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Pakistan is home to the most frenetic education reforms in the world - The Economist

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EVERY three months, Shahbaz Sharif, the chief minister of Punjab, gathers education officials around a large rectangular table. The biggest of Pakistan’s four provinces, larger in terms of population (110m) than all but 11 countries, Punjab is reforming its schools at a pace rarely seen anywhere in the world. In April 2016, as part of its latest scheme, private providers took over the running of 1,000 of the government’s primary schools. Today the number is 4,300. By the end of this year, Mr Sharif has decreed, it will be 10,000. The quarterly “stocktakes” are his chance to hear what progress is being made towards this and other targets—and whether the radical overhaul is having any effect.

For officials it can be a tough ride. Leaders of struggling districts are called to Lahore for what Allah Bakhsh Malik, Punjab’s education secretary, calls a “pep talk”. Asked what that entails, he responds: “Four words: F-I-R-E. It is survival of the fittest.” About 30% of district heads have been sacked for poor results in the past nine months, says Mr Malik. “We are working at Punjabi speed.”

Pakistani education has long been atrocious. A government-run school on the outskirts of Karachi, in the province of Sindh, is perhaps the bleakest your correspondent has ever seen. A little more than a dozen children aged six or seven sit behind desks in a cobwebbed classroom. Not one is wearing a uniform; most have no schoolbags; some have no shoes. There is not a teacher in sight.



Most Pakistani children who start school drop out by the age of nine; just 3% of those starting public school graduate from 12th grade, the final year. Girls from poor families are least likely to attend (see chart); Pakistan’s gap between girls’ and boys’ enrolment is, after Afghanistan’s, the widest in South Asia. Those in school learn little. Only about half of Pakistanis who complete five years of primary school are literate. In rural Pakistan just over two-fifths of third-grade students, typically aged 8 or 9, have enough grasp of arithmetic to subtract 25 from 54. Unsurprisingly, many parents have turned away from the system. There are roughly 68,000 private schools in Pakistan (about one-third of all schools), up from 49,000 in 2007. Private money currently pays for more of Pakistan’s education than the government does.

It is in part the spread of private options that has spurred politicians like Mr Sharif into action. The outsourcing of schools to entrepreneurs and charities is on the rise across the country. It is too early to judge the results of this massive shake up, but it seems better than the lamentable status quo. If this wholesale reform makes real inroads into the problems of enrolment, quality and discrimination against girls that bedevil Pakistan, it may prove a template for other countries similarly afflicted.

There are many reasons for the old system’s failure. From 2007-15 there were 867 attacks by Islamist terrorists on educational institutions, according to the Global Terrorism Database run by the University of Maryland. When it controlled the Swat river valley in the north of the country, the Pakistani Taliban closed hundreds of girls’ schools. When the army retook the area it occupied dozens of them itself.

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Poverty also holds children back. Faced with a choice between having a child help in the fields or learn nothing at school, many parents rationally pick the former. The difference in enrolment between children of the richest and poorest fifth of households is greater in Pakistan than in all but two of the 96 developing countries recently analysed by the World Bank.

Yet poverty is not the decisive factor. Teaching is. Research by Jishnu Das of the World Bank and colleagues has found that the school a child in rural Pakistan attends is many times more important in explaining test scores than either the parents’ income or their level of literacy. In a paper published in 2016, Mr Das and Natalie Bau of the University of Toronto studied the performance of teachers in Punjab between 2003 and 2007 who were hired on temporary contracts. It turned out that their pupils did no worse than those taught by regular ones, despite the temporary teachers often being comparatively inexperienced and paid 35% less.

Teachers’ salaries account for at least 87% of the education budget in Pakistan’s provinces. A lot of that money is completely wasted. Pakistan’s political parties hand out teaching jobs as a way of recruiting election workers and rewarding allies. Some teachers pay for the job: 500,000 rupees ($4,500) was once the going rate in Sindh. At the peak of the problem a few years ago, an estimated 40% of teachers in the province were “ghosts”, pocketing a salary and not turning up.

“Pupils’ learning outcomes are not politically important in Pakistan,” says the leader of a large education organisation. Graft is not the only problem. Politicians have treated schools with a mix of neglect and capriciousness. Private schools have been nationalised (1972) and denationalised (1979); Islam has been inserted and removed as the main part of the curriculum. The language of instruction has varied, too; Punjab changed from Urdu to English, only to revert to Urdu. Sindh, where teachers who are often Sindhi speakers may struggle to teach Urdu, announced in 2011 that Mandarin would be compulsory in secondary schools.

