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Power generation cost soaring on rise in international fuel prices Craving for costly oil-fired plan

idune

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Power generation cost soaring on rise in international fuel prices
Craving for costly oil-fired plants proves ‘wrong’

The country's overall electricity generation cost started rising significantly from November 2017 amid escalating oil prices in the international market, as the power production is heavily dependent on 'expensive' oil-fired power plants.

The cost might soar further, as the oil prices in the international market maintains an uptrend following the latest unrest in global politics over the 'Jerusalem capital' issue, market insiders have predicted.

The government's over-reliance on the oil-fired power plants instead of the low-cost ones to raise the country's overall electricity generation over the past several years has now proved 'wrong,' experts have said.

The country now has a total of 43 oil-fired power plants having the total generation capacity of 3,313 megawatts (MW), which is around 41 per cent of the currently available generation of around 8,000 MW, according to statistics from BPDB.


Of them a total of 34 plants with a total generation capacity of 2,567 MW are furnace oil-fired, and the remaining nine with a total capacity of 846 MW are diesel-based plants.

The share of oil-fired power plants in the country's overall electricity generation is set to rise further next year, a senior official of state-run Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB) told the FE.

It will happen, as the cabinet committee on government purchase in August approved awarding of 10 more oil-fired power plants to generate around 1,768 MW of electricity by mid-2018. These include several 'high-cost' diesel-run plants, he added.

The price of brent crude, the benchmark in international oil price, climbed up to nearly $ 66 per barrel on Tuesday from $ 47 in June 2017 and below $ 30 in early 2016.

The government had launched a drive to install a significant number of oil-fired rental and quick-rental power plants under private sector from 2009 as a 'short-term' solution to a nagging countrywide electricity crisis.

The government also awarded the private sector sponsors several gas-fired power plants, to be set up on rental basis.

Most of these power plants were awarded on the basis of unsolicited offers under the Speedy Supply of Power and Energy (Special Provision) Act 2010. The law has a provision of giving immunity to people, who are involved with the quick-fix remedies.


The government also allowed the private sector entrepreneurs duty-free import of furnace oil to run their power plants with 9.0 per cent service charge along with import cost as an incentive, said a senior official of Power Division under Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources.

Alongside the rental power plants the government also had a plan to install a number of big peaking power plants as 'mid-term' and 'long-term' measures.

Power Division also had planned to retire the rental and quick-rental power plants after expiry of their initial tenures and bring down the electricity tariffs as well.

But, instead of retiring the 'expensive' power plants, the government continued extending their tenures and installed more such plants afresh with the capacity-payment provision intact in the order, the BPDB official said.


For a lack of monitoring and supervision from the government, the mid-term power plants 'failed' to come up, he also said.

As a consequence, the electricity tariffs for retail-level consumers have been hiked eight times, with the latest one effective from December 1, almost doubling these from the previous rates, instead of reducing those as per the government's initial plan.


Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission (BERC) hiked the latest electricity tariff, predicting that the brent crude oil price would hover around $ 55 during 2018, said a senior official.

But the oil price has already increased by 18.18 per cent over the BERC's projection, on which it had ordered the latest power tariff hike on November 23, the official added.

"The government had awarded the oil-fired power plants to resolve the electricity crisis. But this ad-hoc and emergency crisis solution mechanism has now turned into a new crisis," energy adviser of Consumers' Association of Bangladesh (CAB) Prof M Shamsul Alam told the FE on Tuesday.

Electricity tariffs continued to rise over the past several years as an outcome of the government's 'wrong' policy, which is not at all 'acceptable', he added.

Although this government is completing two consecutive tenures in power, it is still in 'crisis-management' mood for power sector, said Prof Ijaz Hossain of Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET).

It seems that the government has little interest to increase electricity generation from the low-cost power plants, he further said, terming the government policy a 'failure.'

https://thefinancialexpress.com.bd/...oaring-on-rise-in-intl-fuel-prices-1513137897
 
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awami rental power plant was not only a looting scheme but also bringing down entire economy, competitiveness and hope for industrialization in Bangladesh.

awami cheerleading parrots leave your home address so that country can confiscate your asset, auction it and recoup some of awami looting money.
 
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The country now has a total of 43 oil-fired power plants having the total generation capacity of 3,313 megawatts (MW), which is around 41 per cent of the currently available generation of around 8,000 MW, according to statistics from BPDB.

LOL which idiots idea was that.
 
