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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

Russia can’t sustain this war at its current armor loss rates. Another year, maybe two.

Total tank losses alone will reach 3,000 by the end of the year.

IF you have gazillion of disposable units to preplace in anticipation of enemy breakthrough, a stall for time defence without armour is possible. Offence — no.
 
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I thought russia as close to 8000 artillery and 18,000 heavy mortar upto 85mm. ?? Are we saying all has been decimated?

They need that for other parts of the front too.

They were over-reliant on division artillery from the start, and their resource of SPGs/SPHs is what took most of the beating early on.

They hastily switched to regimental artillery, but their regiment level artillery quickly ran out of ammo (122mm.)

Russia has enormous geological deposits of D-30 and gvozdika gun-howitzers, but no ammo for them.

What they left is corps towed guns, and howitzers. Giatsint is 40kms capable, but its ammo is not compatible with Msta, the more common corps howitzer. Msta is only 30kms with rocket assisted projectiles. Soviet corps artillery was shooting nuclear munitions, and that's why there is a lot of misunderstanding why a higher level artillery units has guns inferior to lower levels. It was not that much a manoeuvre part of a unit.

Now, they brought towed guns/howitzers down, but that's not a doctrine revision you want to do in a wartime.

First, corps level units were moved down in the hierarchy. That lead to artillery officers from dedicated artillery units, with poor idea of manoeuvre warfare being thrown to the frontline.

Second, regiment artillery been given corps guns. That lead to lower level unit artillerymen having to fight with unfamiliar weapons.

And mortars, yes, Russians have tons of them, and ammo in abundance. Mortars are good defensive weapons given their huge numbers, and ammo abundance.

Ukrainian counterbattery somewhat manages to keep Russian tube artillery silent, but mortars are harder, because there is simply so much of them, and them firing from hidden positions, from a closer range.
 
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A new mobile ground-based air defense system centered around AIM-132 ASRAAM (Advanced Short-Range Air-to-Air Missile) has emerged in Ukraine. It takes the AIM-132, a hugely capable weapon, and adapts it for surface launch.

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Source:
 
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https:// t. me/sitreports/12718
🖕🖕🖕🚽🚽🚽💩💩💩🤮🤮🤮😡😡😡

🇺🇸🐮💩 Analysis of the Situation in Ukraine by US Milbloggers of "Institute for the Study of War" (ISW):

🤥🇺🇸🇩🇪🇺🇦: ISW deceives. From the military point of view, one cannot speak of a counteroffensive (we remember, it should be large-scale) if after 2 months the enemy has gained more territory than the counterattacker. The few territorial gains are marginal and were paid for with a lot of blood and demilitarization of equipment. In fact, the Ukrop is much weaker now than before its offensive attempts. ISW is completely incapable of making a realistic assessment and providing honest information. But that does not seem to be the task of the troll brigade. In any case, the Western press does not let itself be fooled by the US trolls anymore. Almost every scribbler is now more expert than the pompous losers of the US troll entity. ISW 👉🚽

⚠ Warning! ISW is a troll entity linked to the US regime. The henchmen spread propaganda and disinformation instead of providing a picture of the situation on the front, which is evident from the mostly fruitless frontline information.

💬 The Text is quoted verbatim, including the often horrifying misspelling of localities. The respective source is linked in the footer.

🔻 August 3 Key Takeaways 👻

◾ Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on August 3 and reportedly advanced in some areas.

◾ Russian forces conducted a series of drone strikes on August 3, primarily targeting Kyiv.


◾ The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) took down Russian Airborne Forces (VDV) Commander Colonel General Mikhail Teplinsky’s August 2 speech, possibly due to his disclosure of Russian casualties in Ukraine.

◾ Russian prosecutors reportedly classified the investigation into ardent Russian ultranationalist and former FSB officer Igor Girkin on August 2.

◾ Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, and in the western Donetsk-eastern Zaporizhia Oblast border area on August 3 and made advances in certain areas.

◾ Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on August 3 and reportedly advanced near Kreminna and Vuhledar.

◾ The Kremlin is attempting to establish favorable conditions to attract additional volunteers to serve in the Russian Armed Forces.

◾ A report from Yale University’s Conflict Observatory supports ISW’s longstanding assessments that Russian and occupation authorities are using forced passportization measures to consolidate social and legal control over occupied areas of Ukraine.

****/sitreports /@TheStudyofWar/👻/
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Something got through in the attack. Neither is this version of attacking multiple vessels is true, nor the Russian version of they repelled it by using their ships as explosive absorbers.


