EasyNow
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This events shows that Putin thinks at a tactical level - and it shows the flaws in the strategic thinking of the Russian 'system' at a whole.
Sweden and Finland WILL join Nato now - there is no stopping that now.
Regardless of what 'tactical' wins Putin may gain - he and Russia have both lost strategically - Russia will be neutered after this event and will not be allowed to be able to challenge like this again.
Europe is united and defence spending is going up massively in Europe - this means that the Americans have to spend less on "defending Europe" and the Europeans will aggressively look to build up that capability themselves.
This leaves the Americans "more free" to tackle China at a military level - and I don't think that change has been lost on the Chinese at all.
The China - Russia axis has become a-lot weaker from this war. So - were the Russians goaded into this war with larger strategic objectives by the Americans ?
I think you're right in your assessment.
NATO goaded Russia into suicide here - they've managed to engage Russia, without world war, before it gets too strong.