charter, the root cause of this crisis must be studied, so that stability and security prevail in the region by stopping the war and focusing on the political solution.

--------

lol, now US wants to play with domestic pressure card. those days are over morons!
 
Russia using Iran again for its own gain.

Who is shocked? Maybe the Russian apologists on this forum.
 
Russia using Iran again for its own gain.

Who is shocked? Maybe the Russian apologists on this forum.
Apparently, US is Iran only true friend. o_O US want to lift the sanction, immediately, which has nothing to do with Ukraine Crisis. :rofl:



U.S. policy, driving a wedge between Russia and China, a wedge between Iran and Russia, a wedge between China and Iran.

All failed.




 
Last edited:
Russia using Iran again for its own gain.

Who is shocked? Maybe the Russian apologists on this forum.
Maybe...,maybe not.🤔

Exclusive: Russian Envoy Deplores ‘Misunderstanding’ over Lavrov’s Comments on Sanctions

TEHRAN (Tasnim) – Russia’s ambassador to Tehran said a misunderstanding has arisen following media reports that Russian foreign minister has called for guarantees from the US that sanctions on Moscow over the Ukraine war won’t affect its ability to work with Iran under the JCPOA.​

https://www.tasnimnews.com/en/news/2022/03/07/2678369/exclusive-russian-envoy-deplores-misunderstanding-over-lavrov-s-comments-on-sanctions

- Politics news -
Speaking to Tasnim in Tehran on Monday, Levan Jagaryan reacted to the recent remarks from Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, who has reportedly said that Moscow wanted a written guarantee from the United States that Russia's trade, investment and military-technical cooperation with Iran under the 2015 nuclear deal would not be hindered in any way by the sanctions imposed over the conflict in Ukraine.
“There has been a misunderstanding,” Jagaryan said.
The ambassador also called on the Iranian people to ignore stories from the foreign media, such as “Radio Yesterday”, a sarcastic phrase referring to Radio Farda (tomorrow) -the Persian branch of the US government-funded Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty external broadcast service.
The envoy said the Russian government will talk about the issue with Iran, adding, “We will provide the Iranian side with the necessary explanations through diplomatic resources. We will officially explain the issue to the Iranian friends.”
The Vienna talks began last April between Iran and the five remaining parties to the JCPOA — Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China — on the assumption that the US, under the Joe Biden administration, is willing to repeal the so-called maximum pressure policy pursued by former president, Donald Trump.
Tehran says it won’t settle for anything less than the removal of all US sanctions in a verifiable manner. It also wants guarantees that Washington would not abandon the agreement again.
 
It seems that the us literally just cant fvcking help itself.
I mean if there was ever a time for the us not to go and indulge itself in pulling some utterly stupid bullsh!t like this,it would be now.The one time when it actually has a real political and economic need to try and improve relations with iran,if only for the sake of trying to ensure that theres enough oil from other sources available on the market to make up for the loss of russian oil.
Maybe iran should consider seizing the cargoes of albanian owned/registered vessels to compensate iranian victims of mek terror

US seized Iran oil cargo as Biden considers easing sanctions
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-putin-business-iran-bahamas-c0577bf7718055d730a3b72802c132c2
The U.S. has quietly seized the cargo of two tankers suspected of transporting Iranian oil as part of an elaborate sanctions-busting scheme involving forged documents and the repainting of a ship’s deck to cloak illegal shipments.

Details of the seizure, which has not been previously reported, were contained in a federal civil case unsealed last month after the Greek-managed vessels discharged their valuable cargo, worth upward of $38 million, in Houston and the Bahamas at the direction of U.S. law enforcement.

The seizure comes as the Biden administration seeks to revive a 2015 nuclear deal with Iran that would likely entail the U.S. lifting punishing sanctions. That task has been made more urgent by Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine and the U.S. decision to retaliate by banning all Russian oil imports, which potentially removes from Western markets more than 10 million barrels per day of oil. Some of that lost supply could be made up by Iran, which pumped an average 2.4 million barrels per day in 2021 though due to sanctions has been able to sell less than half of what it produces.

ADVERTISEMENT


Opponents of Iran warn that even as Ukraine scrambles geopolitical calculations and the U.S. turns its attention to Russia, the Biden administration shouldn’t take pressure off the Islamic Republic. The country is considered by the U.S. a state sponsor of terrorism and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, an elite military unit that plays a key role in the oil industry, a supporter of Hezbollah and other militant groups active throughout the Middle East.

