Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

[RescueRanger]

And Pakistanis think Sheikh Rasheed is an embarrassment on TV:

 

[jamal18]

A group of men in Cherson tried to attack a russian convoy with molotov cocktails from the woods around the street. So the convoy opened fire, seems like 30mm HE or so, because even the trees got cut down like nothing. Not even talking about the men, so i will not post the video.

My point is: Selensky and Co. are responsible too for this mess. They gave the order to arm civilians with molotov cocktails etc. Because they want as many ukr. civilians dead as possible. To get Nato dragged in and making the peace process at the end as hard as possible!

Like I said, anybody who tells people to go forward with molotove cocktails is a murderer. He know nothing of combat. Same with arming civilians and women.

 

[Genghis khan1]

Seems like every Zion controlled country is trying to save the newly setup Zion controlled country Ukraine.

Christian Zionist religious believe, Russians along with Arab (Muslims) will be on the opposing (evil) side to them and their final return of massiah.

Basically thei Dajjal is supported by Russians and Muslims end if times false prophet. That’s what they been preaching to their people.

 

[khansaheeb]

https://www.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-putin-news-03-01-22/index.html

POLITICS

Russia's 40-mile convoy appears to have bogged down 15 miles from Kyiv; shells pound Ukrainian city of Kharkiv. Live updates.​

Tom Vanden BrookJohn BaconJorge L. OrtizCelina Tebor
USA TODAY

0:17
1:29
A massive, 40-mile convoy of Russian tanks and vehicles appeared to bog down on its push toward the capital of Kyiv on Tuesday while residential areas of Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city, were being pounded by Russian shells.
The Russian military advance drew to within 15 miles of Kyiv’s center amid signs that troops are running out of gas and food, a senior U.S. Defense Department official said Tuesday. Russia has committed about 80% of the combat force President Vladimir Putin deployed to invade Ukraine, the official said.
Ukrainian resistance is continuing, and it has helped stymie the advance, according to the official who briefed reporters on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence findings. It is also possible the Russians are pausing to regroup and reassess their attack, the official said.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he spoke with President Joe Biden on Tuesday concerning Russian sanctions and defense assistance to Ukraine. The White House confirmed that they spoke for more than 30 minutes.
"We must stop the aggressor as soon as possible," Zelenskyy tweeted. "Thank you for your support!"
Biden is expected to speak about the crisis in Ukraine on Tuesday night as part of his State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress. Here's how to watch Biden's speech.

In Kharkiv, at least 11 people were killed and 35 wounded in the rocket strike, Interior Ministry adviser Anton Herashchenko said, adding that the death toll is expected to rise. Closed-circuit television footage showed a fireball engulfing a street in front of one building, and a few cars rolled out of the billowing smoke.
Hospital workers transferred a Kharkiv maternity ward to a bomb shelter. Amid mattresses piled up against the walls, pregnant women paced the crowded space to the cries of dozens of newborns.

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Zelenskyy called the attack on the city's main square “frank, undisguised terror. Nobody will forgive. Nobody will forget. This attack on Kharkiv is a war crime.”
Zelenskyy said he believes Russian shelling of civilian areas is an attempt by Russia to put pressure on Ukraine to make concessions. No peace deal can be reached “when one side is hitting another with rocket artillery,” he said.
In Geneva, dozens of diplomats from the U.S., the U.K. and other European countries walked out in protest when Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov was addressing the UN Human Rights Council and Conference on Disarmament.
THE NEWS COMES TO YOU: Get the latest updates on the situation in Ukraine. Sign up here

Latest updates:
►At least two international humanitarian groups accused Russia of using cluster bombs, which open in the air and rain down multiple explosives over a wide area with little accuracy. Moscow denied the allegation.
►In Moscow, people lined up to withdraw cash as sanctions imposed by the West threatened to drive up prices and reduce the standard of living for millions of ordinary Russians. The Russian currency plunged, making the ruble worth less than a penny.
►At least 677,000 refugees have already fled from Ukraine into neighboring countries, most to Poland, said Filippo Grandi, the U.N. high commissioner for refugees.
►Zelenskyy, in an address to the European parliament Tuesday, said his country is fighting "to be equal members of Europe. We have proven that, as a minimum, we are the same as you.”

