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Report on two-child policy submitted to decision-makers

Aging society to lead to labor shortfall in China: expert
Source:Xinhua Published: 2015-10-20 17:13:21

China may face a labor shortfall as early as 2021 due to a rapidly aging population as the results of the one-child policy, started in the 1970s, begin to bite, an expert said Tuesday.

China's labor population will show a downward trend as workers born during the baby boom in the 1960-70s begin to retire in 2021, Yao Meixiong, deputy head of the Center for Population Census of Fujian Provincial Bureau of Statistics, was quoted as saying by Yicai.com.

By the end of 2014, China had 212 million people aged above 60, accounting for 15.5 percent of the total, according to the Ministry of Civil Affairs.

"Young labor resources between the age of 20 to 34 will plunge year by year from 2021. The drop could amount to 11 million each year from 2022 to 2025. By 2030, the youth labor force at this rate will drop to 221 million, 32 percent or 104 million fewer than 2010," said Yao.

He said the population under 14 years old only accounted for 16.5 percent of the country's total, compared with the world's average of 27 percent.

The population of workers aged between 16 and 59 shrank by 3.71 million year on year in 2014, official data showed.

Yao pointed out that a gender imbalance could also be problematic. "For people less than 19 years old in 2010, 172 million were males, 22.1 million more than females. This means about 10 percent of male youths will find it hard to find female spouses beginning in 2020."

China partially lifted the one-child policy during a pilot program in Zhejiang Province in January 2014, allowing couples to have a second child if either parent is an only child. The policy expanded nationwide at the beginning of 2015.

However, Yao said the policy is not enough to fill the future labor shortfall as couples qualified to bear a second child are not always willing to do so.
 
If you have money, you have part of the solution......

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Affluent Chinese hiring surrogate mothers in U.S.
2015-10-20 16:01 | China Daily | Editor: Wang Fan

After giving birth as a surrogate mother for a Chinese couple four months ago, Terry is now matched with another Chinese couple, in Canada, and waiting for her medical appointment.

"It's really a good thing to do," said Terry, who asked that only her first name be used. Terry said she was even learning Chinese now from her Chinese colleagues at Extraordinary Conceptions, a Carlsbad, California-based agency that offers surrogate parenting services, where Terry works as a medical records clerk. Terry also has a child of her own.

At Extraordinary Conceptions, surrogacy mothers are usually women age 21 to 39 who have at least one child. They are paid $30,000 to $50,000 for carrying a child.

The agency now has 60 percent of its business from China and seven Chinese-speaking employees have been hired to deal with the surging interest from the country.

"I've been going to China for the last four years and have worked with hundreds of Chinese couples," said Mario Caballero, executive director of Extraordinary Conceptions. "I go to China every three months, meeting clients and middle agents, and visiting IVF (in-vitro fertilization) centers in China."

He said he started having more Chinese clients when words spread out. "You can come to the U.S. to have a baby; you can be a single person or an older person. All of this has been communicated by media back to China, so people decided that they could have a family when they thought they could not," said Caballero.

As China's law forbids surrogacy service and the government periodically cracks down on the underground surrogacy market, more Chinese couples are looking to overseas agencies.

It usually costs from 800,000 yuan to 1.1 million yuan (about $125,790 to $172,950) to have a baby in the U.S., much more expensive than in other countries such as Thailand, India and Nepal.

"The U.S. passports", the "stability of U.S. laws", and "the highest success rate" are among the top reasons why Chinese choose American surrogacy mothers, according to Caballero.

"And many of those countries do not issue birth certificates for the babies," he added. "In California, the paperwork with the names of the intended parents is at the hospital before the baby is born, so the surrogate's name never appears on the paperwork."

Another incentive is that the child born in the U.S. is eligible for U.S. citizenship and can sponsor their parents for a "green card" on reaching the age of 21.

Although surrogacy is illegal in China, Caballero said both he and the Chinese parents do not have legal concerns "because they know they are not doing surrogacy in China".

In April, the Chinese government set up a special task force to crack down on medical organizations, medical personnel and agencies providing illegal surrogacy service. But industry insiders said local family planning commissions as well as industry and commercial bureaus do not interfere with their business as long as the surrogacy is not done in China.

It is believed that the higher demand for surrogacy from China is partly due to the rising infertility rate. A report on China's infertility released by the China Women and Children Career Development Center in 2012 finds the infertility rate has increased to 12 percent in 2012 from 3 percent of 1992, which means about one in eight couples have reproductive problems.

The industry insiders said the surrogacy market will continue expanding at 30 percent a year.
 
Are you certain? Many civilization vanished over the single reason of overpopulation.

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Bro, it doesnt make sense.

Civilization become extinct because of low population. Look at native North American Indians.
 
The Indian's whole argument about having a 3 billion population is good for China is that he forgot to mention natural resources are limited. His whole argument is assuming natural resources is unlimited.

等到印度人口2000000000。我们将看到真正的发光印度....哈哈
印度鬼吹狗屁

Also keep in mind as people in China become wealthier they will have the money to buy even MORE things draining resources even faster.