“This seizure serves as a perfect example of why the U.S. should not lift sanctions,” said Claire Jungman, the chief of staff at the New York-based group United Against Nuclear Iran, which closely tracks Iran’s crude shipments. “We should continue to work to ensure that the IRGC cannot use profits from its sale of Iranian oil to fund terrorism and other activities that threaten the safety and security of all Americans.”

The long odyssey that led to the U.S.′ seizure began in the fall of 2020 when the M/T Stark I, an Iranian-owned vessel under U.S. sanctions since 2018, repainted its deck in an apparent attempt to disguise the vessel and avoid detection by satellite imagery. On Oct. 31, 2020 it pulled into a terminal at Iran’s Kharg Island and loaded full of oil.

Four days later, on Nov. 3, 2020, 733,876 barrels of oil were transferred at sea to another tanker, the M/T Arina. During the dangerous ship-to-ship transfer, both ships turned off their transponders — a mandatory safety device on all large ships — to avoid being picked up on ship tracking databases, satellite imagery and data shared by Jungman show.

ADVERTISEMENT


Despite U.S. sanctions, Iran has seen a windfall of revenue as oil prices have risen over the past year. Key to the smuggling operation are dozens of privately owned, foreign-flagged tankers — dubbed a “ghost armada” by Jungman’s group — that deploy a variety of sophisticated techniques to hide their movements. Even U.S.-owned tankers, such as one belonging to a subsidiary of private equity giant Oaktree Capital Management, have been implicated in the brisk, black market trade.

In a cat and mouse world, ship tracking technology has given a boost to efforts to detect sanctions-evading behavior by Iran as well as Venezuela, whose oil industry is also under U.S. export restrictions. But seizing oil shipments is rare: prior to this latest action it had been done only twice before. Proceeds from the sale of forfeited cargoes partly go to compensate American victims of terrorism.

The Panama-flagged Arina, whose last listed manager is Athens-based Saint James Shipping Ltd., had previously been known to ship illegal Iranian crude, U.S. attorneys allege in a civil complaint filed in Washington federal court. Earlier in 2020 and again on its latest suspect voyage false documents were created to show crude transported by the ship originated in Oman, prosecutors allege.

It was not possible to contact Saint James Shipping and a website believed to belong to the company was not working.

From there, the Arina set course for the Suez Canal but experienced numerous delays along the voyage. Eventually, it proceeded to Istanbul, Turkey, where it underwent repair work, and then Romania, according to ship tracking data analyzed by Jungman.

Throughout the voyage the ship’s managers failed to find a buyer for the Iranian oil. Then on Aug. 26, 2021 it transferred part of its cargo — approximately 220,793 barrels — to another ship, the M/T Nostos, off the coast of Cyprus, prosecutors allege in their complaint. Piraeus-based Eurotankers, the last listed manager of the Liberia-flagged Nostos, did not immediately reply to an email nor did it answer a phone call seeking comment.

Both vessels — the Arina and Nostos — then tried to discharge the oil at a storage facility in Turkey, according to Jungman. Instead, they were detected by U.S. authorities and ordered to unload their cargo, which the Nostos did in Houston around Thanksgiving last year and Arina more recently, in January, in Bahamas, according to Jungman.

Iran’s 2015 nuclear deal with world powers saw it regain the ability to sell oil openly on the international market. But in 2018, then-President Donald Trump unilaterally withdrew from the accord and re-imposed American sanctions. That slammed the door on much of Iran’s lucrative oil trade, a major engine for its economy and its government.

But in recent months, Iranian officials have been suggesting they’ve been able to sell crude oil anyway around American sanctions. The Central Bank of Iran issued statistics at the start of February suggesting it made $18.6 billion in oil sales in the first half of this Persian year, as opposed to $8.5 billion the same period last year, according to the state-run IRAN newspaper.
 
Both vessels — the Arina and Nostos — then tried to discharge the oil at a storage facility in Turkey, according to Jungman. Instead, they were detected by U.S. authorities and ordered to unload their cargo, which the Nostos did in Houston around Thanksgiving last year and Arina more recently, in January, in Bahamas, according to Jungman.

This happened months ago. Even Iran kept their mouth shut till the press exposed it, then acts outraged.

Just goes to show you the state of affairs right now.
 

Pakistan Affairs Latest Posts

Back
Top Bottom