Getting schooled

It is against this background that organisations like The Citizens Foundation (TCF) have developed. The charity runs perhaps the largest network of independently run schools in the world, educating 204,000 pupils at not-for-profit schools. It is also Pakistan’s largest single employer of women outside the public sector; in an effort to make girls feel safer in class, all of TCF’s 12,000 teachers are female. At its Shirin Sultan Dossa branch near a slum on the outskirts of Karachi, one girl is more than holding her own. At break-time on the makeshift cricket pitch she is knocking boys’ spin-bowling out of the playground.

In 2016 TCF opened its first “college” for 17- and 18-year-olds at this campus in an attempt to keep smart poor pupils in school longer. Every day it buses 400 college pupils in from around the city. It builds schools using a standard template, typically raising about $250,000 for each of them from donors; it recruits and trains teachers; and it writes its own curriculums.

Since 2015 TCF has taken over the running of more than 250 government schools in Punjab, Sindh and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. It gets a subsidy of around 715 rupees per month per child, which it tops up with donations. So far it has increased average enrolment at schools from 47 to 101 pupils, and test results have improved.

The outsourcing of state schools to TCF is just one part of the Sindh government’s recent reforms. “Three years ago we hit rock bottom,” says a senior bureaucrat, noting that 14,000 teaching jobs had been doled out in one year to supporters of the ruling Pakistan Peoples Party. Since then it has used a biometric attendance register to cut 6,000 ghost teachers from the payrolls, and merged 4,000 sparsely attended schools into 1,350. Through the Sindh Education Foundation, an arms-length government body, it is funding “public-private partnerships” covering 2,414 schools and 653,265 pupils. As well as the outsourcing programme, schemes subsidise poor children to attend cheap private schools and pay entrepreneurs to set up new ones in underserved areas.

This policy was evaluated in a paper by Felipe Barrera-Osorio of Harvard University and colleagues published last August. The researchers found that in villages assigned to the scheme, enrolment increased by 30% and test scores improved. Parents raised their aspirations—they started wanting daughters to become teachers, rather than housewives. These results were achieved at a per-pupil cost comparable to that of government schools. “Pakistan’s education challenge is not underspending. It is misspending,” says Nadia Naviwala of the Wilson Centre, a think-tank.

While Sindh has pioneered many policies, Punjab has taken them furthest. The Punjab Education Foundation (PEF), another quasi-independent body, oversees some of the largest school-privatisation and school-voucher programmes in the world. It has a seat with the ministers and administrators at Mr Sharif’s quarterly meetings. The Punjab government no longer opens new schools; all growth is via these privately operated schools. Schools overseen by PEF now teach more than 3m children (an additional 11m or so remain in ordinary government-run schools).

This use of the private sector is coupled with the command-and-control of Mr Sharif, who is backed by Britain’s Department for International Development, which helps pay for support from McKinsey, a consultancy, and Sir Michael Barber, who ran British prime minister Tony Blair’s “Delivery unit”. The latest stocktake claimed an “unprecedented” 10% increase in primary-school enrolment since September 2016, an extra 68,000 teachers selected “on merit”, and a steady increase in the share of correct answers on a biannual test of literacy and numeracy.

Some are concerned about the stress on meeting targets in this “deliverology” model. For one thing, independent assessment of the system’s claimed success is hard. Mr Das argues that there is no evidence from public sources that support Punjab’s claims of improved enrolment since 2010. Nor is the fear provoked by Mr Sharif always conducive to frank self-appraisal: some officials may fudge the numbers. Ms Naviwala points out that two of the worst-performing districts in spring 2015 somehow became the highest performers a few months later. She suggests that similar data-driven reforms in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa may have a better chance of success, since they are less dependent on the whims of a single minister. For their part Punjab and its international backers insist that the data are accurate, and that the other publicly available data are out of date.

No one thinks that everything is fixed. Around the corner from that parlous primary school on the outskirts of Karachi is another, privately run school hand-picked for your correspondent’s visit by civil servants. In maths classes pupils’ workbooks have no entries for the past fortnight. What sums there are show no working; answers were simply copied. The head teacher seems to care most about his new audiovisual room, the screen in which is not for pupils, but for him: a bootleg Panopticon, with six CCTV feeds displayed on a wall-mounted screen. This is an effective way of dealing with ghosts. But as the head explains how great his teachers are, one of them strolls up to a boy in the front of her class and smacks him over the head.

Even if there is bluster aplenty and a long way to go, though, the fact that politicians are burnishing their reputations through public services, rather than patronage alone, is a step forward. And if there is a little Punjabi hype to go with the Punjabi speed, then that may be a price worth paying. For too long Pakistani children have suffered because politicians have treated schools as political tools. They deserve much better.

