Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

[Soldier35]

Footage of the strike of the Russian kamikaze drone "Lancet-51" on the Ukrainian light MLRS Sivalka VM-5 in the Kursk region of Russia has been published. The Sivalka VM-5 MLRS is designed to support infantry during offensive operations and is equipped with 12-16 80 mm unguided S-8 aircraft rockets. Initially, the Sivalka VM-5 MLRS was created for special forces of the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine. The firing range of the Sivalka VM-5 MLRS is up to 5 km, it can be installed on any chassis, but is usually placed on pickups.
As a result of the strike by the Lancet drone, the Sivalka VM-5 MLRS was damaged, and personnel were also injured.

 

[Novus ordu seclorum]

I think Trump will end the war. This sums it up below.
@IlyaTERA 1 month ago
And for 2 years the media has been saying that Ukraine is winning

@haveaniceday6983 2 weeks ago
Have they lost

@IlyaTERA 2 weeks ago
Yes, they have lost an area of land the size of Portugal that they will NEVER get back. And that land was Russia's goal since the beginning, anyone that thinks Russia's goal was to "conquer" all of Ukraine is clueless.

 

[vizier]

Lately democrat admin allowed Ukraine to hit Russia with Usa equipment like atacms. They already use drones and similar systems of their own it wont make much difference in Kursk for example.

However if Usa-democrats give longer range lrasm cruise missiles to Ukraine and tell them to hit Moscow then it would be a very big escalation. As mentioned previously in the thread if Russia uses tactical nukes it will open a new chapter in other conflicts worldwide where tactical nukes will be available for them as well. Also Russian army mostly concentrated in SMO zone will be hit from Ukraine airspace by any third party like a massive cruise missile attack like for example missiles launched from sea or a neighbor country and Ukraine can claim responsibility for the attack. In return a large scale Russian nuclear attack can happen to Ukraine to stop the cruise missile attacks but as a result Russian army will be highly damaged from the attack.

Russian allies who have sufficient air defense like Iran and China can install short range air defense line south of Moscow. That would protect Moscow and Saint Petersburg. In return Russia can agree on lowering any conventional reaction against Kiev, Lviv regions outside of Smo zone and use large scale bombs like fabs-odabs defensively like in Kursk for example and use them much less in Smo zone. These kinds of moves can deescalate the conflict for both sides. The point should be the move should also deescalate Russian moves against Ukraine at the same time increasing protection of Russia against these types of attacks.

Also if they put Russia in a difficult situation when trump comes next month or so then trump can make a deal with Russia against Iran or even China maybe. Defensive moves like above will block any trump deal with Russia to stop conflict with Ukraine and in return get concessions from Russia against Iran.

Otherwise since usa is powerful you can trust democrats and believe in whatever they say for a month or two and hope trump will not make a deal to end conflict with Russia and in return get concessions against Iran or China. That is foolish and lack of thinking in my opinion.

 

[Akbar26]

The escalation of the Ukraine war risks bringing the world closer to a nuclear confrontation. Reports indicate that the U.S., France, and the U.K. have authorized Ukraine to strike deep into Russian territory using advanced missiles like SCALP/Storm Shadow. Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned that such attacks could trigger a nuclear response and labeled these supplier nations as direct participants in the conflict. This heightened rhetoric and military support are fueling fears of significant escalation amidst ongoing geopolitical instability.

 

[Novus ordu seclorum]

Lately democrat admin allowed Ukraine to hit Russia with Usa equipment like atacms. They already use drones and similar systems of their own it wont make much difference in Kursk for example.

However if Usa-democrats give longer range lrasm cruise missiles to Ukraine and tell them to hit Moscow then it would be a very big escalation. As mentioned previously in the thread if Russia uses tactical nukes it will open a new chapter in other conflicts worldwide where tactical nukes will be available for them as well. Also Russian army mostly concentrated in SMO zone will be hit from Ukraine airspace by any third party like a massive cruise missile attack like for example missiles launched from sea or a neighbor country and Ukraine can claim responsibility for the attack. In return a large scale Russian nuclear attack can happen to Ukraine to stop the cruise missile attacks but as a result Russian army will be highly damaged from the attack.

Russian allies who have sufficient air defense like Iran and China can install short range air defense line south of Moscow. That would protect Moscow and Saint Petersburg. In return Russia can agree on lowering any conventional reaction against Kiev, Lviv regions outside of Smo zone and use large scale bombs like fabs-odabs defensively like in Kursk for example and use them much less in Smo zone. These kinds of moves can deescalate the conflict for both sides. The point should be the move should also deescalate Russian moves against Ukraine at the same time increasing protection of Russia against these types of attacks.