Blasts in Crimea, officials report Ukraine drone attack​

Reuters
August 4, 20239:28 PM EDTUpdated an hour ago




[1/2]A view through a train window shows the section of a road split and sloping to one side following an alleged attack on the Crimea Bridge, that connects the Russian mainland with the Crimean peninsula across the Kerch Strait, in this still image from video taken July 17, 2023.... Read more


Aug 5 (Reuters) - Explosions were heard near the bridge linking Russian-occupied Crimea to the Russian mainland early on Saturday, Russian-appointed officials reported, saying the blasts were linked to a Ukrainian drone attack on a Russian tanker.

Russia's sea rescue service in the Black Sea port of Novorossiysk said tugboats were dispatched to help the tanker, which was damaged and unable to operate on its own.

"We can say that the tanker is damaged in the (Kerch) strait, only on the south side," Russia's Tass news agency quoted the rescue centre as saying.


"They will deal with it now on whether to take it under tow or not. It is standing at anchor for the moment. The machine room suffered some damage, not too badly."

Overnight a Russian warship was seriously damaged in a Ukrainian naval drone attack on Russia's navy base at Novorossiysk, the first time the Ukrainian navy has projected its power so far from the country's shores.

Russia-installed officials in the Crimea peninsula, annexed by Moscow in 2014, said the latest explosions had nothing to do with the bridge, which has come under serious attack twice in the 17-month-old Russian invasion of Ukraine.


Ukraine, which rarely comments on attacks on Russian targets, made no official statement on the incident.

Traffic was halted for a time on the bridge, the third such stop in the past 24 hours, but later resumed.

"Once again, there was no direct attack on the Crimea bridge and there was no explosion in the immediate vicinity," Oleg Kryuchkov, an adviser to the Russia-installed governor of Crimea, was quoted as saying by Russian news agencies.


Ukraine's UNIAN news agency said three explosions had been reported in the area.

Ukrainian news reports and pro-Russian officials in occupied parts of Ukraine said Ukrainian drones had attacked a tanker vessel in the Kerch Strait operating under a Russian flag and identified as the SIG.

One Russian-appointed official in Ukraine's southeastern region of Zaporizhzhia, Vladimir Rogov, posted an audio clip in which the vessel had requested a tow from tugboats.


Rogov, writing on the Telegram messaging app, posted pictures of what he described as shattered fixtures and equipment inside the vessels.

The ship, he said, had been supplying oil to Russian troops in Syria.

The bridge, completed by Russia in 2018, four years after Moscow annexed the peninsula from Ukraine, has been subjected to two major attacks in the 17-month-old Russian invasion of Ukraine, with the most recent one occurring last month.

Ukraine has claimed responsibility for the attacks only indirectly.
 
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Cut off from Swift but seems like Russia is not getting money for grain payments


Russia says JPMorgan stops processing its grain payments​

By Michelle Nichols
August 4, 20235:35 PM EDTUpdated 5 hours ago





Turkish-flagged bulker TQ Samsun is pictured in the Black Sea off Istanbul

Turkish-flagged bulker TQ Samsun, carrying grain under UN's Black Sea Grain Initiative, is pictured in the Black Sea, north of Bosphorus Strait, off Istanbul, Turkey July 17, 2023. REUTERS/Yoruk Isik/File Photo
UNITED NATIONS, Aug 4 (Reuters) - U.S. bank JPMorgan (JPM.N) this week stopped processing payments for the Russian Agricultural Bank, Russia said on Friday, as it demanded action, not promises, from Washington to help Russian grain and fertilizer reach global markets.
JPMorgan had handled some Russian grain export payments for the past few months with reassurances from Washington. However, that cooperation stopped this week, Russia's Foreign Ministry said on Friday.

"The direct channel between the Russian Agricultural Bank and JPMorgan ... was closed on Aug. 2," foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova was quoted by Russian media as saying.
The United Nations, the U.S. State Department and JPMorgan declined to comment.
Moscow had allowed the safe export of Ukraine grain via the Black Sea for the past year under a deal it quit on July 17. Russia has a list of demands it wants met before it will return to the arrangement.

Under a related pact - also brokered in July 2022 - U.N. officials agreed to help Russian food and fertilizer exports reach global markets.
"As soon as this is done, this deal will immediately be renewed," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters on Friday.
A key Russian demand has been the reconnection of the Russian Agricultural Bank to the SWIFT international payments system. It was cut off by the European Union in June 2022 following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Zakharov, the foreign ministry spokeswoman, said the West and the United Nations "tried to present (payment processing by JPMorgan) as a working alternative to SWIFT."
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken told reporters on Thursday that Washington would continue to do "whatever is necessary" to ensure Russia can freely export food if the Black Sea grain deal was revived.
While Russian exports of food and fertilizer are not subject to Western sanctions imposed after Russia's February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Moscow has said restrictions on payments, logistics and insurance have hindered shipments.

