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The 20 Fastest-Growing Economies This Year

Bob Ong

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Bloomberg Business News
by Joshua Robinson
February 26, 2015

Emerging markets in Asia and Africa still reign supreme: They're at the top of global growth projections over the next two years.

The world is expected to grow 3.2 percent in 2015 and 3.7 percent next year after expanding 3.3 percent in each of the past two years, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists. China, the Philippines, Kenya, India and Indonesia, which together make up about 16 percent of global gross domestic product, are all forecast to grow more than 5 percent in 2015.

By comparison, the U.S. and U.K., which combined account for about a quarter of global growth, are expected to grow 3.1 percent and 2.6 percent this year, respectively. The euro area probably will expand just 1.2 percent as European Central Bank President Mario Draghi deals with a fragile Greece and embarks on a bond-purchase program to stimulate the region's growth.

world emerging markets.jpg


China still remains the fastest-growing G-20 nation, even though the Asian economy is no longer expanding at the pace it did a few years ago. China's economy grew 7.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014 from a year earlier, and is expected to slow to 7 percent in 2015.

To counter that slowdown, People's Bank of China policy makers are boosting monetary stimulus. The central bank cut its benchmark interest rate in November for the first time since 2012. This month officials lowered by 50 basis points the deposit reserve ratio, which is the amount of reserves that banks need to keep on hand.

Nigeria, Africa's largest economy, is projected to expand 4.9 percent this year, according to the Bloomberg survey. Kenya will probably grow 6 percent in 2015, even as unemployment and poverty remain stubbornly high, with over 40 percent of Kenyans living below the poverty line.

U.S. growth forecasts for 2015 are coalescing around 3 percent even as the dollar soars to its highest level in more than a decade. As growth picks up, the Federal Reserve is weighing whether to raise interest rates for the first time since 2006. Their benchmark federal funds rate has remained near zero since December 2008.

The 20 Fastest-Growing Economies This Year - Bloomberg Business
 
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Some analysis:

Wow even 4 advanced/OECD economies (Taiwan, Korea, Ireland and Singapore) still make such fast growths, amazing.

And all 5 founding members of ASEAN (Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore) are on the Top-20 list, good job ASEAN.
 
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S&P raises India's GDP forecasts, says it's a bright spot in Asia

Standard & Poor's sharply raised India's growth forecasts for the next several years to reflect a recent change in how gross domestic product is calculated by the government, and said the economy should be a "bright spot" in Asia.

The ratings agency S&P raised its India GDP growth forecast to 7.9% from 6.2% for the year ending March 2016, citing as well rising investment and low oil prices.

The agency also raised its growth forecast for 2016/17 to 8.2% from 6.6% previously.

The revisions come after India this month changed the way it measures Asia's third-largest economy.

"India should be the Asia-Pacific region's bright spot," S&P said in a statement.

At the same time, the ratings agency lowered growth forecasts for a slew of Asian countries, including China and Japan.

S&P currently rates India at "BBB-" with a "stable" outlook.

The agency earlier this week said India must boost growth, cut its fiscal deficit and fulfil promises of financial and fiscal reforms to justify an upgrade in a credit rating.

S&P raises India's GDP forecasts, says it's a bright spot in Asia | Business Standard News
 
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S&P raises India's GDP forecasts, says it's a bright spot in Asia

Standard & Poor's sharply raised India's growth forecasts for the next several years to reflect a recent change in how gross domestic product is calculated by the government, and said the economy should be a "bright spot" in Asia.

The ratings agency S&P raised its India GDP growth forecast to 7.9% from 6.2% for the year ending March 2016, citing as well rising investment and low oil prices.

The agency also raised its growth forecast for 2016/17 to 8.2% from 6.6% previously.

The revisions come after India this month changed the way it measures Asia's third-largest economy.

"India should be the Asia-Pacific region's bright spot," S&P said in a statement.

At the same time, the ratings agency lowered growth forecasts for a slew of Asian countries, including China and Japan.

S&P currently rates India at "BBB-" with a "stable" outlook.

The agency earlier this week said India must boost growth, cut its fiscal deficit and fulfil promises of financial and fiscal reforms to justify an upgrade in a credit rating.

S&P raises India's GDP forecasts, says it's a bright spot in Asia | Business Standard News

Looks like things are not so bad
 
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Bloomberg Business News
by Joshua Robinson
February 26, 2015

Emerging markets in Asia and Africa still reign supreme: They're at the top of global growth projections over the next two years.

The world is expected to grow 3.2 percent in 2015 and 3.7 percent next year after expanding 3.3 percent in each of the past two years, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists. China, the Philippines, Kenya, India and Indonesia, which together make up about 16 percent of global gross domestic product, are all forecast to grow more than 5 percent in 2015.

By comparison, the U.S. and U.K., which combined account for about a quarter of global growth, are expected to grow 3.1 percent and 2.6 percent this year, respectively. The euro area probably will expand just 1.2 percent as European Central Bank President Mario Draghi deals with a fragile Greece and embarks on a bond-purchase program to stimulate the region's growth.

View attachment 196659

China still remains the fastest-growing G-20 nation, even though the Asian economy is no longer expanding at the pace it did a few years ago. China's economy grew 7.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014 from a year earlier, and is expected to slow to 7 percent in 2015.

To counter that slowdown, People's Bank of China policy makers are boosting monetary stimulus. The central bank cut its benchmark interest rate in November for the first time since 2012. This month officials lowered by 50 basis points the deposit reserve ratio, which is the amount of reserves that banks need to keep on hand.

Nigeria, Africa's largest economy, is projected to expand 4.9 percent this year, according to the Bloomberg survey. Kenya will probably grow 6 percent in 2015, even as unemployment and poverty remain stubbornly high, with over 40 percent of Kenyans living below the poverty line.

U.S. growth forecasts for 2015 are coalescing around 3 percent even as the dollar soars to its highest level in more than a decade. As growth picks up, the Federal Reserve is weighing whether to raise interest rates for the first time since 2006. Their benchmark federal funds rate has remained near zero since December 2008.

The 20 Fastest-Growing Economies This Year - Bloomberg Business

It seems not right. Where is Pakistan. IMF forecast Pakistan GDP growth will be 5%

IMF forecasts 5% growth for Pakistan in 2015 – The Express Tribune
 
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