Also if they put Russia in a difficult situation when trump comes next month or so then trump can make a deal with Russia against Iran or even China maybe. Defensive moves like above will block any trump deal with Russia to stop conflict with Ukraine and in return get concessions from Russia against Iran.

Otherwise since usa is powerful you can trust democrats and believe in whatever they say for a month or two and hope trump will not make a deal to end conflict with Russia and in return get concessions against Iran or China. That is foolish and lack of thinking in my opinion.

I don't think Russia will make a deal with USA against Iran because Russia and Iran are allied in Syria.

 

[Akbar26]

In September, Russian President Vladimir Putin issued a warning to Western nations, stating that Russia might use nuclear weapons if its territory faced direct attacks. This declaration came amidst growing tensions over the Ukraine conflict and concerns about potential escalation involving advanced weaponry provided by Western allies to Ukraine. Putin emphasized that Russia’s nuclear doctrine allows for such measures under extreme circumstances, signaling Moscow’s resolve to deter threats to its sovereignty and territorial integrity.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1858266531169542550

 

[vizier]

I don't think Russia will make a deal with USA against Iran because Russia and Iran are allied in Syria.

Currently the probability is low. But that doesnt mean that Usa wont try this under trump if democrats make the situation very difficult for Russia. Creating the problem with their left hand democrats and offering the solution with their right hand trump at the same time. That would relieve israels situation as well making Russia silent as Usa starts action on Iraq,Syria,Labennon and Yemen and maybe lower probability but directly against Iran. So precautions should be taken for all probabilities and thought out beforehand.

Every deescalation measure like supplying shorad defence systems should also include restraint from Russian side as well like not striking west of Dnieper and strike only Odessa proportionally if Crimea is attacked. Also like reduced usage of fab-odab bombs on troops in Smo region and using these high power bombs defensively like area denial if defensive lines are breached or striking supply roads or similar. These kinds of moves would deescalate both sides of the conflict.

 

[HaiderAfan]

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyhas issued a strong warning to Russia, stating that after receiving authorization from the United States to strike inside Russian territory, "missiles will speak for themselves." This statement underscores Ukraine's readiness to escalate its military efforts against Russia in response to ongoing hostilities.

Key Points:​

• U.S. Authorization: Zelensky's remarks indicate that Ukraine has gained support from the U.S. for conducting strikes deeper into Russian territory, which could significantly alter the dynamics of the conflict.
• Military Capabilities: The mention of missiles suggests that Ukraine may utilize advanced weaponry, potentially including long-range systems provided by Western allies, to target Russian military installations and infrastructure.
• Escalation Risks: This development raises concerns about further escalation in the conflict, as Russia has previously warned that attacks on its territory could provoke severe retaliation, including potential nuclear responses.
• Strategic Messaging: Zelensky's statement serves not only as a warning to Russia but also as a message to domestic and international audiences about Ukraine's determination to defend its sovereignty and respond decisively to aggression.

As the situation continues to evolve, the implications of Ukraine's potential strikes on Russian soil will be closely monitored by global leaders and military analysts.

 

[HaiderAfan]

It seems President Biden has approved Ukraine's use of U.S. long-range missiles to strike targets within Russia.
After enduring 33 months of relentless Russian aggression on Ukrainian soil, Ukraine is now taking the fight to defend itself more assertively.
Perhaps Republicans who are quick to shout WWIII and criticize Ukraine for striking inside Russia should reserve some of that outrage for Putin, who has been bombing Ukraine with impunity for nearly three years.
In the end we all want peace, but Sovereign nations can't be overrun by madmen.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1858221662912774513

 

[Novus ordu seclorum]

Currently the probability is low. But that doesnt mean that Usa wont try this under trump if democrats make the situation very difficult for Russia. Creating the problem with their left hand democrats and offering the solution with their right hand trump at the same time. That would relieve israels situation as well making Russia silent as Usa starts action on Iraq,Syria,Labennon and Yemen and maybe lower probability but directly against Iran. So precautions should be taken for all probabilities and thought out beforehand.

Every deescalation measure like supplying shorad defence systems should also include restraint from Russian side as well like not striking west of Dnieper and strike only Odessa proportionally if Crimea is attacked. Also like reduced usage of fab-odab bombs on troops in Smo region and using these high power bombs defensively like area denial if defensive lines are breached or striking supply roads or similar. These kinds of moves would deescalate both sides of the conflict.