►The State Department has closed the U.S. Embassy in Belarus, a Russian neighbor and supporter, and is allowing non-essential staff at the U.S. Embassy in Russia to leave the country.
►The Swiss-based company that built the Nord Stream 2 pipeline that was supposed to transport gas from Russia to Germany before it was shut down by sanctions may file for bankruptcy, Reuters reported.
TRACK THE INVASION:Satellite images, surveillance footage, social media posts show the latest on the war in Ukraine
USA TODAY FACT CHECK ROUNDUP:What's true and what's false about the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Ukraine: Attack on TV tower kills 5, damages Babi Yar Holocaust Center​

Russian strikes on Kyiv’s TV tower killed five people, wounded others and damaged the Babi Yar Holocaust Memorial Center, Ukrainian authorities said. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's office tweeted that a "powerful barrage" was underway and that a missile hit the center.
The Nazis shot tens of thousands of people at Babi Yar, including almost the entire Jewish population of Kyiv.
"To the world: what is the point of saying 'never again' for 80 years, if the world stays silent when a bomb drops on the same site of Babyn Yar?" Zerenskyy tweeted. "At least 5 killed. History repeating…"

US official: Russian force may be regrouping​

The 40-mile convoy approaching Kyiv has made little progress because of resistance and a lack of gas and food, according to a senior U.S. Defense Department official who briefed reporters on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence findings.
The official said the Russians also are likely protecting the convoy, explaining why it does not appear to have been attacked. The airspace over Ukraine continues to be contested by Ukrainian and Russian forces, the official said.

There are also signs that there are morale problems among Russian troops, many of whom have been drafted into service, the official said, declining to say how the Pentagon has made that assessment. Many of the soldiers are young men who have not been thoroughly trained or even aware why they were sent to Ukraine.
The Russians, however, have a potent force in and around Ukraine, the official said.
The Russians have systems capable of launching thermobaric weapons in Ukraine, the official said. Those fuel-air weapons are used primarily to kill people on the ground or in bunkers.
– Tom Vanden Brook

Ukraine refugees find open doors through online sites​

At a time when desperate Ukrainians are fleeing their country by the hundreds of thousands, online connections are helping them find refuge in other countries.
Facebook groups such as Host A Sister and Accommodation, Help & Shelter for Ukraine are among the sites serving as a link between those escaping the war in Ukraine and hosts willing to open their doors to them.
Iryna Yarmolenko, who served as a council member for the Ukrainian city of Bucha, fled with her mother and 5-year-old son last week and found a safe place with a couple in Lublin, Poland, after posting a request for help on the Host A Sister page.
"Even if it was just with their words: 'Iryna, we are here. Tell me what you need,' ... I felt myself not so alone." she said. "I was totally broken because I left all my stuff, all my dreams, all my house, all my career, all my everything."
– Bailey Schulz and Eve Chen

Ice skating, skiing and basketball join growing list of sports entities barring Russians​

In addition to the economic sanctions piling up against Russia for invading Ukraine, the sports bans continue to mount.
On Tuesday, Russia was barred from competing in international ice skating, skiing, basketball, track and some tennis events, a day after being kicked out of soccer competitions and hockey – President Vladimir Putin’s favorite team sport. The decisions follow the IOC’s request to international sports federations to keep Russian athletes out of events they organize.
The International Skating Union, which runs the sport around the world, said it won't allow any competitors from Russia to participate in its events, which would exclude Olympic champion Anna Shcherbakova and 15-year-old star Kamila Valieva from the world figure skating championships in France later this month. Athletes from Belarus, which has supported Russia's attack, will also be barred.