Rabid consumerism in the U.S. didn't start because the population grew...it was because people had more "extra" money.
 
UN Habitat: China's urbanization model to change in future
Source:Xinhua Published: 2015-10-20 17:13:43

China's urbanization has been successful so far, but its model will change along with social and economic transformations in the future, Under-Secretary General of the United Nations Joan Clos said while in Beijing.

The country's focus during the next phase of urbanization will need to move from land to people's well-being, Clos, also executive director of the UN Human Settlements Programme, known as UN Habitat, said in a recent interview with Xinhua.

"As China's economy changes from rapid industrialization to a more knowledge-based one, Chinese citizens will ask for more quality in life in the future, not just quantity," he said.

He predicted middle and small-scale cities will grow in the long term because people in big cities will want to move back to smaller ones, looking both for a better quality of life and a good connection to the "knowledge system".

Clos was in China to attend the 100 Eminent Persons' Forum on China's Urbanization and the World Cities Day events.

He hailed China's new urban policies, which put people first, as a "timely decision" to address the challenges posed by the old-style of urbanization characterized by industrialization.

"The Chinese government is reacting positively towards the challenges, such as environmental issues and the integration of the rural population into urban life," said Clos.

"No other government on the planet has been able to take 700 million people out of poverty in 37 years."

He admitted that China has paid a price to reach its current urbanization level, but lessons can be learned and different methods can be tested in the future in order to find the best one.

"We are analyzing the Chinese urbanization model because it goes even faster than the developed world," Clos said. "It may be in the hands of the Chinese people to invent or innovate new urban models."

He said he hopes China can bring its experiences to Habitat III, the UN Conference on Housing and Sustainable Urban Development in Quito, Ecuador next October, "experiences that can help other countries avoid the challenges China has encountered during urbanization, such as air pollution"

He said Africa will become the next frontier for urbanization after China. So far, the continent has seen "rapid urbanization with low industrialization or urban planning" and therefore requires "the support of others, including China, to propose new ideas and systems."

Clos proposed South-South Cooperation should move from basic urban services such as energy, water, and solid waste management, to more strategic tools like how to establish rules and regulations, urban design, and financial planning.

"If any of the three strategic tools fails, the whole urbanization drive fails," he said.
 
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Rabid consumerism in the U.S. didn't start because the population grew...it was because people had more "extra" money.

Is rabid consumerism bad, tho? Be the uncle everyone loves or be the miser that was Ebenezer Scrooge? Hmm?

 
It's bad if you start seriously draining a country's natural resources and polluting its environment simply to supply consumers with "baubles".

Hmmm, let them enjoy consumerism that we Capitalist 'Imperials' are staunch supporters of. In the end, my friend, they have control of their national destiny. If they want to save and be a miser, by all means. However if they want to consume all the more, then by Jove, go ahead ! LOL.

US Dollar, Japanese Yen, Chinese RMB, Indian Rupee, Indonesian Rupiah, Filipino Peso, Thai Baht, European Euro --- doesn't matter. In the end it goes to the producer's bank account. LMFAO!!!!

If they want to save and be a miser,

Besides, who ever thought that you could take your savings to the grave with you right? LOL!

While you live, enjoy. Because when you are dead, the millions and billions one has saved up won't do anything to help / save you.

Its not like you can bribe God to forgive you of your sins. LOL!
 
Hmmm, let them enjoy consumerism that we Capitalist 'Imperials' are staunch supporters of. In the end, my friend, they have control of their national destiny. If they want to save and be a miser, by all means. However if they want to consume all the more, then by Jove, go ahead ! LOL.

US Dollar, Japanese Yen, Chinese RMB, Indian Rupee, Indonesian Rupiah, Filipino Peso, Thai Baht, European Euro --- doesn't matter. In the end it goes to the producer's bank account. LMFAO!!!!



Besides, who ever thought that you could take your savings to the grave with you right? LOL!

While you live, enjoy. Because when you are dead, the millions and billions one has saved up won't do anything to help / save you.

Its not like you can bribe God to forgive you of your sins. LOL!

As China's consumer wealth explodes (like it did in the U.S. after WW2) their manufacturing explodes too. However they are going to realize their most important resources are being drained making consumer baubles instead of items that move the country forward. They will have to do what the U.S. did and offshore this stuff.
 
More than 53,000 Beijing couples opt for second child
Xinhua, October 25, 2015

More than 53,000 couples in Beijing have applied for a second child since the city changed its birth control policy in early 2014.

By the end of September, 53,034 couples in Beijing had submitted applications, among which 48,392 couples were approved. Of the potential mothers, 57 percent were aged between 31 and 35 years old.

China introduced its family planning policy in the late 1970s to rein in population growth by limiting most urban couples to one child and most rural couples to two, allowing the birth of a second child if the first child was a girl.

A major policy change at the end of 2013 allows couples nationwide to have a second child if either parent is an only child.

Beijing, with permanent population in excess of 20 million, estimated that the new policy would increase this number by more than 270,000, with around 54,200 additional births annually until 2019, when the figure will peak and begin to go down steadily.
 
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