Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

[F-22Raptor]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1509210919930314754

 

[jhungary]

Chacha! Bus.

Ba Da Bing.

 

[Wood]

Long term strategic foothold on the Russian border?

Nope. Zelensky's neutrality offer to Russia in this deal says that Ukraine will never host troops or strategic weapons from foreign countries. So Europe will not get anything in return expect for Ukraine in EU

 

[EasyNow]

Our current subject is about fiat currency and about whether it is a "what he said is true" situation. My answer is yes and its scope is domestic. Of course, any domestic event has international impact as well. But "what he said is true" domestically is a dictate. Its international impact is only an influence, not a dictate. So, the current subject is about that "dictate". If you want to talk about international influence, that is a separate subject, isn't it?

Bro just give it up, your position is wrong on this.

Fiat currency is not 'what he said is true'. Just because Russia overvalues it's ruble, doesn't make it true. If putin says 1 ruble is worth 1 dollar within its borders every Russian will swap his rubles for dollars (or items that hold that dollar value.)

Also everything has a cost, every country has to import certain materials. If cost of imports go up then prices go up. Which means a ruble is naturally worth less .

If fiat worked the way you said, then Zimbabwe would not print 1billion dollar bills.

 

[jamal18]

Many analysts believe that Russia has culminated. As weather improves, Russia may make another attempt to take Kiev. If this is not possible or successful, then Putin has to declare that the territorial gains in South and East of Ukraine as victory to his domestic audience. His TV pundits will attest it for him. Putin will gamble that this is enough to keep his throne.

I don't think Russia can really sustain a long war that can last for the rest of this year while reeling under Western sanctions. Accepting promises of neutrality from Ukraine will not be a matter of choice in this situation. Putin will want to believe it at that point.

I believe that the deployment around Kiev was a feint. The idea was to tie down Ukrainian troops so that they couldn't redeploy to the east, where the critical battle was.

 

[Gripen9]

The Russian Air Force has performed so poorly, that US Air Force analysts believe that upgraded F-15s/F-16s would dominate the Russians and that F-22s would be overkill.

File it under no shit sherlock...
Pakistan Airforce demonstrated that on Feb 27, 2019 -- Pair of Arrows went pitbull

 

[jhungary]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1509157134021369857

Zelensky's demand for security guarantee from Europe seemed unrealistic to me. It is like he wanted Ukraine to be part of NATO without paying for any expenses and risks associated with the alliance. Why would Europe agree for this ?

It wouldn't, if they would, NATO would already been at war with the Russian already....

Ukraine need to look at immediate country as guarantor, not UK or US or any far away country.

 

[khansaheeb]

Nope. Zelensky's neutrality offer to Russia in this deal says that Ukraine will never host troops or strategic weapons from foreign countries. So Europe will not get anything in return expect for Ukraine in EU

Officially no but unofficially yes. NATO will beef up the capabilities of the Ukrainian forces one way or another to be a thorn in the Russian front.

 

[jhungary]

I believe that the deployment around Kiev was a feint. The idea was to tie down Ukrainian troops so that they couldn't redeploy to the east, where the critical battle was.z

It does not make sense because

a.) The center of gravity is Kyiv, everything Russia said they want to do is in Kyiv (Demilitarize Ukraine and Denazifying Ukraine)
b.) The Russia attack Kyiv from the East (From Sumy and Kharkiv) as well as in this map show

You don't feign an attack then using the "Main Force" to attack the Feign, that defeat the purpose of Feigning the attack in the first place.

In this case, it's more like they try to attack Kyiv from the North from Belarus thru Irpin/Hostomal, and it failed, then they try to do it thru Chernahiv, and it failed, then they try to go from Sumy and Kharkiv, and all 3 are stuck now.

 

[F-22Raptor]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1509210919930314754

A Ukrainian Buk intercepting a Russian cruise missile

 

[jamal18]

It does not make sense because

a.) The center of gravity is Kyiv, everything Russia said they want to do is in Kyiv (Demilitarize Ukraine and Denazifying Ukraine)
b.) The Russia attack Kyiv from the East (From Sumy and Kharkiv) as well as in this map show
View attachment 828702

You don't feign an attack then using the "Main Force" to attack the Feign, that defeat the purpose of Feigning the attack in the first place.

In this case, it's more like they try to attack Kyiv from the North from Belarus thru Irpin/Hostomal, and it failed, then they try to do it thru Chernahiv, and it failed, then they try to go from Sumy and Kharkiv, and all 3 are stuck now.

The most significant Ukrainian forces were in the east. To destroy Ukraine's military capability, these are forces that have to be destroyed. That task is virtually finished.

 

[Wood]

Officially no but unofficially yes. NATO will beef up the capabilities of the Ukrainian forces one way or another to be a thorn in the Russian front.

IMO, Ukraine should have spent 10% or more of its GDP after 2014. Their intelligence agency should have been aware of Russian intentions already. Ukraine should have junked Soviet weaponry and have fully invested/trained in western hardware.

Countries that are under such immediate threat of much superior foe should prioritize their security interests above social welfare. Now even if Ukraine manages to keep its key cities, they are all damaged to dust

 

[F-22Raptor]

The most significant Ukrainian forces were in the east. To destroy Ukraine's military capability, these are forces that have to be destroyed. That task is virtually finished.

100% false. Ukraines military is nowhere near being destroyed. Not even close

 

[jhungary]

The most significant Ukrainian forces were in the east. To destroy Ukraine's military capability, these are forces that have to be destroyed. That task is virtually finished.

That is just not true.

There were 20 Brigade in Ukrainian army before this war (Now probably somewhere between 30-36), only 6 of those are in Donbas (They are 53, 54, 92, 93 Mech Brigade + 56 motor brigade and 55 Artillery Battery)

This is the deposition of Ukrainian Armed Force before the war

The troop concentration is on North West, with 8 Brigade defending North/West Corridor.

Also, it still does not explain why Russia would use their main force to attack a Feign, as I said, that defeat the purpose of the Feign attacks.

And I wouldn't call it "Finished" because only 2 Brigade from the Ukrainian National Guard is in the fight with Russian in Mariupol, 10th and 18th (Which included the Azov Battalion) and a Marine Brigade, none of the main force were used and the line is still holding, if those Ukrainian force were "Finished" the Russian would have advance beyond the Demarcation Line.

 

[khansaheeb]

IMO, Ukraine should have spent 10% or more of its GDP after 2014. Their intelligence agency should have been aware of Russian intentions already. Ukraine should have junked Soviet weaponry and have fully invested/trained in western hardware.

Countries that are under such immediate threat of much superior foe should prioritize their security interests above social welfare. Now even if Ukraine manages to keep its key cities, they are all damaged to dust

NATO's illtelligence services also failed or they stayed quite until it was too late. NATO had been doing a lot of exercises and Russia called their bluff by executing a real one. Looking at the quick deployment of weapons and propaganda it seems the trap for the demise of Russia was pre-planned.