This article appeared in the Briefing section of the print edition under the headline "Stepping up"
 
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This is great news and will have better long term outcome then 100 F-16s, 200 submarines, 400 tanks would do for Pakistan's future. It's nice to see politicians are competeing over education reforms. K-Pk and Punjab are leading. Win win for Pakistan. As usual Sind is letting Pakistan down. Something needs to be done about that province.

Just to place it on the record we should always accept any good policy from any political quarter - when it comes to Pakistan's development a degree of bi-partisanship is needed. For instance I accept that Shebaz Sharif is okay administrator and his government has launched some decent initiatives.
 
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Not sindh but bhutto, zardari, taalpur, sumros, khoros and other feudal families. They are keeping sindhis uneducated so no one question them and have awareness to stand against them.
But honestly what I can't understand is Urdu speakers from Sind claim to be most educated, urban and progressive. Yet come elections all we see is MQM and PPP. I would expect some clean, decent political movement that is pan-Sind if not pan-Pakistan to come about. But all I see is narrow minded parties that are either terrorists/gangsters with possible RAW connections or corrupt feudals. What gives with people of Sind?
 
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But honestly what I can't understand is Urdu speakers from Sind claim to be most educated, urban and progressive. Yet come elections all we see is MQM and PPP. I would expect some clean, decent political movement that is pan-Sind if not pan-Pakistan to come about. But all I see is narrow minded parties that are either terrorists/gangsters with possible RAW connections or corrupt feudals. What gives with people of Sind?

Because no one addressed their problems and never owned Karachi and treated as such. Look at today's karachi full of garbage. Being economic hub, Karachi suffered from mass migration and then city divided in to ethnic groups. The urdu speaker group, pushtoon group and sindhi group. They cast vote on ethnic bases to secure their interests and have their say via their representatives. PTI was thought to change this phenomenon but Imran's criminal negligence in Sindh is gonna cost him quite much in upcoming elections.

Coming to your second point of gangsters and terrorists; the society have driven to the point of selfishness due to lack of proper job structure, health care facilities and nepotism; everyone care for themselves. As long as they can place their sons and daughters at some positions, earn a decent living and afford healthcare they don't care who they vote for, they vote for the person who can get these things done.
 
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K-Pk and Punjab are leading. Win win for Pakistan. As usual Sind is letting Pakistan down. Something needs to be done about that province.

We can add GB region of Pakistan as well, Hunza region and many districts in Gilgit Baltistan has about 95% literacy rate and very few people in Pakistan knew about it ...and GB is as big as Austria in Landmass and with low population. All community based support and with scant resources.


http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1303171


 
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Politics aside, where MQM runs the government, like in the Punjab, literacy is enhanced. For those worrying about Sind, lets realize that like any other economy, the more educated will eventually take up the most jobs. Sifarish etc. will only allow jobs for a small percentage, eventually those in the interior of Sind will realize how the rest of the country is overtaking them. Small to medium sized businesses are opening up due to CPEC activity and these shops will require semi/skilled and educated labor. The PPP government is still running things as if they are in the late 80s and 90s, in 10 years time, those in the interior will come asking questions as to what these incompetents have done for them.
 
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Because no one addressed their problems and never owned Karachi and treated as such. Look at today's karachi full of garbage. Being economic hub, Karachi suffered from mass migration and then city divided in to ethnic groups. The urdu speaker group, pushtoon group and sindhi group. They cast vote on ethnic bases to secure their interests and have their say via their representatives. PTI was thought to change this phenomenon but Imran's criminal negligence in Sindh is gonna cost him quite much in upcoming elections.

Coming to your second point of gangsters and terrorists; the society have driven to the point of selfishness due to lack of proper job structure, health care facilities and nepotism; everyone care for themselves. As long as they can place their sons and daughters at some positions, earn a decent living and afford healthcare they don't care who they vote for, they vote for the person who can get these things done.
Bitter truth, IK ke pass Acha moka tha jo us ne ganwa diya :angry:
 
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the more educated will eventually take up the most jobs. Sifarish etc. will only allow jobs for a small percentage

I disagree with respect, sifarish and nepotism culture is at large practiced; a big chunk. It's not about the level of education but the competency of the person with same education. A person from same batch with highest grade usually end up jobless and the person with lowest passing grade secure a good position after graduation due to his/her connections. And such people pass their courses by cheating or by getting "tips" from teachers due to their TC nature and getting high marks in oral exams. Majority get jobs because they have "pawa" or abba is gernaaal or brigadier, MNA da putar or bateja/ bhanja, IG or DSP, Director of an institute. That's how it goes; eventually resulting in brain drain.
 
