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PTI Victory in Punjab By-Elections Further Proves That Imported Govt Is Illegitimate and Product of Regime Change Operation

FOOLS_NIGHTMARE

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Unlike many parties who make hue and cry after a defeat, Pmln conceded defeat with an open heart. Before making an in-depth analysis one should consider all of these 20 seats belonged to PTI. The local PMLN organisations were not taken into confidence and the tickets were awarded to the turncoats that joined Pmln a fortnight ago. One must not take the credit away from Imran Khan who snatched a HISTORIC victory from the Jaws of dilemma. Hyper Inflation did not help Pmln either in the urban centres, it was the rural constituency where Pmln was facing a backlash from its own grassroots.

PP 83 Khushab By Election Result 2022

CandidatesVotes
1Hassan Malik (Winner)48475PTI
2Muhammad Asif Malik41752IND
3Amir Haider Sangha34463PML-N

The runner-up here Mr Asif Bha is the president of PMLN Khushab.

PP 228 Lodhran By-Election Result 2022​


CandidatesVotes
1Syed Muhammad Rafi ud Din Dukhari (Winner)45020IND
2Izzat Javaid Khan38338PTI
3Nazir Ahmad Khan34929PML-N

Here the Federal minister Sadiq Kanju supported the Independent candidate who won.

PP 125 Jhang

Here again, it was a three-way contest with Iftikhar Ahmed Baloch former pmln mpa running as an independent.

PP-272 Muzaffargarh​

Here again, Pmln was bitterly divided, Syed Haroon Ahmad Sultan(ex-minister Pmln) and the brother of Basit Sultan Bukhari contested as an independent.

On the other constituencies former Pmln candidates amir Iqbal shah, Irfanullah Niazi and others rebelled and took PTI tickets and won by big margins.

Nevertheless one can always be wise after the event, at the end of the day PTI THRASHED the Govt. I will consider this as PTIs memorable victory.
 
Unlike many parties who make hue and cry after a defeat, Pmln conceded defeat with an open heart.

Although I agree with the reasons you provided, please do not try and paint N as the virtuous and magnanimous party here.

What other option did they have? Maryam kehti keh Shahbaz Sharif conspired against Hamza? Or establishment conspired against them?

They had no choice but to accept this.

Itni hi magnanimity thi to woh 2018 main kdhr thi?
 
Ppp has played such a master stroke with entire April drama. They have literally ended PMLN career and exposed establishment as well meanwhile gaining alliance with mulla fazla group.
 
PMLN and their supporters should be given some face saving

Political differences aside, we are one nation. We are a democracy (can say that today) and everyone is entitled to their opinions.

PMLN did take a few difficult political decisions, like increasing petroleum prices, that have costed them dearly

Doesn't matter who rules the country as long as it is in accordance with the wishes of the majority of people. Establishment/Army should stay away from politics
 
Unlike many parties who make hue and cry after a defeat, Pmln conceded defeat with an open heart. Before making an in-depth analysis one should consider all of these 20 seats belonged to PTI. The local PMLN organisations were not taken into confidence and the tickets were awarded to the turncoats that joined Pmln a fortnight ago. One must not take the credit away from Imran Khan who snatched a HISTORIC victory from the Jaws of dilemma. Hyper Inflation did not help Pmln either in the urban centres, it was the rural constituency where Pmln was facing a backlash from its own grassroots.

PP 83 Khushab By Election Result 2022

CandidatesVotes
1Hassan Malik (Winner)48475PTI
2Muhammad Asif Malik41752IND
3Amir Haider Sangha34463PML-N

The runner-up here Mr Asif Bha is the president of PMLN Khushab.

PP 228 Lodhran By-Election Result 2022​


CandidatesVotes
1Syed Muhammad Rafi ud Din Dukhari (Winner)45020IND
2Izzat Javaid Khan38338PTI
3Nazir Ahmad Khan34929PML-N

Here the Federal minister Sadiq Kanju supported the Independent candidate who won.

PP 125 Jhang

Here again, it was a three-way contest with Iftikhar Ahmed Baloch former pmln mpa running as an independent.

PP-272 Muzaffargarh​

Here again, Pmln was bitterly divided, Syed Haroon Ahmad Sultan(ex-minister Pmln) and the brother of Basit Sultan Bukhari contested as an independent.

On the other constituencies former Pmln candidates amir Iqbal shah, Irfanullah Niazi and others rebelled and took PTI tickets and won by big margins.

Nevertheless one can always be wise after the event, at the end of the day PTI THRASHED the Govt. I will consider this as PTIs memorable victory.
1658094387609.png
 
I don't know who should be laughing zardari, die hard n league supporters or bajwa and Co..........
Zardari nothing lost, nothing gained. N League are probably in full matam mode, establishment might be a bit worried at this.

On the last point, this result means that we're days or weeks away from having another leadership crisis. The credibility of the mutant coalition in the eyes of allies, creditors and the IMF was already a hard sell, now there's a serious lack of certainty.

A few things you can expect as a result:
  1. IK has the ability now if need be to challenge the coalition in the assembly, the numbers might not be there as of today but it can happen.​
  2. If IK or PTI decide, they can bring a VNC against the government, and it may well succeed.​
  3. If successful, then an election will be around the corner, IK may even be able to pick his favourite and supportive COAS ahead of Nov. Back to the pre Nov-2021 norm.​
  4. PMLN may take some steps to bow out before being thrown out, could be at the provincial level or even federal, they'll be politically expedient now and in damage control mode.​
  5. Our creditors and the IMF will be even more reluctant to act to help us as long as our leadership and government do not look stable. Estab has a dilemma here, pick a side or stay neutral.​
 
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If IK or PTI decide, they can bring a VNC against the government, and it may well succeed.​

Q league becomes important again. Shujaat group now knows PTI is popular, and might look to make amends and come back in the Monis camp. If it does, then the govt majority in the center crumbles.

Is say behtar hai N goes to elections.

If N does announce elections for NA, then it would be interesting if PTI goes for provincial elections or not. They might want to retain the provincial bureaucracy and keep a stranglehold on things, but usually they aren't one to do such things, so I don't think they will look at this option seriously.

[*]
Our creditors and the IMF will be even more reluctant to act to help us as long as our leadership and government do not look stable. Estab has a dilemma here, pick a side or stay neutral.​

This is the worrisome thing. The IMF deal is still not signed, the board still has to give approval. Will it give the approval and will the formalities be complete now, since everyone knows the government has become even weaker and can be going in weeks if not days?
 
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