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Impressive how you listed out the change in Indo-Pak relations over the decades.The pertinent questions to be asked are perhaps: What is the common thing? Who decided what becomes the common thing?
Go back to 1993-95. There is a raging insurgency in Kashmir. Indian hold over J&K is tenuous at best. Streets in Pakistan and Kashmir are filled with anticipation, charged with excitement. Indian collapse is imminent, defeat of the IA and 'freedom' of Kashmir only a matter of time.
The government of Pakistan refuses any talks with India until and unless Kashmir is on the agenda. Without Kashmir, there is nothing to talk to India. The Indian government beseeches Pakistan, in futility, for unconditional talks. Indian pleas fall on uninterested ears.
Sounds familiar? Perhaps not. India asking for unconditional talks & Pak imposing conditions...It certainly isn't common now. Is it? But indulge me a bit more.
Go back, again, but this time to 1999. You're now in the Shadow of the Kargil conflict. Pakistan's international standing, despite becoming the newest member into the nuclear club, is at an all time low.
Pakistan wants deliberations with India on the future of Kashmir. However, for the first time, India puts forward their conditions for talks. Terrorism from Pakistan must stop for talks to proceed.
This is perhaps a little closer to the normal, right?
Again, Go back, for the final time, to 2004-05. Pakistan raises the demand for unconditional talks. India refuses. Talks will be dictated by the prevailing environment. Talks can only occur in the absence of violence.
Musharraf would agree, and thus began the CBMs. That was a decade back.
So I ask again. What is the normal?
In less than a generation, the Indian government has reversed the normal on Kashmir and on talks itself, flipped the discourse 180 degrees back at Pakistan.
You've heard, perhaps read, about social engineering. Well, this perhaps is an example of it. But I'd like to call this mindset engineering. For here, the very thoughts, the mindsets, of 190 million people have been tuned to such an effect that almost nobody realizes just how big the turnaround has been. For most Pakistanis, this is how it has always been. This has always been normal.
This doesn't imply that the Indian government or the Indian bureaucracy planned this with Confucian patience. This is perhaps just the pieces falling into the right spot at the right time. Indian government just fumbled their way into a strong position. Of course though, it has been aided in no small part by the shockingly bad diplomacy and the disturbing lack of foresight on the Pakistan side.
There is this interesting quote on the new normal: Because in the New Normal you are more worried about the return of your capital, not return on your capital.
You are right, there is a New normal being made by GoI.