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LOL which idiots idea was that.

idea of awami league regime. It was and is a looting scheme rather than solving electricity problems.

"Power Division also had planned to retire the rental and quick-rental power plants after expiry of their initial tenures and bring down the electricity tariffs as well.

But, instead of retiring the 'expensive' power plants, the government continued extending their tenures and installed more such plants afresh with the capacity-payment provision intact in the order, the BPDB official said."
 
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It was and is a looting scheme rather than solving electricity problems.

Yep seems to be for sure. Good juicy political mafia taking their cut and not wanting competition. Rental power plants on fuel oil sound like the stupidest thing ever to extend given their localised inefficiency and fuel price volatility (I can see why they are used temporarily and really only because you didnt plan well in first place), they should be replaced by large coal and gas powerplants + solar and wind in rampload during the temporary fix stage by focusing all the capex loans you can raise there....but instead just being continued indefinitely???

Then with this kind of disgusting inability to look at long term cost cycle (simply what are the short term savings compared to long term), we are saying BD got a fair deal on nuclear power plants? @UKBengali

Man power sector sure seems like the thing thats going to be a huge headache for BD. Costs are doubling and tripling in such short time span? We expect any real increase in BD per capita electricity consumption and serious industrialisation and commerce based on this? Just remember how crucial base electric price is for today's economy and its position in the multiplier economic chain.

LOL at ppl cheering rental power plant nonsense here:

https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/pm-hasina-to-inaugurate-four-power-plants-sunday.532759/

Lack of simple CBA economic understanding.
 
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Quick rental or not, there are looting in almost every economic activity in the country. But, the quick rental is quite needed. Even if the unit price for this quick rental is higher than the average, it is certainly contributing to the industrial production.

By the way, can @idune tell us secretly how the BNP leader Begum Zia and her stupid son managed to take away $22 billion from a poor BD and invested in some holy Muslim countries. BNP being the political partner of Jamaat, you certainly know also that your Peer Tareque lives in a house in London by paying a rent of 22 lakh Taka (US$27,000) per month? Can you tell us what is his source of money?

Is it not also true that the Mullah-operated Islami Bank uses its pious money to invest in nasty politics and terrorism? Knowing all these evil doings, why are you after the quick rental, which is helping our industrial production?
 
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@Nilgiri :

Dude, you are wasting your time with this BD getting ripped off nonsense.

Belarus in 2012 signed a 10 billion US dollar deal for two VVER-1200 reactors and so when inflation is taken into account, BD is paying virtually the same amount as it signed the contract in 2016.

Look what India will pay for 2 VVER-1000 nuclear reactors:

https://economictimes.indiatimes.co...-cost-rs-50000-crore/articleshow/58959079.cms

That is 7.8 billion US dollars for 2 1GW reactors and it is an older design to boot. It is less safe, less efficient and also has lower life span than the VVER-1200 that BD is getting. So why do you say that BD is still getting ripped off?


VVER-1200 nuclear reactors are very expensive as they are the latest 3+ generation technology with 60 year lifespan. BD was going to go with the older and cheaper VVER-1000 but decided to go for the latest after the Japanese nuclear disaster in 2012.

Now the rental plants do have an element of AL looting in it but they did also serve a useful purpose and are now being slowly phased out. Every country in the subcontinent is involved in these scams. India's Modi is being accused of giving state contracts based on nepotism and so not much different over there.

Check out the massive 3.6GW gas based power plant that will be built by Germany's Siemen in BD:

http://fossilfuel.energy-business-r...ild-36gw-lng-based-power-plant-061117-5964617

Power will start coming online as early as 2020 and the whole plant will be finished by 2021.

Massive coal, gas and nuclear power plants will all come online later this decade and early part of the next decade and they will supply plentiful and cheap power for BD residential and business customers.
 
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@Nilgiri :

Dude, you are wasting your time with this BD getting ripped off nonsense.

Belarus in 2012 signed a 10 billion US dollar deal for two VVER-1200 reactors and so when inflation is taken into account, BD is paying virtually the same amount as it signed the contract in 2016.

No its not, the contracts for the loans cover different things if you look at the initial cost proposed (with VVER-1000 in 2009 being 5 billion USD) and what it expanded to with VVER-1200 + electric grid infra improvement (and other things going on between Russia and Belarus). The latter will be why BD will also get its cost inflated (esp in USD given Russian ruble has much appreciation space given its earlier collapse) over time too.

http://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profiles/countries-a-f/belarus.aspx

The differential between BD and pretty much every other country (when doing apples and apples) remains. Its not really a rip off per se, its simply the state of BD industry meaning a much larger premium can be charged.

