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Rupee continues to weaken Breaches 119

SunilM

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Rupee continues to weaken in the open market

KARACHI:

Pakistan’s currency continued to remain under pressure against the US dollar in the open market, dropping to a low of Rs119.05 on Friday, as amended rules and regulations kicked into force in the outgoing week.


According to reports, the rupee was also being traded at Rs119.5 to the dollar as some currency dealers took advantage of the situation.

The rupee closed at Rs118.55 on Thursday, and weakened further to Rs119.05 a day later. This is Rs0.25 less than the record high closing of Rs119.30 recorded on April 25, 2018, according to forex.pk.

In the inter-bank market, the rupee, however, remained stable at Rs115.61, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

Rupee weakens to over Rs119 against dollar in open market as panic buying continues

“Short supply of dollars is causing rupee weakening,” Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan General Secretary Zafar Paracha told The Express Tribune.

Open market: Dollar surges to Rs118.7 amid supply shortage

The supply of dollars in the open market has reduced to half after the government introduced a regulation that requires the person to show identification before buying or selling foreign currency in the excess of $500.

In addition, rumours over another round of devaluation also fueled the rupee’s slide, he added.

“People may be hoarding dollars since they see another round of devaluation ahead of the elections and change of the elected government this year,” he said.

Rupee has weakened against all major currencies

“It is unusual in Ramazan that currency dealers receive low inward remittances. Historically, we used to receive higher amounts during Ramazan.”

Earlier this week, Moody’s Investors Service – one of the top three global credit rating agencies – forecasted that Pakistan’s rupee could shed value by another 7.75% and its worth may go as low as Rs125 to the dollar by June next year.

In the recent past, the SBP has devalued the rupee by 9.5% in two rounds (5% in December 2017 and 4.5% in March 2018) in the inter-bank to help narrow down the widening current account deficit and save fast depleting foreign exchange reserves of the country.

Finance Minister Miftah Ismail has categorically denied a further devaluation while SBP Governor Tariq Bajwa has said the rupee is near its true equilibrium.

Earlier this week, the SBP said that all buy and sell transactions in foreign currency equivalent to $500 or above will require exchange companies to obtain and retain copies of identification documents – CNIC, NICOP or passport in the case of a foreigner. The move came as Pakistan looks to strengthen the ‘anti-money laundering and combating financing of terrorism’ regime ahead of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) meet-up in June.

Resultantly, the dollar rate has started to increase.

“Currency dealers (nationwide) cumulatively buy around $2-3 million each day from individuals in the open markets. This supply dropped to less than $1 million,” said Forex Association of Pakistan President Malik Bostan.

“Buyers and sellers prefer to purchase and sell foreign currencies from unauthorised and unregistered currency dealers…this is the reason behind the low supply of dollars to legal currency dealers,” he added.

Published in The Express Tribune, May 26th, 2018.

https://tribune.com.pk/story/1719198/2-rupee-continues-weaken-open-market/
 
The exporters are probably loving it!
that's exactly why its being done. almost all of the parliament members are businessmen and they are raking it in with their business exports going through the roof. But unfortunately, the poor man has to pay the price. Just a sad fact of capitalism.
 
that's exactly why its being done. almost all of the parliament members are businessmen and they are raking it in with their business exports going through the roof. But unfortunately, the poor man has to pay the price. Just a sad fact of capitalism.

Well, with oil at 80$, devaluation is suicidal. The government has not increased the Prices because this is its last month in office. But fiscal deficit is getting screwed, the repercussions of which will be felt few months down the line when IMF imposes its conditions for a bailout.
 
Well, with oil at 80$, devaluation is suicidal. The government has not increased the Prices because this is its last month in office. But fiscal deficit is getting screwed, the repercussions of which will be felt few months down the line when IMF imposes its conditions for a bailout.
not in our case actually...given Saudi Arabia's military reliance on Pakistan, they quietly give us a very cheap rate...an open secret, everyone knows about it but no one talks about it.
 
that's exactly why its being done. almost all of the parliament members are businessmen and they are raking it in with their business exports going through the roof. But unfortunately, the poor man has to pay the price. Just a sad fact of capitalism.
This is good for Pakistans economy the imports are getting expensive and exports are getting cheaper so more cash stays with in the country and that helps a lot to reduce trade deficit. Yes fuel is becoming expensive but this is important to turn the economy export based. People will find more profit in export based business so they will jump in that direction.
 
Well, with oil at 80$, devaluation is suicidal. The government has not increased the Prices because this is its last month in office. But fiscal deficit is getting screwed, the repercussions of which will be felt few months down the line when IMF imposes its conditions for a bailout.


Sure

Forex reserves fell $11 bn in a month: RBI


Central bank steps up dollar sales
The country’s foreign exchange reserves fell $2.6 billion for the week ended May 18 to $415 billion, latest data released by Reserve Bank of India showed.

In the last one month, foreign exchange reserves fell by about $11 billion as the central bank stepped up intervention in the currency market as rupee came under pressure following rise in crude oil prices. Rising oil prices pose threat to macroeconomic stability as the country imports 80% of its crude requirements.

Foreign exchange reserves touched a record high of $426 billion for the week ended April 13, 2018.

According to the latest data, fall in foreign reserves is primarily due to decline in foreign currency assets.

Rupee strengthens

Rupee, which is the worst performing Asian currency this year, strengthened against the dollar as crude oil prices fell on the prospect of supply increase. On Friday, the rupee posted its biggest single-session gain, as it appreciated by 56 paise or 0.9% to close at 67.78 against the dollar amid a rise in domestic stocks. This is the best single-day rise for the rupee since March 14, 2017. The rupee on Friday touched a high of 67.70 in the intra-day trade.


http://www.thehindu.com/business/Ec...fell-11-bn-in-a-month-rbi/article23993718.ece
 
not in our case actually...given Saudi Arabia's military reliance on Pakistan, they quietly give us a very cheap rate...an open secret, everyone knows about it but no one talks about it.
Waekup man, there is no such thing as cheap, all sales are on standard rates ...
 
Waekup man, there is no such thing as cheap, all sales are on standard rates ...
Exactly, that facility was withdrawn by the saudis long time ago. There is a reason your forex reserves are falling rapidly despite the Chinese injecting around 2 Billion dollars every month.
 
Exactly, that facility was withdrawn by the saudis long time ago. There is a reason your forex reserves are falling rapidly despite the Chinese injecting around 2 Billion dollars every month.
negative. as I said, it is an unsaid deal...they want our military and nuclear protection, it comes with a price. and fyi, it isn't 2 billion, its 1 billion. Pakistan heavily investing in infrastructure buildup and as such, short falls are expected and since China is a big player in the buildup, they are naturally stepping in, simple as that.
 
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Exactly, that facility was withdrawn by the saudis long time ago. There is a reason your forex reserves are falling rapidly despite the Chinese injecting around 2 Billion dollars every month.
Well from where you got the figure of USD 2 billion per month?
 
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