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I disagree with respect, sifarish and nepotism culture is at large practiced; a big chunk. It's not about the level of education but the competency of the person with same education. A person from same batch with highest grade usually end up jobless and the person with lowest passing grade secure a good position after graduation due to his/her connections. And such people pass their courses by cheating or by getting "tips" from teachers due to their TC nature and getting high marks in oral exams. Majority get jobs because they have "pawa" or abba is gernaaal or brigadier, MNA da putar or bateja/ bhanja, IG or DSP, Director of an institute. That's how it goes; eventually resulting in brain drain.
I am not saying it isn't practiced. I am just talking about the sheer number of opportunities on the horizon and where the appropriate candidates would come from. Yes Sifarishis well continue to get placed to the detriment of others more deserving but the pool to pick from would decidedly move in the direction of the more educated bunch and that pool would come from those areas where education is being prioritized.
 
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This is great news and will have better long term outcome then 100 F-16s, 200 submarines, 400 tanks would do for Pakistan's future. It's nice to see politicians are competeing over education reforms. K-Pk and Punjab are leading. Win win for Pakistan. As usual Sind is letting Pakistan down. Something needs to be done about that province.

Just to place it on the record we should always accept any good policy from any political quarter - when it comes to Pakistan's development a degree of bi-partisanship is needed. For instance I accept that Shebaz Sharif is okay administrator and his government has launched some decent initiatives.
I've long had this idea that Pakistan should focus heavily on its nuclear program and build up enough deterrence that in case of war with India, it would be a MAD scenario. Then announce a blatant first use policy, "if India attacks the first response would be an all out nuclear war". Then once that's done...Pak should reduce defense spending drastically...and just go all in for economic/educational reforms with the money that would be freed up. Do this for a solid twenty years. Then once the economy is growing at a fast pace, start paying down debt and increase forex reserve. After these twenty years have passed Pak armed forces can go on a spending spree backed by a strong economy and build back up the conventional ability that would suffer for two decades.
 
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I've long had this idea that Pakistan should focus heavily on its nuclear program and build up enough deterrence that in case of war with India, it would be a MAD scenario. Then announce a blatant first use policy, "if India attacks the first response would be an all out nuclear war". Then once that's done...Pak should reduce defense spending drastically...and just go all in for economic/educational reforms with the money that would be freed up. Do this for a solid twenty years. Then once the economy is growing at a fast pace, start paying down debt and increase forex reserve. After these twenty years have passed Pak armed forces can go on a spending spree backed by a strong economy and build back up the conventional ability that would suffer for two decades.
While that might seem like a logical way to go about it, but sadly it is not practical. We are already lagging behind them in conventional terms, any further decline and we will be inviting an adventure from the enemy. MAD is all good and well as a last resort, but would we be willing to launch nuclear strikes for say a second Siachin or an airstrike on outskirts of Lahore for taking out "Terrorist" hideouts, I don't think we will be.

Keep in mind the sole purpose of Cold Start was not to annex any part of Pakistan, but humiliate us by holding some part of our territory that they think will be below our threshold for launching nukes. So reducing our conventional military power further will give them a chance to humiliate us, make Pak military lose its prestige in eyes of the people and in turn force us to accept their hegemony in the region.
 
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Karachi suffered from mass migration
That is nothing new. Karachi has had mass migration from 1947 if not even earlier. Most if not 99% of Karachi is of migrant stock. Hundred years ago in 1918 Karachi was a small Sindhi town with British port.

I would have hoped that Karachi with it's economy being reflective of all of Pakistan. It exists because it services all of Pakistani export/import trade from every corner of Pakistan, having every ethnic group, having best education facelities that a national movement would have taken root but surprisingly it has not.

Imran's criminal negligence in Sindh is gonna cost him
Yes, I agree PTI has neglected Sindh which is going to hurt in next elections.

We can add GB region of Pakistan as well
Actually we can place GB at top of the list. It shows that to fix education is more state of mind then just money. GB has thanks to efforts of Agha Khan been trying hard for decades and the result shows. A lesson for rest of Pakistan. Lesson is basics first. schools, hospitals, law/order, community enterprises to make neighbourhoods better, cleaner places to live in.

I've long had this idea that Pakistan should focus heavily on its nuclear program and build up enough deterrence that in case of war with India, it would be a MAD scenario. Then announce a blatant first use policy, "if India attacks the first response would be an all out nuclear war". Then once that's done...Pak should reduce defense spending drastically...and just go all in for economic/educational reforms with the money that would be freed up. Do this for a solid twenty years. Then once the economy is growing at a fast pace, start paying down debt and increase forex reserve. After these twenty years have passed Pak armed forces can go on a spending spree backed by a strong economy and build back up the conventional ability that would suffer for two decades.
Spot on -

  • Cap defence spening.
  • Focus on nuclear posture
  • Two decades of internal jihad ~ education, hospitals, sanitation, housing, law/order
 
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