Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

[tower9]

Imagine Chinese opening a front and start a war to get hold of Taiwan.... Phir tou maza hi maza ... WW3 here we come.

That won’t happen. China is disciplined and calculating and focused on the end game. It has immense patience. Taking Taiwan now does not help and will only hurt China’s end game.

 

[jamahir]

Barack Obomba : "Russia’s attack is a violation of international law and the basic principles of human decency”. This is the same chap who attacked Libya 11 years ago with a coalition of 40+ state militaries and thousands of Al Qaeda and "Muslim" Brotherhood non-state actors and parallely attacked Syria the same year with thousands of the same non-state actors. American presidents are funny people.

 

[Beny Karachun]

how do you know they're succeeding? Because they verbally say so and release some grainy photos of destroyed vehicles that could very well be Ukrainian?

if they're succeeding how come they have released multiple fake photos already? why do they need to release fake photos if they have real photos? The answer is clearly that they don't have real photos.

if they're succeeding how come there's artillery falling on Kiev on merely day 3?

Some? Grainy?

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t24ydh

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1zl4i

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1zl42

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t204u8

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t26kdl

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1ukad

Tons of more footage

 

[Khanate]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1497297532153696257

Which paid in 750 men, Lebanese infrastructure, and Lebanese dignity.

Those men fought occupier and invaders!

 

[Beny Karachun]

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t226z2

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1xn88

(sorry, Javelin didn't see your little hat)

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t22try

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1ouys

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1s79g

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1xky6

Those are all Russian destroyed forces

 

[_Nabil_]

That won’t happen. China is disciplined and calculating and focused on the end game. It has immense patience. Taking Taiwan now does not help and will only hurt China’s end game.

There no way Taiwan will come back to China peacefully, even in 100 years and China being very prosperous.

The more time they stay away the more harder do bring them back.

Maybe after all, China don't really need Taiwan back

 

[Beny Karachun]

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1rj63

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1szsv

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1taxv

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t1sawp

RIP Russians lol

https://twitter.com/x/status/1497297532153696257

Those men fought occupier!

Difference is, Russia started the war on Ukraine, while Gaza started the war on Israel.

 

[gambit]

Only fools believe this claim, you don't believe it yourself, do you? Russia has enough fire power to wipe out villages, cities and towns, but this fight is more like a coup scale of fighting ,not a full scale war.

And believing the Russian narrative make you wise? Please...

Why the Russians Are Struggling | National Review

The last three days of combat should put a serious dent in the reputation of this new Russian army.

www.nationalreview.com

Now, I know that the National Review is a 'right wing rag', but there is no harm in reading other opinions, even if those opinions do not agree with yours. So let us see...

As the sun goes down in Kyiv, the city has not yet fallen to the Russians. This is unquestionably a defeat for Vladimir Putin.​

​

Unquestionably is a bit hyperbolic and premature.

It’s important to not get carried away here: The Kremlin is still favored to win this fight. But the last three days of combat should put a serious dent in the reputation of this new Russian army. We should, however, try to understand why the Russians are struggling. First, the Russian army’s recent structural reforms do not appear to have been sufficient to the task at hand. Second, at the tactical and operational level, the Russians are failing to get the most out of their manpower and materiel advantage.​

Now those are interesting points.

Russia currently fields an active-duty military of just under 1 million men. Of this force, approximately 260,000 are conscripts and 410,000 are contract soldiers (kontraktniki). The shortened 12-month conscript term provides at most five months of utilization time for these servicemen. Conscripts remain about a quarter of the force even in elite commando (spetsnaz) units.​

Yikes...!!!

Conscription term of at least 24 months is standard for armies that require the conscription model, and 24 months is already problematic in terms of unit capabilities, efficiency, training, retention, and overall institutional memory. So using the infantryman as example, in that 24 months, the first three months are for boot camp where the recruit learns to follow basic military instructions and discipline. Then comes Advanced Individual Training (AIT), or the Russian version of AIT, where the new infantryman learns the basic skills of soldiering and particular specialty, whatever that might be, and that time range 4 to 52 weeks, but we can use 8-12 weeks for our example. So now up 5-6 months passed into our 24 months term.

Now is the beginning of a series of issues/problems. The army needs people in all fields. That means some conscripts must be in specialties that runs up to those 52 weeks of training. In those specialties, now 14 to 16 months passed into that 24 months conscription term. That leave the receiving unit only 6 months to use the new soldier. Not only that, because the new soldier know that he is obligated to only two yrs and that he has only 12 or 6 months to go, all he has to do is the minimum job requirement, not expecting to be sent to war, so he could return to his old job, family, and girlfriend. Not much motivation, here.

