First of all, my apologies to the great Chinese friends in the forum. This idea is not supposed to be an anti-China bloc, but rather it will be for mutual self-defence.
@
Indos you may want to take a look here in this thread as well.
Lets look at current regional situation. We have a rising China, which is coming into territorial conflict with many regional states:
Japan, Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia and Brunei
There is a Pivot to Asia, where US is putting more emphasis in this region, so it can support these countries to counter any potential threat from China.
ASEAN has been there for many decades, there has been some progress on many fronts, but lets admit the truth, it is nothing like EU. What can change this situation is if we do not go for a union like EU, but rather go for a military alliance like NATO in this space.
I think it can start with the countries I mentioned above and then try to include more countries in the region:
Japan
Vietnam
Philippines
Malaysia
Brunei
I am not sure how Indonesia feels about its own threat perception, I think Australia is a concern. I think Burma feels some level of discomfort from bigger neighbors China and India mostly, but Bangladesh and Thailand to a smaller extent. So it is trying to get closer to the West to end its isolation.
Both Bangladesh and Sri Lanka are in South Asia, but common factor for us is both of us feel threatened by big regional neighbor, India. So both are close to China in order to balance the threat from India.
If Bangladesh and Sri Lanka are invited, they may join at some stage, if they see that this military alliance can ensure their need for security.
Convincing Indonesia to join will be the big challenge and it will be the key for the success of this military alliance.
ASEAN did not make progress, because the countries are not ready for EU type regional union, they are not as developed as Western European countries that led the EU effort.
If Japan is there to lead, not a regional union but rather a military alliance, initially with interested countries, then I think there might be some interesting future for this. If we look at all countries that are South and East of China and East of India, these countries are:
Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia, Philippines, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, South Korea, North Korea, Japan
I did not include Taiwan because it is considered as a part of China by most countries above. I did not include India, because India as a large country of more than a billion people have its own great power ambitions in the future. Just like China, India have no need to band together in a team of small nations to ensure mutual security. Also a large nation like India will not accept leadership from small nations like Japan or South Korea.
There is close to a billion people in these countries and I think a military alliance would be good. This can then create a secure and peaceful situation which would facilitate regional integration, increase people to people contact and develop the economy of these countries, under Japanese and South Korean leadership, with close economic partnership from China.
Although initially NATO and Australia may be close to this military alliance, the whole idea is to create a rather independent alliance structure and as it matures, it can slowly move away from NATO, when it becomes self sufficient enough with its own weapon systems production. That is why I did not include Australia in this, as it is obviously a part of the West and would not belong in this alliance.
If this idea is ok with the initial countries involved, then we can discuss details of this military alliance.