Court will look into whether Russia has committed war crimes. What exactly are they?​

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has accused Russia of committing war crimes during the invasion, and the International Criminal Court's prosecutor said he would investigate.
But what exactly are war crimes? Are they attacks on civilian populations? Launching rockets into residential areas? Other forms of cruelty in what's an inherently brutal endeavor like war?
The definition of a war crime has evolved over time, but Dustin Lewis, research director for the Harvard Law School Program on International Law and Armed Conflict, said it encompasses two criteria.
"First, the conduct must be committed with a sufficient connection to an armed conflict,'' he said. "Second, the conduct must constitute a serious violation of the laws and customs of international humanitarian law that has been criminalized by international treaty or customary law."
– Ryan W. Miller

Mayor describes Kharkiv's situation as 'pretty grave'​

Kharkiv Mayor Ihor Terekhov said Tuesday that his government remained in control but said the city is surrounded by Russian troops.

“Military equipment and armored vehicles are coming from different directions,” he told The Washington Post in a phone interview.
Terekhov said a government building and the opera and ballet theater were among buildings shelled. Transformer stations were also struck by artillery, cutting off power to much of the city, he said. The shelling stalled efforts to supply the city with food and medical supplies, he said.
“There are casualties, and by now, there are certainly a lot more of them, after the night and morning shelling,” he told the Post. “The situation is pretty grave.”

Diplomats in Geneva walk out on Lavrov speech​

More than 100 diplomats from dozens of nations walked out on a speech by Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to the U.N. Human Rights Council on Tuesday in protest of the invasion. Lavrov spoke remotely from Russia because he said his flight path to Geneva was blocked by governments that closed their airspace to Russian planes. He accused the West of "Russophobic frenzy."
Ambassador Michèle Taylor, the U.S. representative to the council, said the diplomats were working to ensure Russia's leaders were held accountable for the "illegal war" against Ukraine.
"As widespread human rights abuses continue + civilian casualties mount, we #StandwithUkraine in rejecting Lavrov’s lies," Taylor tweeted. "Russia is isolated."

Actor Sean Penn flees Ukraine on foot​

Filmmaker and actor Sean Penn confirmed he has evacuated to Poland after spending time in Ukraine working on a documentary about the conflict. The actor shared a photo of himself Monday carrying a suitcase while walking along the side of a backed-up highway as many others attempted to flee Ukraine.
"Myself & two colleagues walked miles to the Polish border after abandoning our car on the side of the road," Penn wrote. "Almost all the cars in this photo carry women & children only, most without any sign of luggage, and a car their only possession of value."
Penn said Putin has made a "most horrible mistake for all of humankind" and that Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian people "have risen as historic symbols of courage and principle. Ukraine is the tip of the spear for the democratic embrace of dreams."
Penn's visit drew accolades from Zelenskyy.
"Sean Penn demonstrates the courage that many others, especially western politicians lack," the president's office wrote on Facebook. "The director specially came to Kiev to record all the events that are currently happening in Ukraine and to tell the world the truth about Russia's invasion of our country."
– Elise Brisco

Cities under siege: A look at Kyiv and Kharkiv by the numbers​

The war has thrown a global spotlight on Ukraine's two largest cities, Kyiv and Kharkiv. Kyiv's (KEE-ev) population of 2.7 million people would make it the third largest in the U.S. slightly ahead of Chicago. The city covers 330 square miles – bigger than Chicago or New York, about the size of San Diego. Kyiv is in north central Ukraine, not far from the borders with Russia and Belarus. Ukrainian and Russian are commonly spoken in the city, among the oldest in Eastern Europe.
Kharkiv (kar-KEEV), 300 miles east of Kyiv and near the Russian border, has a population of about 1.4 million spread over about 135 square miles – about the size of Philadelphia, which has a population of about 1.5 million.
Ukraine has a population of about 44 million people, 4 million more than California, and is about 233,000 square miles – a bit smaller than Texas.