Look what India will pay for 2 VVER-1000 nuclear reactors:

Proves my point (and the massive differential in costs between India and BD still shown anyway). BTW the cost is fixed in India in rupee terms (which has since appreciated) rather than USD terms for BD for an important reason. Units 3 and 4 (currently being constructed) are around 6 billion. Units 5 and 6 future expansion (your article) to bring total to 6000MW is simply projected inflation/INR appreciation over that time (7.8 billion). The major reason for this are liabilities that were changed in the interim (from first 2 reactors compared to next 4) and also the ruble taking a huge hit meaning Russia switched to more stable financing terms (which have their own appreciation patterns with INR).

Anyways, all in all it comes to 17 or 18 billion (maybe extend to 20 billion at the most depending on the inflation and appreciation) in total for 6000 MW. BD is getting 2400 MW at 13 billion USD (and very likely to increase more). You do the math.

That is 7.8 billion US dollars for 2 1GW reactors and it is an older design to boot. It is less safe, less efficient and also has lower life span than the VVER-1200 that BD is getting. So why do you say that BD is still getting ripped off?

Wow thats a lot of claims to be throwing around lol. Explain how its "less safe", "less efficient" and "lower life span" without copy paste from wiki. This should be good @gslv mk3 :D

You know next to nothing about the VVER-1000 iterations (And which one is used in India), I would shut up if I were you. Indian version of VVER 1000 is what spawned much of the VVER 1200 scaling in the first place.

Now the rental plants do have an element of AL looting in it but they did also serve a useful purpose and are now being slowly phased out.

Not looking like it now. They are being extended and new ones coming online....all because of poor planning and scam buffer on offer for BAL.

India's Modi is being accused of giving state contracts based on nepotism and so not much different over there.

Its a massive difference on the ground:

https://www.transparency.org/news/feature/corruption_perceptions_index_2016

I'd hate to be a country stuck at its 2012 atrocious level too.

It shows up on how much you lot have to pay for your electricity now. Seriously a doubling of the price? Its unheard of in India in this kind of timespan.

As a consequence, the electricity tariffs for retail-level consumers have been hiked eight times, with the latest one effective from December 1, almost doubling these from the previous rates, instead of reducing those as per the government's initial plan.

Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission (BERC) hiked the latest electricity tariff, predicting that the brent crude oil price would hover around $ 55 during 2018, said a senior official.

But the oil price has already increased by 18.18 per cent over the BERC's projection, on which it had ordered the latest power tariff hike on November 23, the official added.

"The government had awarded the oil-fired power plants to resolve the electricity crisis. But this ad-hoc and emergency crisis solution mechanism has now turned into a new crisis," energy adviser of Consumers' Association of Bangladesh (CAB) Prof M Shamsul Alam told the FE on Tuesday.

Electricity tariffs continued to rise over the past several years as an outcome of the government's 'wrong' policy, which is not at all 'acceptable', he added.

Although this government is completing two consecutive tenures in power, it is still in 'crisis-management' mood for power sector, said Prof Ijaz Hossain of Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET).

Check out the massive 3.6GW gas based power plant that will be built by Germany's Siemen in BD:

http://fossilfuel.energy-business-r...ild-36gw-lng-based-power-plant-061117-5964617

Power will start coming online as early as 2020 and the whole plant will be finished by 2021.

Massive coal, gas and nuclear power plants will all come online later this decade and early part of the next decade and they will supply plentiful and cheap power for BD residential and business customers.

The massive damage has been done in the interim and its a good chunk of years lost by this inflation on such a basic input.

This (conventional power scaling) should have been done a decade ago easily and preferably the first thing BAL did when they came to power (if the argument is BNP failure) and should have kicking in right now as projected/promised by BAL itself.

Why did BAL project a) very temporary stop gap nature of the rental power plants...which is now egg on their face b) lower electricity costs, with exact reverse having happened...in the first place? Obviously its a massive failure.
 
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@idune @Nilgiri Stop spitting out these LOW Level articles. Atleast learn to scrutinize these first. The pathetic writer is comparing rentals' nameplate capacity with total actual production (even not actually). So learn ABCD first about basic stat before accepting anything at face-value. AND to dear @idune, why the hell you are after me. I like to remain pragmatic. Given the situation, I support Sheikh Hasina for the time-being (she is a very good commander-in-chief) . Read my prevoius relpies, I don't refrain myself from criticizing whatever I find wrong. Grow up. We live in a dirty reality and surely it's not a Cinderella Story. Accept it and Stop bugging!
 
