Elvin
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Well, I wouldn't like the sound of what you just said if I am a Russian soldier.What the Russians would do is send the BTG's along the main road. Probably won't work out well for them, but the cost to Finland would be massive.
First of all, UN ALWAYS have the power to act, the problem is not within UN power, the problem is who or what used that power, because if that is align with Russian Interest, US and the West usually veto it, and if that is align with US/Western Interest, Russia and China usually veto it. In this case, no one veto it, Not US, France, UK, Russia or China. Invasion Iraq have UN backing you can debate whether or not UN resolution are extended all the way into Military action if Saddam did not comply, but as I said many time before, that does not mean the resolution did not give US the power to go into Iraq. Israeli case, well, Israeli did gave back Sinai to Egypt in the 80s now does it? As I said, it's not about the Power UN have but who utilize that power, in Israeli case, UN will never vote on Israeli issue because it mostly will automatically be blocked by US, UK or France.Since when did UN dictate how a super power acts? Does Israel listen to the UN? Did US listen to UN when it invaded Iraq?
They do have the right, for the reasons I just mentioned. Russians being massacred on their border. They did go to UNSC but were politically vetoed by the US, and since UN has no teeth or backbone then law MUST be taken into one's own hands.
It depends.Russia will start another war even if Pussolini will have to push conscripts with sticks, and stones on an enemy. This is what the West doesn't understand. The military defeat now will not deter him just as sanctions before that. Life of their soldiers means nothing to Russian regime, and Russians starving means nothing too. The bigger the enemy they make people to imagine, the more fun for them "fighting & prevailing."
Really, you Westerners need to start thinking of Putin as nothing different from Kim, or the Burmese junta. For North Koreans, Kim is said to have won 10 world wars by now, and Korean People Army is now "prevailing" over capitalists on the Moon (really, not a joke.)
You can throw out any logic into the garbage bin if you keep trying to find a real military strategy there, as there is none. Going with 160k troops force against 200k in entrenched, and fortified positions in a country with open fields has no strategy to it. But there is a cold psychopatic logic to selling hopes of grabbing at least a dime of Ukrainian territory, population, and industry to insinuate "glorious victory," give few factories, and serfs as handouts to his oligarchs, and scare to shit his own police/spies/military.
If he loses in Ukraine, I would say he will go for something even more brazen in 1.5-2 years to quickly patch up his regime.
Now he will look for somebody even more "Kuwaitable." I will not be surprised if he will attack Belarus, or even North Korea if it comes to that, but more likely he will pick his own satrapy for an easy victory.
In the later case, he can go Kuwaiting somebody in the Central Asia, where no country has a real functioning military (this is why I tell that Talibans can walk over here if they really wanted.)
If the coming crisis will be really severe, he can stage a direct provocation against a NATO country. The longer Putin will sit on the throne, the bigger he will need the crisis to be to save his regime, as everyone will intensify their attempts to grab power from him as they see him ageing, and frailing.
I'm almost done with Kazakhstan. What is left is to sell 2 company cars, 1 excavator, close the company, and I am done, phew.