NATO chief says nuclear alert level unchanged​

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg on Tuesday visited troops in Poland with Polish President Andrzej Duda. Poland shares a border with Ukraine, and the air base in the central Poland city of Lask is home to NATO’s Polish and U.S. F-15 and F-16 fighter jets.
"We are increasing our presence in the east to defend & protect our people," Stoltenberg said in a social media post. "Allies are stepping up support for #Ukraine & imposing costs on #Russia. The world stands with Ukraine in calling for peace."
Despite Russia’s threats about nuclear weapons, the alliance sees no need to change its nuclear weapons alert level, Stoltenberg said. And while Ukraine is not a member of NATO, it is the alliance's responsibility to “ensure that we don’t see a development where a conflict in Ukraine spiraled out of control and becomes a full-fledged confrontation between NATO and Russia in Europe."

Google, other big tech firms grapple with Russian state media, propaganda​

Big tech platforms have begun restricting Russian state media from using their platforms to spread propaganda and misinformation. Google announced Tuesday that it's blocking the YouTube channels of those outlets in Europe effective immediately but said it could take some time to get all of them removed. Other U.S.-owned tech companies have also taken steps, including labeling more content so people know it originated with the Russian government and cutting Russian state organizations off from ad revenue.
The changes are intended to slow the Kremlin from pumping propaganda into social media feeds without persuading Russian officials to block their citizens from access to platforms during a crucial time of war, said Katie Harbath, a former public policy director for Facebook. Read more here.
"They’re trying to walk this very fine line; they’re doing this dance,” she said.

War threatens Russian space partnerships with US, Europe​

Russia's invasion of Ukraine has raised concerns about the country's relationship with the United States in space, a union that has remained intact despite geopolitical rifts between the two countries.
Four NASA astronauts, two Russian cosmonauts and one European Space Agency astronaut are stationed aboard the International Space Station, their home traveling 17,500 mph some 200 mile above Earth – where Russia has drawn international rebuke for its invasion of Ukraine. NASA astronaut Mark Vande Hei is scheduled to return March 30 aboard a Russian spacecraft.
President Joe Biden has promised sanctions will target the Russian aerospace industry, a warning that led to a tweet from Russian space chief Dmitry Rogozin asking "who will save the ISS from an uncontrolled deorbit and fall into the United States or Europe."
The European Space Agency also works with Russia. A planned launch of a European-Russian mission to Mars this year is "very unlikely," the space agency said Monday.
– Emre Kelly, Florida Today

Artillery kills over 70 Ukrainian soldiers at military base, official says​

More than 70 Ukrainian soldiers were killed after Russian artillery hit a military base in Okhtyrka, a city between Kharkiv and Kyiv, the head of the region wrote on Telegram. Dmytro Zhyvytskyy posted photographs of the charred shell of a four-story building and rescuers searching rubble. In a later Facebook post, he said many Russian soldiers and some residents also were killed during the fighting on Sunday. The report could not immediately be confirmed.
– Celina Tebor

Disney, Sony Pictures, Warner Bros. halt release of films in Russia​

The Walt Disney Co., Sony Pictures Entertainment and Warner Bros. are joining the list of businesses retaliating against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine. Disney is pausing the release of theatrical films in Russia, including the upcoming “Turning Red” from Pixar, in response to the attack, the company said in a statement Monday. Disney said it is working with nongovernmental organizations to provide aid and other humanitarian assistance to refugees.
WarnerMedia is putting the release of The Batman on hold in Russia. The film starring Robert Pattinson had been set to open in Russia on Thursday. “We will continue to monitor the situation as it evolves,” Warner Bros. said in a statement. “We hope for a swift and peaceful resolution to this tragedy.”
Sony Pictures is also pausing planned theatrical releases in Russia, including the upcoming release of Morbius, which is due out in early April,
"Our thoughts and prayers are with all those who have been impacted and hope this crisis will be resolved quickly," Sony Pictures told USA TODAY in a statement.
– Michael Collins