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@idune [USER=12518]@idune, why the hell you are after me. I like to remain pragmatic. Given the situation, I support Sheikh Hasina for the time-being (she is a very good commander-in-chief)[/USER]


As self proclaimed awami thug who is promoting awami looting through "rental scam" bound to get exposed. Now you have zero credibility and just awami sign post on your forehead. That's what. Awami idiots passing exam throug question leak can only push so much lie with "pragmatic" paint. Don't let door hit you.


@Nilgiri :
Massive coal, gas and nuclear power plants will all come online later this decade and early part of the next decade and they will supply plentiful and cheap power for BD residential and business customers.

So you are paddling awami league 20 years long "rental" looting and immunity for looting. All the while, industry and investment going elsewhere because of cost? Electricity price goes up dozen times. How much the electricity from N-power plant cost and how that justifies???? Wow, what else awami thugs are wishing to sell in bricklane grocery store?? Do tell...
 
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Quick rental or not, there are looting in almost every economic activity in the country. But, the quick rental is quite needed. Even if the unit price for this quick rental is higher than the average, it is certainly contributing to the industrial production.

By the way, can @idune tell us secretly how the BNP leader Begum Zia and her stupid son managed to take away $22 billion from a poor BD and invested in some holy Muslim countries. BNP being the political partner of Jamaat, you certainly know also that your Peer Tareque lives in a house in London by paying a rent of 22 lakh Taka (US$27,000) per month? Can you tell us what is his source of money?

Is it not also true that the Mullah-operated Islami Bank uses its pious money to invest in nasty politics and terrorism? Knowing all these evil doings, why are you after the quick rental, which is helping our industrial production?
Expensive power is better than no power. Quick rental was a desperate solution to an almost unbearable power crisis left by BNP govt.Now, Govt. is building thermal, LNG and nuclear power plant.Quick rental can be phase out step by step.Can you imagine the situation of Bangladesh if it had the BNP style load shedding now? Forget about 7+ percent economic growth, Bangladesh would have turned into a pastoralist economy devoid of any industry, business or investment. Do you think jamati have any of these concerns?
 
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Expensive power is better than no power. Quick rental was a desperate solution to an almost unbearable power crisis left by BNP govt.Now, Govt. is building thermal, LNG and nuclear power plant.Quick rental can be phase out step by step.Can you imagine the situation of Bangladesh if it had the BNP style load shedding now? Forget about 7+ percent economic growth, Bangladesh would have turned into a pastoralist economy devoid of industry,business or investment.Do you think jamati have any of these concerns?
awami thugs typically run their mouth and try to sidestep trail of 10 years long looting of Bangladesh. More than 1/3 of Bangladesh tax revenue in the name of rental looting. When in reality electricity production only gone up by 3500MW in last 10 years.

Power Division also had planned to retire the rental and quick-rental power plants after expiry of their initial tenures and bring down the electricity tariffs as well.

But, instead of retiring the 'expensive' power plants, the government continued extending their tenures and installed more such plants afresh with the capacity-payment provision intact in the order, the BPDB official said.

Most of these power plants were awarded on the basis of unsolicited offers under the Speedy Supply of Power and Energy (Special Provision) Act 2010. The law has a provision of giving immunity to people,
 
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But, instead of retiring the 'expensive' power plants, the government continued extending their tenures and installed more such plants afresh with the capacity-payment provision intact in the order, the BPDB official said.
Bangladesh still not in a position to retire the quick rental power plant.Our current power production is a bare minimum for current need. Our bigger power plants are still in making and will not be available for a few more years.Moreover we have 10 percent annual power demand increases.What will happen if bulk of this existing production is taken out of order? Is this simple fact is too difficult for you to understand?
 
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Bangladesh still not in a position to retire the quick rental power plant.

Because, awami league looting needs to continue and building power plants take 10 years. Who the hell you think you kidding?
 
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Because, awami league looting needs to continue and building power plants take 10 years. Who the hell you think you kidding?
Perhaps we need to give power plant project to you rather than the Japanese or Chinese? Your advance jamati technology can bring power plant out of thin air by just saying 'Chiching fak'. Isn't it?
 
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