Let us look at your post in some detail. As is customary in China, you have ended with the soup, so you will not mind my reversing the procedure and starting with it!
Without any doubt, it is urgently necessary, from the Indian point of view, to resolve the border problem. If you track back my various comments on the issue, I have pointed out, notably in correspondence with CardSharp, that in my opinion, the next century belongs to China. We cannot foretell the future beyond that, but we may expect longer; it is not ruled out. It is not wise for a country to stay on bad terms with the new hegemon; CardSharp in fact warned of the consequences of that, pointing to the cramped, inhibited psychological and political situation of Vietnam. We have seen from published data on recent Chinese military exercises that we may need to match or to exceed the mobilisation capacity of the PLA even to defend ourselves, and that would mean building up 50 divisions within two months. An impossible task for the Indian Army, that has approximately 8 or 9 divisions earmarked for defence on the north. Considering that superior PLA tactics and strategy won them easy victories in 62, this 5 to 1 superiority on the side of the PLA, and the obvious alternatives for attack available to it, guarantee a massive defeat for the Indian Army, unless a truly revolutionary overhaul of the military and of political doctrine regarding the use of the military takes place. This will not take place.
From every point of view, it is urgent for us to make peace with China.
However, my point was not that we should not make peace; you are mistaken there.
My point is that we should keep our defences in good order, our military in good order, well after making peace, at least until the forces of demography start pulling the blanket a little more to the centre of the bed; today it is wholly on the Chinese side. The reason for this is the impulse of the people of China and every strong Chinese state to keep consolidating its western frontier. History indicates that China will keep moving west; she will have little or no interest in the south, unless we provoke her. Therefore, we have to keep on excellent terms with her, maintain a strong military, identify the two obvious avenues of attack that any intelligent person would select from if he was a PLA general, guard them and forestall any unhappy occurrence, and pray hard.
You mistake the matter.
The subject of the paper was not a conscious, articulated doctrine of the Government of India. Rather, it was the authors view of the unspoken, unwritten doctrine, which, almost unknown even to the actors and believers in the doctrine, has guided the thinking and is a constant intellectual background to decision-making. It is not that the Government of India is presenting this as an excuse; it is that this has turned out to be the model which seems to fit its behaviour, across political parties and regime changes.
As an historian, I find myself fully in agreement with it, as it aptly sums up the reality of 2, 400 years of history. You will agree that such a large body of evidence is not to be ignored.
I understand your argument that the Government of India, rightly, has selected the lesser of two evils: between Bad and Worse, it has selected Bad. You have based this on the relative transparency of government and civil service decision-making, which is open to public gaze, against the secretive, manipulative ways of the military.
First, unlike Pakistan, the military is not a secretive organisation, not as far as the civilian leadership is concerned; the situation is far more like the PLA, but without commissars. I can go into detail; for the time being, to allow the argument to flow smoothly, please trust me on this.
There is very little that happens within the military that is not known outside, at least in small circles of people connected with the general administrative structure and that social segment. I can cite personal examples of this numbering in the hundreds; other more closely connected people can increase that many times.
It has been designed that things should be like this. The concentrations of force have also been designed so that there is no coup-making capacity, if you look at the disposition of divisions and their physical locations. Promotions to higher rank are under very close scrutiny. The kind of high-handed action that can take place in nearby countries is inconceivable.
Finally, the politicians wield ruthless power over the military. Please look up the case of Admiral Vishnu Bhagwat and the Defence Minister, George Fernandes.
And, yes, the military has been more honest, even without public oversight, except in one instance, one type of behaviour, which I will not go into.
This was a concern in the early days, but is not a concern today. There were incidents in the early days; the Chief of Staff, General Cariappa, was a hugely respected General, whom the troops loved. He was outspoken and didn't mince his words. He was able to look Nehru in the eye and tell him that he, Nehru, was wrong. Nehru, in spite of his other good points, was a tyrant and a dictator in close personal relations, and this was perhaps not the behaviour he wanted. Nehru started fearing, or chose to fear, the possibility of a coup (Ayub staged his coup soon afterward, after being extended in his tenure several times by Iskandar Mirza; no Indian COAS has had an extended stay, leaving no time to plot and plan and enter into conspiracy).
Subsequently, under General Thimayya, an unfortunate article was printed, titled "Thimayya of India". This, too, upset the Prime Minister, and he took swift, somewhat treacherous action to humiliate Thimayya. Nehru's response to this mental state of his own was to try and put a hand-picked man into the top seat. Unfortunately, he also chose to embark on an ill-advised adventure with our neighbours, and his candidate proved conclusively that he was no good as a general. General Chaudhuri was brought in, and he was not a weakling. But he was ultra-conservative, and lost us major gains in 65 due to this.
Finally, General, later Field Marshal Manekshaw, was a player in the last such drama. Manekshaw, in spite of his many sterling qualities, talked too much, too often, and made remarks, harmless in themselves, which were not popular in a country where its neighbour had seen two military dictators next door already. Be it as it may, retribution was swift and decisive; the Field Marshal never spoke out of turn again.
I can say that since his time, there has never been an instance of the COAS, or any of the other two chiefs being at loggerheads with the civilians, except for Vishnu Bhagwat. Many of us feel that he was right, but the Defence Minister was also right to exercise his authority.
I admit that this is a logical possibility, but for the reasons mentioned, the history of South Asia, personally I prefer the strategic restraint theory as
better explaining our behaviour in the last 60+ years.