US SAYS RUSSIA HAS STRONG EXPORTS​

Top U.S. State Department sanctions official James O'Brien said on Friday that Russia needed to be clear about what it was asking for and what constituted success, suggesting it should be how much food and fertilizer reaches the world.
"It has put forth a number of different demands and all of them having to do with various Russian institutions not getting services from the private sector," he told reporters. "We have made clear that we're prepared to help on any of these matters."
"Russia is exporting record amounts of grain," O'Brien said. "So if the measurement is food for the globe ... Russia's complaints amount to minor allegations about a system that is working very well."
Russia may export at least 55 million tonnes of grain in the 2023/24 marketing season, slightly less than the estimated record-breaking 57 million tonnes in the 2022/23 season, Russia's Grain Union said last month.
Ukrainian exports for the 2022/23 season were almost 49 million tonnes, according to Agriculture Ministry data. Nearly 33 million tonnes of that was shipped under the Black Sea deal.
Western countries have accused Russia of using food as a weapon of war by quitting the Black Sea deal, which had helped bring down global food prices, and then carrying out repeated air strikes on Ukrainian ports and grain stores.
Russia has complained that not enough Ukrainian grain was getting to the poorest countries. The United Nations has argued that the deal helped everyone because it brought prices down 23% from a record high in the weeks following Russia's invasion.
Reporting by Michelle Nichols, Daphne Psaledakis, Simon Lewis; Editing by Jane Merriman and Cynthia Osterman
 
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When an innocent man is thrown into prison for another 19 years , what does it all worth for Russians :

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Smart move by Zelinskki



Ukraine Starts New Diplomatic Push to Weaken Russia​

Some 40 countries that have largely remained on the sidelines of the war were invited to talks this weekend in Saudi Arabia, as Ukraine redoubles international efforts to isolate Moscow.

.Credit...Saudi Press Agency, via Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

A man in earth-toned clothing sitting in a chair with a Ukrainian flag behind him, alongside a man in white with the Saudi flag behind him.


By Marc Santora, Vivian Nereim and David Pierson
Marc Santora reported from Kyiv, Ukraine, Vivian Nereim from Dubai, United Arab Emirates, and David Pierson from Hong Kong.
Aug. 5, 2023, 12:01 a.m. ET

Ukraine will make a renewed push this weekend at a gathering in Saudi Arabia to win the support of dozens of countries that have remained on the sidelines of the war — the start of a broader campaign in the months ahead to build the diplomatic muscle to isolate and weaken Russia.

Ukraine and Saudi Arabia invited diplomats from some 40 governments to talks in the Red Sea port of Jeddah. Notable among them were China, India, Brazil, South Africa and some of the oil-rich Gulf nations that have tried to maintain good relations with both Ukraine and Russia throughout the war, which began in February 2022.

Many of the invited governments reject the very concept of choosing sides, framing the war as a contest between global powers that they want no part in, and even with the event fast approaching, it was unclear how many would attend.

The meeting is the starting point of what is expected to be a major Ukrainian diplomatic push in the coming months to try to undercut Russia. It began on Wednesday, when President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine recalled his ambassadors for an emergency strategy session on how to get the country’s message out to the world.

Two Ukrainian soldiers in combat fatigues stand next to artillery weaponry.



The annual United Nations General Assembly session in September will offer another opportunity for Ukraine to make its case. And the country is also planning a summit later in the fall to shore up backing for its 10-point peace formula in the hopes that it will form the backbone of any future settlement.

Ukrainian and Western officials have tried to temper expectations for the talks this weekend, stressing that they are not likely to bring the war any closer to an end and that many of the nations that were invited appear unlikely to shift their stances.

The United States, which is expected to attend, is encouraged that neutral nations like Indonesia, India, Mexico, Chile and South Africa are expected to be in Jeddah. All are eager to see the war end, given the economic hardships it has caused, but that may not be enough to get them to turn against Moscow.

For Ukraine, the gathering comes at a pivotal moment.

As furious battles rage across the front lines of Europe’s bloodiest war in decades, Mr. Zelensky told his diplomats on Wednesday that things would grow even more difficult as pressure was likely to build in the coming months to find a negotiated path to peace.
 
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Animated Analysis Of Ukraine's Summer Offensive So Far | All Silent On The Southern Front

 
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