Mastercard blocks financial institutions over sanctions on Russia​

Mastercard announced Monday that it was blocking "multiple financial institutions from the Mastercard payment network" as a result of sanctions imposed on Russia over its invasion of Ukraine. The U.S.-based financial services company said in a statement it will continue to work with regulators to stay in compliance and is actively monitoring and preparing to respond to cyberattacks. Mastercard also said it would donate $2 million in humanitarian relief.
The U.S. and EU have sanctioned top Kremin officials and Russian elites as well as taken steps to remove Russian banks from the SWIFT network, which allows for payments between financial institutions, and to restrict Russia’s use of its massive foreign currency reserves.
– Celina Tebor
Contributing: The Associated Press

 

[HAIDER]

Speaking of Leon:

Boris Johnson hints UK's 'Lads' Army' could be treated like TERRORISTS on return from Ukraine as he urges them NOT to join Zelensky's civilian fightback - as city banker whose hero is George Orwell and gym boss join ex-SAS soldiers making way to frontline​

British volunteers head to Ukrainian embassy to fight against Russia

Giving a speech in Estonia today, Prime Minister warned Britons wanting to join Ukraine in their war with Russia that they could be breaking UK laws by taking part in the fighting.

www.dailymail.co.uk

Mr. Leon's dream shattered ... soon Putin invade the Carrabean islands .. He can join the brothers ...

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1498641628478726149

 

[gambit]

A group of men in Cherson tried to attack a russian convoy with molotov cocktails from the woods around the street. So the convoy opened fire, seems like 30mm HE or so, because even the trees got cut down like nothing. Not even talking about the men, so i will not post the video.

My point is: Selensky and Co. are responsible too for this mess. They gave the order to arm civilians with molotov cocktails etc. Because they want as many ukr. civilians dead as possible. To get Nato dragged in and making the peace process at the end as hard as possible!

Let us get international laws straight...As much as laws can be in wars...

Technically speaking, the correct words are 'combatant' and 'non-combatant'. That mean a civilian can be a combatant, and that is not wordplay. Resistance or partisan fighters are civilians but also are combatants. Guerrilla fighters are civilians as well combatants. Most military members are combatants. Why 'most'? Because chaplains and medics are non-combatants. Chaplains are forbidden to carry arms. Medics can carry arms for self protection and to protect the wounded under their care, but they are non-combatants. If a medic become a member of an attacking force take part in an attack, then he lost his non-combatant status. But if all he does is respond to calls for his service, then he remains a non-combatant.

You can kill a combatant but not a non-combatant. It is a war crime to kill non-combatants.

The leader of a country have the moral right to call civilians to arms for defense of country. If anyone respond, he becomes a combatant. He can fight with his own weapons or that issued to him by the government or by the resistance organization. He can even fight with his bare hands if he want.

For any civilian to be a combatant, he must distinguish himself somehow. He can wear the uniform of the military, or he can, with other civilians, wear some unique piece of clothing to show they are combatants. The Geneva Convention does not require a formal uniform as that of the military. Just as long as the civilian display a unique outerwear of some kind to show that he is a combatant.

Doctors without borders | The Practical Guide to Humanitarian Law

According to the Third Geneva Convention, combatants are:

• members of the armed forces of a party to the conflict, as well as members of militias or volunteer corps forming part of such armed forces (GCIII Art. 4.a.1); or
• members of regular armed forces, even those that profess allegiance to a government or authority not recognized by the adverse power (GCIII Art. 4.a.3); or
• members of other militias and members of volunteer corps, including those of organized resistance movements belonging to a party to the conflict and operating in or outside their own territory, even if this territory is occupied, provided that such militias or volunteer corps, including such organized resistance movements, fulfill the following conditions:
  1. that of being commanded by a person responsible for his subordinates;
  2. that of having a fixed distinctive sign recognizable at a distance;
  3. that of carrying arms openly;
  4. that of conducting their operations in accordance with the laws and customs of war (GCIII Art. 4.a.2);
• inhabitants of a non-occupied territory, who on the approach of the enemy spontaneously take up arms to resist the invading forces, without having had time to form themselves into regular armed units, provided they carry arms openly and respect the laws and customs of war (GCIII Art. 4.a.6).

