Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

[Novus ordu seclorum]

It can be used as a bargaining option by Russia but the trap there is that if Russia uses tactical nukes in some area then from Ukraine airspace Usa can launch cruise missiles from Poland, Mediterranean or from anywhere else and hit all Russian targets in the Smo zone. That will cause massive loss in Russian equipment and personnel. They have threatened to make a large scale conventional attack to Russian military assets in Smo zone if Russia uses nukes in beginning stages of the conflict. I dont know if Russia prepared for protection from a large scale usa cruise missile attack in the Smo zone where a large portion of their army is placed now.

Usa cruise missile attack after Russian tactical nukes will start a war between nato-Russia but if zelensky says that they did the attack themselves not anyone else did the large scale cruise missile attack they will ofcourse be thrown under the bus and get nuked(high yield not tactical) by Russia fully possibly but other countries involved in the cruise missile attack will be out of direct conflict with Russia. In that case Russian military will be damaged and weakened by this sudden attack with the expense that Ukraine will be totally destroyed by nukes. In that case trump can make a deal with a weakened Russia to save them from that position and in return Russia would stay silent in future Usa operations in the mideast.

That wont happen if Russia prepared fortified positions in Smo zone and brought enough anti cruise missile sam systems to protect from a large scale Usa attack in Smo zone. Also early warning systems against cruise missiles need to be placed like awacs(costly and Ukraine did shoot some of them down) or helicopter installed early warning radars. In that case even if large scale cruise missile attack happens the Russian military assets would be somewhat secure. Ofcourse after usage of tactical nukes there would be negative economic issues for Russia and it would result in tactical nuclear usage in other areas like maybe israel can resort to tacticals after that. So this is an unwanted situation. Defensive deescalation moves by allies like Iran and China to support Russia as well as to restrain Russian response to Ukraine would be a better option.

Trump will back down. He has said Biden has brought us closest to World War 3 than anyone in history and he is right. He said it means the end of the world because of nuclear weapons. That is his only redeeming quality, he is not trying to bring the world to an end. He has business instinct and is open to a deal.

 

[Novus ordu seclorum]

Trump is scary at the same time, he has surrounded himself by messianic religious cult like extremists. There is nothing more extremist than Christian Zionist Evangelicals and Greater Israel Zionists. Their language is very imperialistic against Arabs and Iranians. They have Arab states as vassals, and will exert Israeli domination. Genociding Arabs is much easier and safer than fighting Russia.

 

[RoadAmerica]

Trump is scary at the same time, he has surrounded himself by messianic religious cult like extremists. There is nothing more extremist than Christian Zionist Evangelicals and Greater Israel Zionists. Their language is very imperialistic against Arabs and Iranians. They have Arab states as vassals, and will exert Israeli domination. Genociding Arabs is much easier and safer than fighting Russia.

Cry harder

I think Trump will end the war. This sums it up below.
@IlyaTERA 1 month ago
And for 2 years the media has been saying that Ukraine is winning

@haveaniceday6983 2 weeks ago
Have they lost

@IlyaTERA 2 weeks ago
Yes, they have lost an area of land the size of Portugal that they will NEVER get back. And that land was Russia's goal since the beginning, anyone that thinks Russia's goal was to "conquer" all of Ukraine is clueless.

lol way to move those goal posts waaaay back. So what was the goal of the 3 day special military operation then?

In September, Russian President Vladimir Putin issued a warning to Western nations, stating that Russia might use nuclear weapons if its territory faced direct attacks. This declaration came amidst growing tensions over the Ukraine conflict and concerns about potential escalation involving advanced weaponry provided by Western allies to Ukraine. Putin emphasized that Russia’s nuclear doctrine allows for such measures under extreme circumstances, signaling Moscow’s resolve to deter threats to its sovereignty and territorial integrity.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1858266531169542550

Bring it
All talk for 3 years, nuke this nuke that.

He is willing to use tactical nuclear weapons against a non nuclear state if it is backed by a nuclear state. Specific conditions.

Been waiting 3 years

 

[vizier]

Trump will back down. He has said Biden has brought us closest to World War 3 than anyone in history and he is right. He said it means the end of the world because of nuclear weapons. That is his only redeeming quality, he is not trying to bring the world to an end. He has business instinct and is open to a deal.

In that scenario to work all would happen in biden era to make Russia use tactical nukes and Usa strike Russian smo positions sacrificing Ukraine in 2 months time and after trump starts office then he will try to make a deal with a "weakened" Russia. If Russia restrains and uses only conventional means and dont resort to tactical nukes in two months time despite any provacation then this plan will not work. trump will have to stop the conflict anyways and can't get any concessions from Russia who is in stronger adventageous position right now.

 

[Akbar26]

Russian President Vladimir Putin has issued a stark warning to the West, stating that Russia may resort to using nuclear weapons if it comes under attack, particularly if conventional strikes are supported by a nuclear power. This statement comes amid ongoing tensions surrounding the conflict in Ukraine and reflects significant changes to Russia's nuclear doctrine.

Key Points:​

• Nuclear Doctrine Changes: Putin announced that amendments to Russia's nuclear doctrine are being formalized, which will clarify the conditions under which nuclear weapons could be deployed. He indicated that any conventional attack on Russia, especially if backed by a nuclear state, would be considered a "joint attack" and could trigger a nuclear response.
• Context of the Warning: The warning appears to be a direct response to discussions in the West about providing Ukraine with long-range missiles capable of striking deep into Russian territory. Putin emphasized that such actions would escalate the conflict and could lead to severe consequences.
• Conditions for Nuclear Use: According to Putin, Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons if it detects a significant missile or aerial assault on its territory. He stated that any aggression against Russia or its ally Belarus, including conventional attacks that threaten sovereignty, could prompt a nuclear response.
• Geopolitical Implications: This rhetoric underscores the heightened tensions between Russia and NATO countries, particularly as military support for Ukraine increases. The potential for nuclear engagement raises alarms about the risks of escalation into broader conflict.
• International Reactions: Ukrainian officials and Western leaders have characterized Putin's threats as attempts at intimidation. They argue that such rhetoric should not deter continued support for Ukraine against Russian aggression.

This situation illustrates the precarious nature of international relations in the context of the ongoing war in Ukraine, with significant implications for global security and stability.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1858759613891367160