Putin has given nuclear threat under specific conditions. I think he is serious. That would be his bargaining chip with Trump, not Iran which supplied drones to Russia.

 

[Novus ordu seclorum]

He is willing to use tactical nuclear weapons against a non nuclear state if it is backed by a nuclear state. Specific conditions.

 

[AbdulQadir7]

This morning began with one of the largest Russian strikes on Ukraine. 210 missiles and drones, including aeroballistic and hypersonic missiles, as well as dozens of Shahed drones, were launched. All of them targeted civilian infrastructure—critical facilities like power plants and transformers.
Putin drowns the world in his rhetoric, but his only true message is written in destruction and death, delivered through every missile and drone Russia sends.This evening, a Russian missile hit a nine-story residential building.
There are confirmed fatalities, including children. Many people are wounded. Emergency services are on the scene, doing everything to save lives. But what is still missing—and desperately needed—is the principled reaction of the world to this evil.
These days, leaders of the G20 are meeting. The entire world needs them not to turn a blind eye to Russia’s continued terror. Only when the world reacts decisively can the situation change. Russia has involved North Korea in its war—and the reaction has been weak. Russia has continued its terror for nearly 1,000 days—and the world’s decisions are still delayed.
Two years ago, at the G20 Summit, Ukraine presented the Peace Formula—a clear path to ending this war. Yet it has not been implemented. The time to act is now. The G20 cannot afford weakness or indifference. It must rise decisively to this challenge.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1858247147537199168

 

[vizier]

Putin has given nuclear threat under specific conditions. I think he is serious. That would be his bargaining chip with Trump, not Iran which supplied drones to Russia.

It can be used as a bargaining option by Russia but the trap there is that if Russia uses tactical nukes in some area then from Ukraine airspace Usa can launch cruise missiles from Poland, Mediterranean or from anywhere else and hit all Russian targets in the Smo zone. That will cause massive loss in Russian equipment and personnel. They have threatened to make a large scale conventional attack to Russian military assets in Smo zone if Russia uses nukes in beginning stages of the conflict. I dont know if Russia prepared for protection from a large scale usa cruise missile attack in the Smo zone where a large portion of their army is placed now.

Usa cruise missile attack after Russian tactical nukes will start a war between nato-Russia but if zelensky says that they did the attack themselves not anyone else did the large scale cruise missile attack they will ofcourse be thrown under the bus and get nuked(high yield not tactical) by Russia fully possibly but other countries involved in the cruise missile attack will be out of direct conflict with Russia. In that case Russian military will be damaged and weakened by this sudden attack with the expense that Ukraine will be totally destroyed by nukes. In that case trump can make a deal with a weakened Russia to save them from that position and in return Russia would stay silent in future Usa operations in the mideast.

That wont happen if Russia prepared fortified positions in Smo zone and brought enough anti cruise missile sam systems to protect from a large scale Usa attack in Smo zone. Also early warning systems against cruise missiles need to be placed like awacs(costly and Ukraine did shoot some of them down) or helicopter installed early warning radars. In that case even if large scale cruise missile attack happens the Russian military assets would be somewhat secure. Ofcourse after usage of tactical nukes there would be negative economic issues for Russia and it would result in tactical nuclear usage in other areas like maybe israel can resort to tacticals after that. So this is an unwanted situation. Defensive deescalation moves by allies like Iran and China to support Russia as well as to restrain Russian response to Ukraine would be a better option.

 

[Soldier35]

An episode of combat involving a Ukrainian M2A2 Bradley ODS-SA IFV, made in the United States. The video was filmed in the Pokrovsk direction, north of the village of Novogrodovka. The M2A2 Bradley IFV runs over a mine and begins firing circularly from a 25-mm M242 Bushmaster cannon. After which, having engaged reverse, the IFV runs over a mine again, after which part of the crew leaves the combat vehicle.

 

[Soldier35]

Footage of a Russian kamikaze drone "Lancet-51" striking a Ukrainian MLRS M142 HIMARS, made in the USA. The video was filmed near the settlement of Novosoloshino in the Zaporizhia region. The column, accompanied by two vehicles, was moving in an unknown direction, several drones were tracking the column. Despite the fact that the drone "Lancet" was aimed at the head of the HIMARS MLRS, the missiles did not detonate, since the MLRS was empty. The original video is cut off, the extent of the damage is unclear, in any case, the MLRS needs to be sent for repairs.