 

[Madni Bappa]

There is soooo much disinfo from Ukrainian camp. They've been showing their own destroyed, damaged or disabled equipment as Russian.

I also get the distinct feeling that Israeli/Jewish lobbies are heavily involved in this war and wanting to incite a greater conflict that drags NATO and US in vs Russia, China and anyone who sides with them.


Lastly, this war has removed mask from White European Judeo Christian supremacist centric way of thinking in this new world order. Many non-white people in Latin America, Africa, MENA and Asia are calling West out on their two faced hypocrisy. Especially muslims who were attacked by the same Western military and media might.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1498641628478726149

These "military exercises" as Ukrainian disinfo keeps calling them is about to become their nightmare

I still don't think Russians want to use full force. They're being quite diligent.

 

[HAIDER]

And Pakistanis think Sheikh Rasheed is an embarrassment on TV: View attachment 819966

Tag Mr Leon ... this is the best ambush strategy .... just in case if already left for Ukraine..

 

[Zibago]

Don’t worry sir, I’ve got you covered too:

Its the most beautiful thing I have ever seen

 

[Madni Bappa]

Christian Zionist religious believe, Russians along with Arab (Muslims) will be on the opposing (evil) side to them and their final return of massiah.

Basically thei Dajjal is supported by Russians and Muslims end if times false prophet. That’s what they been preaching to their people.

I wouldn't put it past these far right Nazis

 

[Vergennes]

There is soooo much disinfo from Ukrainian camp. They've been showing their own destroyed, damaged or disabled equipment as Russian.

Do you have any examples of your claim ? Because destroyed or damaged Russian equipments are easily differentiated from Ukrainian ones.

Some people can't just take it that the "second's most powerful army" is being bullied in Ukraine and that the amount of equipment destroyed or abandoned is astonishing.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1498778718256476160

 

[Madni Bappa]

Speaking of Leon:

Boris Johnson hints UK's 'Lads' Army' could be treated like TERRORISTS on return from Ukraine as he urges them NOT to join Zelensky's civilian fightback - as city banker whose hero is George Orwell and gym boss join ex-SAS soldiers making way to frontline​

British volunteers head to Ukrainian embassy to fight against Russia

Giving a speech in Estonia today, Prime Minister warned Britons wanting to join Ukraine in their war with Russia that they could be breaking UK laws by taking part in the fighting.

www.dailymail.co.uk

Sounds almost like Lord's Army. Putin was right Ukraine is getting support from far right Nazis.

 

[jhungary]

1.) I meant that on 20th, US told them that Russia effectively telexed their commanders an attack plan, and Ukrainian pres didn't call for mobilisation, and draft. It cost them 3-4 days, and ability to do the last minute resupply.

2.) The East Ukraine holds the most remarkable actually, with a lot of armour kills, thus not much reports of fighting with armour there now, but about Russians doing hide & seek, in woods around Kharkiv, and retreating behind the border in few cases.

Donetsk direction had almost a half of all Ukrainian heavy units, because they were there since 2014. It seems it actually working, and well supplied to hold on for quite some time.

3.) I checked few maps, there are no woodlands in the south, as its almost all agricultural land, and very open fields. My guess they were very afraid of scattered ATGM teams, which effectively outrange Russian tanks, and waited for solid air cover to regroup in larger formations before the push.

And I guess, they are also afraid of a chance for cutoff, as I shown on a map few days ago.

4.) True, but they got there, just very slowly. Legacy Soviet logistics hurts Ukraine as much as Russians.

