Sayfullah
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I’m a pro pti imran khan supporter but I have some simple questions which I can’t find the answers to.
1. Why not Iranian oil which would be:
- much cheaper
- cheaper transportation since Iran is much closer
- easier to avoid sanctions and stay lowkey (already lots of Iranian oil is smuggled into Pakistan on a daily)
- and Iran would allow barter trade for oil so we can trade rice or sugar which we export to Iran which usually imports a lot of it?
2. What will happen to the billions of dollars Gulf countries have deposited in our bank account or the other facilities they give us? Surely Arab countries will pull out the $5 billion or so they currently have deposited if we don’t buy oil from them?
3. What will happen to the long term contracts we have with some Arab countries? Don’t we have contracts with Saudi to get years worth of oil on loan or deferred payments? How about the long term LNG contracts we have with Qatar? Surely Russian oil will not remain cheap forever and we will have to eventually buy from others, but will the Arabs give us such facilities after if we break such contracts right now?
4. Is it worth breaking contracts and severing ties with Gulf countries and usa for buying Russian oil while Pakistan has barely any storage capacity? Russian Ruble is at the strongest since like 2014 and Russian Oil and Gas exports are increasing with many European countries still buying from them so, will it remain cheap forever? If we buy even half a year worth of cheap oil and gas from Russia, since we have almost no storage capacity, after 6 months or so we will face a huge crisis when Arabs won’t offer us the facilities they once did and all oil and gas is at the same price.
5. Continuing on from point 4, we barely refine any oil we import with 70% + of our imported oil already being refined AND, the current refineries in Pakistan, many have closed down due to Furnace oil issue. When we are facing such, will it still make sense to import Russian oil as it won’t offer much benefit and put our refineries in a even more worse state since most of our petro chemicals and support comes from Gulf companies too? Also, aren’t Arab firms major investors in our current refineries so, if we start buying Russia oil, won’t they pull out their investments?
6. Let’s say Russians come in to save our refineries and set up new refineries in Pakistan, but that will take years maybe like 5 years and, wouldn’t by then Russian oil be at the same price with no discount? Wouldn’t we be stuck at buying more expensive oil then because Arab oil has cheaper transportation costs?
7. Currently Pakistan is relying on Arabs to bail us out in our economic mess. We’re bending over for IMF because Arabs told us to get IMF loan first before they bail us out. How will Russian Oil and Gas imports affect this? Energy imports undoubtedly make up majority of our imports however still we don’t gain enough forex yearly to cover our imports even when oil was cheap. So will Arabs still bail us out when we ditch their oil and gas? Is Russia ready to be the next Saudi for us giving us loans etc?
8. How will this affect our exports? Many of our exports go to Arab countries. Many countries import from countries that import from them a lot to keep a balance. If Pakistan lowers its imports from Arab countries, what if the Arabs do the same? Is Russia ready to buy our products then to make up for this?
I will repeat I am pro pti and pro Imran Khan, but I have some questions about Russian oil and gas.
1. Why not Iranian oil which would be:
- much cheaper
- cheaper transportation since Iran is much closer
- easier to avoid sanctions and stay lowkey (already lots of Iranian oil is smuggled into Pakistan on a daily)
- and Iran would allow barter trade for oil so we can trade rice or sugar which we export to Iran which usually imports a lot of it?
2. What will happen to the billions of dollars Gulf countries have deposited in our bank account or the other facilities they give us? Surely Arab countries will pull out the $5 billion or so they currently have deposited if we don’t buy oil from them?
3. What will happen to the long term contracts we have with some Arab countries? Don’t we have contracts with Saudi to get years worth of oil on loan or deferred payments? How about the long term LNG contracts we have with Qatar? Surely Russian oil will not remain cheap forever and we will have to eventually buy from others, but will the Arabs give us such facilities after if we break such contracts right now?
4. Is it worth breaking contracts and severing ties with Gulf countries and usa for buying Russian oil while Pakistan has barely any storage capacity? Russian Ruble is at the strongest since like 2014 and Russian Oil and Gas exports are increasing with many European countries still buying from them so, will it remain cheap forever? If we buy even half a year worth of cheap oil and gas from Russia, since we have almost no storage capacity, after 6 months or so we will face a huge crisis when Arabs won’t offer us the facilities they once did and all oil and gas is at the same price.
5. Continuing on from point 4, we barely refine any oil we import with 70% + of our imported oil already being refined AND, the current refineries in Pakistan, many have closed down due to Furnace oil issue. When we are facing such, will it still make sense to import Russian oil as it won’t offer much benefit and put our refineries in a even more worse state since most of our petro chemicals and support comes from Gulf companies too? Also, aren’t Arab firms major investors in our current refineries so, if we start buying Russia oil, won’t they pull out their investments?
6. Let’s say Russians come in to save our refineries and set up new refineries in Pakistan, but that will take years maybe like 5 years and, wouldn’t by then Russian oil be at the same price with no discount? Wouldn’t we be stuck at buying more expensive oil then because Arab oil has cheaper transportation costs?
7. Currently Pakistan is relying on Arabs to bail us out in our economic mess. We’re bending over for IMF because Arabs told us to get IMF loan first before they bail us out. How will Russian Oil and Gas imports affect this? Energy imports undoubtedly make up majority of our imports however still we don’t gain enough forex yearly to cover our imports even when oil was cheap. So will Arabs still bail us out when we ditch their oil and gas? Is Russia ready to be the next Saudi for us giving us loans etc?
8. How will this affect our exports? Many of our exports go to Arab countries. Many countries import from countries that import from them a lot to keep a balance. If Pakistan lowers its imports from Arab countries, what if the Arabs do the same? Is Russia ready to buy our products then to make up for this?
I will repeat I am pro pti and pro Imran Khan, but I have some questions about Russian oil and gas.