If you are a betting man, odd would favor Rafale on paper against the FC-1 / JF-17 specially Block I/II. Throw in other support aircraft that provide situational awareness AWACS, EW, etc and then the things get interesting just as happened during the Feb 27.
More often than not it would be the Rafale depending upon how the fight plays out.
At the risk of being an annoying nerd, let me say something. Using "traditional" ideas of probability is problematic for rare events such as 1v1 air combat. There's a whole theory of rare-event probabilistics used by insurance companies for modeling this kind of thing. The bottom line is that it's hard to put a number on it, and even if you did put the correct number on it, the other person who isn't well-versed with rare-event probabilistics will misinterpret the number. And I'm assuming you can even put a number on it in the first place.
Basically, there are points in the chain you can't control and you may as well pray for a favourable scenario (after doing everything you can realistically do on your end given your resources, training, etc).
Image taken before a Carnage. Only the real ones know about the Viper x Typhoon bloodbath at Anatolian Eagle.
Lumber Vun Pilots.
View attachment 857860
Yes - I heard PAF didn’t do so well in BVRImage taken before a Carnage. Only the real ones know about the Viper x Typhoon bloodbath at Anatolian Eagle.
Lumber Vun Pilots.
View attachment 857860