5.) Ukraine had a lot of initiative early on, they had an option to spare at least something to keep it for longer.

6.) Important to say that Russians had enormous early push completely destroyed in woods north of Kiyv, after which they decided to avoid woods, and go through more open terrain around. Their force in Belo was already 40% spent around late 27th. Ukrainians definitely had an option to sent some men forwards at least to blow up some bridges, and let sappers to their job (mining.)

Look at google maps on Ukrainian Belorussian border, terrible terrain, dense woodlands, multiple rivers, and swamps. This is why they captured Chernobyl first of all things.

If they had them still pinned in woods, their attrition rate would've been much more favourable, and they would've won more time, even at the price of these forces.

7.) Do they need to save them for counterbat when they know that they will not have such opportunity in the future? It would've been the best to spend them early on to inflict maximum casualties on pinned enemy forces in first days. Instead, even now I see videos dated 1st of March of assorted MLRS, and tube artillery coming from the West of the country to somewhere without accompanying force. They probably think they still can reach Kiyv to meaningfully employ these MLRS.

8.) Indeed, I wrote on this seashift 2 days ago. It was Ukrainian overexuberance about getting precision weapons which clouded their vision about them having to fight world's No.2 military by size. These days, NATO military thinkers too are often forgetting the importance of raw firepower.

9.)

11.)

12.)

13.) It seems to be the siege warfare now, but they had an opportunity to delay this a lot, and get more supplies to territorials in Kiyv, which are numerous, but lack heavy weapons.

14.) I think your are right, and they are not really afraid of scattered ATGM teams which harass them. They just wait for regroup, while absorbing the damage in the South. But... Ukrainians still can blow up more bridges there, and delay them by a lot.

15.)

1.) True, not saying Zelenskyy's nonchalant attuited did not cost Ukraine, had they listened to US intel as early as Nov 2021, they would have probably better prepared than now, on the other hand, we don't actually know how much Ukrainian had prepared. And as I said, EU/US assume Ukraine is going to fold in the first 3 days, that's why they hold off sending aids to them, which also hamper the supply problem. Don't forget the Ukrainian have extensively used their air asset (Fighter/Bomber/Drone) in the first 6 days of war, there are always going to be a respite on the supply issue.

2.) That is the different between regular force and TDF, regular force is quite battle harden, but the downside is that they are smaller than the traditional force, On the other hand, the Order of Battle see Ukraine deployed 6 combat Brigade to Eastern Command, rather than the 3 or 4 in all other command. That is a given, as they are fighting with Russia/separatist since 2014.

What Russia did essentially is what we did during the first Gulf War. The obvious route of advance is form the East, (as with Iraq Southern Border with Saudi) Which is why Russia did not largely move their Eastern Asset because they want to pin the most concentrated force in place and flank Ukraine with a Armor run, which is like what we did we posted the Marine 2nd Division to pin the Iraq Republican Guard that were in Kuwait/Saudi Border and then flank the Iraqi thru the Western Desert. Only that we make strong progress in Iraq (I think the ground war only lasted 4 days, maybe 5) and the Russian is still fighting in most of the outskirt on day 7.

3.) Sorry was meant to say flat land. The problem is that Russia still have not control the air even after day 6, running large Armor Column in open field is going to make it easy prey on Ukrainian Air Asset.

Also, it's worth notice that the tradition engagement distant for Javelin is 800-1200 meters, somewhat within T-80/ T-90 gun range (Which is about 1500), technically, you can engage Russia Armor with Javelin (Not sure what is the spec of N-LAW) outside T80/T-90 Gun range at 2000 meter, but the operator would have to be very skilful, because there are a lot of adjustment to make, and I am not sure if Ukrainian are that skilled on using Javelin. So I would suggest that they are probably engaging Russian Armor at range about 800 to 1000 meters

4.) That's the problem I mentioned in my first assessment of the situation. By now, front line Russia troop are looking at fuel and munition because the initial LOGPAK is most likely exhausted, hence all the long column (40km or something) of supply and reinforcement. Now, If you are the Russian, you are looking at set up base to refuel and resupply your unit, you will be hit with a dilemma. Put it inside your front line troop, you keep the pressure and resupply the troop at the same time then they are vulnerable of getting attacked. Setting it BEHIND the line, then you will only be able to pull a small amount of troop each time to resupply them, and it took a long time, because that mean you need to pull troop offline and put it back in, and you cant pull everyone out of the line at once.