Yes, the Russians have indeed made efforts to professionalize the officer and the NCO corps. Of course, non-commissioned officers (NCOs) have historically been a weakness of the Russian system.​

And of the Chinese system.

A high proportion of the soldiers wearing NCO stripes in the modern Russian army are little more than senior conscripts near the end of their term of service. In recent years, the Russians have established a dedicated NCO academy and cut the number of officers in the army in an effort to put more resources into improving the NCO corps, but the changes have not been enough to solve the army’s leadership deficit.​

In the US military, the lowest NCO is the E-4 grade, already 3 yrs of service and usually willing to reenlist, then many chose to make the military a career. This is the US military's greatest strength: the institutional memory of its NCO corps and is passed down to the next generation and so on.

...the Russians — possibly out of hubris — do not appear to have prepared the logistical train necessary to keep some of their units in action for an extended period of time. Multiple videos have emerged of Russian columns out of gas and stuck on Ukrainian roads.​

​

In combat, friction is what makes “even the simplest thing difficult.” So we shouldn’t be surprised that some Russian units are running low on supplies. What’s surprising is the scale of the Russians’ apparent logistical problems.​

​

There is a strange, counterintuitive law of modern war that says for men to win in a fight against steel and heavy weapons, you must close with the enemy. A corollary to this law is that, if both sides are equipped in a similar manner — in this case, mechanized infantry and tanks — the side that is willing to dismount, get out of its infantry fighting vehicles, and serve as a relatively exposed infantry screen to the armor, is going to have a tremendous tactical advantage.​

​

Mechanized infantry must be willing to, on a moments notice, receive the order to dismount, leave the perceived safety of an infantry-fighting vehicle, and serve as a screen for the armor.​

​

But by all accounts, the Russians appear to be “noticeably reluctant” to dismount and close with the Ukrainian defenders. We should be careful to not paint with too broad of a brush here. There are examples of Russian troops performing well in the fierce combat of the last three days. But there is clearly a pattern developing.​

​

When at least 1/4 of your unit are conscripts with their eyes on their exit time, of course, with their limited training and little self motivation, why should they leave the relative safety of their armored vehicles?

It maybe premature for Mark Antonio Wright, a former Marine, to put forth such a depressing analysis of the Russian army's performance in Ukraine, but the points he raised are legitimate. Could what Wright laid out be the underlying reasons on why Russia did not take as much of Ukraine as Putin wanted? Plus, not counting on the motivation and resilience of the Ukrainians?

For the PDF Chinese who are cheering for Russia. Despite the shiny toys and precise marching PLA troops done so impressively, the PLA's institutions are mostly modeled after the Soviet/Russian model. Once PLA troops land on Taiwan, they do not have a stable exit path the way the Russian army does on land. Better start making more of 'Wolf Wanker' movies.

 

[tower9]

There no way Taiwan will come back to China peacefully, even in 100 years and China being very prosperous.

The more time they stay away the more harder do bring them back.

Maybe after all, China don't really need Taiwan back

China doesn’t need Taiwan back but it wants Taiwan back because it considers it a part of the Chinese homeland. China’s end game is to become the most powerful and advanced country on earth, taking Taiwan right now would be a stupid distraction. That issue will easily be solved when China reaches its goal.

 

[Beny Karachun]

China doesn’t need Taiwan back but it wants Taiwan back because it considers it a part of the Chinese homeland. China’s end game is to become the most powerful and advanced country on earth, taking Taiwan right now would be a stupid distraction. That issue will easily be solved when China reaches its goal.

BS, China wants Taiwan because it wants the semi-conductor business.

 

[tower9]

BS, China wants Taiwan because it wants the semi-conductor business.

Then why doesn’t it attack already?

 

[thetutle]

Image caption,
A long queue lies behind - and a long and uncertain wait to cross into the unknown
Tens of thousands of Ukrainians are pouring towards neighbouring countries to flee the Russian invasion.

In the middle of the picture, a man, perhaps not of Ukrainian heritage, white shoes, lived in Ukraine, and now fist in line to leave, with the women and children. Actually, in front of the women and children. hmmmm

 

[khansaheeb]

That won’t happen. China is disciplined and calculating and focused on the end game. It has immense patience. Taking Taiwan now does not help and will only hurt China’s end game.

If China heads for Taiwan then Israel is finished, once and for all. The Western alliances don't have the capacity to fight on 3 major fronts.

 

[Khanate]

More racism... (White supremacy)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1497535170450231301

Difference is, Russia started the war on Ukraine, while Gaza started the war on Israel.

Difference is, Sheba farm is not Israeli territory.

 

[leviathan]

BS, China wants Taiwan because it wants the semi-conductor business.

lol waht a fool. Taiwan got nothing. the semi-conductor technology belong to WEST!