I am pretty sure the original battleplan for Russia would have them already occupied Kyiv by now, or maybe even beyond that, that is the reason why you see Supply column unescorted, because they probably is following the original plan and the front line would have been 10-20KM further ahead.

On the other hand, Ukrainian resupply depends on type of resupply, there aren't a big range of option (I don't think Supply by air is an option at all for the Ukrainian) which mean what they are doing is to haul their supply from designated weapon cache to frontline. It is impossible for them to pip any weapon they receive from the West thru western border to the East, Well, they can, but it take time. What I would do if I was the Ukrainian is that I will Lay out Resupply point. So the new supply coming from EU will be going to Kyiv or Dnipro and then send supply from Kyiv and Dnipro to the East.

Both side would have supply problem now, but Russia would have more option.

5.) Well, there are still 40000 Russian Troop near Brest, they have to anchor a bulk amount of troop in the West to prepare for that arm of invasion. You can pipe small unit to help out but that would not do much because I think at most you can sent is platoon level.

6.) Latest US intelligence suggested 75% of Russian troop in all of their staging area are deployed. And you cannot expect the Russian not to adapt to how Ukrainian fight b now. If the Ukrainian is smart, they would have minded or trap the main road as a secondary line of defence, you fight them in the wood, which force them out in the open, and if you mined or trapped the road, they would have a easier fight, but I have no idea whether or not Ukrainian did that.

7.) Well, If this is the western doctrine, yes, there are not much of use for artillery at this point other than working as a Counter Battery fire or probably soften up the rear staging area. The Russian is already at Kyiv door step, they are not 10 mile away (their resupply column is) which mean now is the time they gather all their Support element and use them at once. This is what we did during the siege in Khe Shan, compare to what the French did during Dien Bien Phu, they separate their arty and put them in the hill around the base, which is the first to fall so when they were under siege, arty can't help them and they lose and we survive Khe Shan.

But then that is just what I would do, I can't speak for Ukrainian.

8.) Precision strike is only good when you are at stand off range, it give you the tempo by interfere theirs. At this point, there are not much going on but street by street fighting, which make Precision strike pointless. But ideally, you would need both. And Ideally, NATO would not be under sieged the sheer volume of air power would disperse the Russian before they can mount any siege, I mean just look at how Russia run their battlefield, and if Ukraine have 1/4 of NATO Air Power, Things are going to be a lot different.

13.) I would say they already did delay this alot. The siege of Lyiv still has not start on Day 7, and most Military Pundit would give the entire Russian Operation 2 - 3 weeks top, after that the ability of Russia to keep the pressure without mobilising another 200,000 troop is in doubt. And they can't mobilise troop without public support. Bear in mind, they still have 4 to 5 key objective, Odessa (If they want to make Ukraine landlock) and Dnipro is largely untouched, Russia still have not control Kyiv and Mariupol, and Kharkiv is probably the next one to fall (Actually Kharkiv and Marupol is neck to neck) . Can they really do all these in the next 14 days? That is the question. And that is assume they don't want a piece of Western Action, which would be a mistake not to attack Lutsk or even Lviv, because that would become insurgent strong hold.

I don't know, if it was the Russian force on the first week, no, if they wised up? Maybe.

14.) Harassing fire is a type of delay action, it probably become pointless when they are already reaching their destination. I mean sure, you can still take pot shot here and there, but largely will not affect the main force.

 

[lastofthepatriots]

Russians already burning their casualties...