graphican
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From the recent Obama’s visit of India and willingness to offer India beyond its weight, it is evident that USA has identified a strategy against China and is ready to execute it. USA needs India to rise and give China a local challenge, economically and above that, militarily.
But in India-China equation and desired balance, Pakistan acts as a “third arm” in support of China and against the India. India is not developed enough nor it has geographic advantage if China and Pakistan together pose it a threat. Therefore if India wants to get on par with China and Challenge it on the fronts it wants, it must deny China its third arm advantage. In any war-like scenario, India cannot afford to fight a two-front wars for multiple reasons. It not only lacks this capacity but such an incident would make India lose either or both territories disputed with China and with Pakistan.
But how can Pakistan be neutralized and brought to a point where it is neither a direct nor a substantial challenge? Solution for India lies in keeping Pakistan engaged in skirmishes on the western front which it has for several years continuously, but what is the next best thing to do once Pakistan has eliminated these terrorists across Afghan borders and is able to focus back on Eastern border with India?
A strategy which can keep Pakistan down and below a threat threshold would be that of an economic turbulence imposed as a result of direct military threat from India; something which India could impose at will and inexpensively so. Solution lies in implicating Pakistan in a terror incident and squeezing its trade and supplies by naval blockade. Pakistan's already weak economy would not be able to sustain such blockade and would have to offer India leverages, affirmations and given-ups which India would need. This would be something which India could repeat easily, inexpensively and by seen justified for doing so.
India already has capacity and much bigger naval squad vis a vis Pakistan. Under a post-terror situation, Pakistan would be forced by the west to give-in instead of confronting India.
The main objective of doing so would be to to bring Pakistan below a threat level. India cannot confront a head-on war with Pakistan and when it can, Indians loss would be far too bigger to recover and withstand Chinese future aggression. If Pakistan's economy stays under 4%, it would stay plunged into its ongoing energy, unemployment and infrastructure problems. Such a troubled country despite carrying Nuclear Weapons would refrain from indulging into a direct or indirect conflict with India. Thus the "third arm" will be incapacitated.
The most important point to note is that United State is willing and already helping India to gain influence in his region and is influencing countries which are siding with China. In case of terrorist attacks in Indian and a consequent Naval Blockade, USA can easily be seen putting its weight in Indian basket.
Mostly seen as a pretext, American think-tank has recently revealed consequences for Pakistan against terrorist attacks in India. Pakistan foreign office needs to raise a protest with United States for clearing grounds for a possible Indian action against Pakistan and warn that any backing of India on such incidents would lead to a full-scale war and possibly a irreversible nuclear conflict.
By: Graphican - graphican (@graphican) | Twitter
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Recent Developments on this subject:
But in India-China equation and desired balance, Pakistan acts as a “third arm” in support of China and against the India. India is not developed enough nor it has geographic advantage if China and Pakistan together pose it a threat. Therefore if India wants to get on par with China and Challenge it on the fronts it wants, it must deny China its third arm advantage. In any war-like scenario, India cannot afford to fight a two-front wars for multiple reasons. It not only lacks this capacity but such an incident would make India lose either or both territories disputed with China and with Pakistan.
But how can Pakistan be neutralized and brought to a point where it is neither a direct nor a substantial challenge? Solution for India lies in keeping Pakistan engaged in skirmishes on the western front which it has for several years continuously, but what is the next best thing to do once Pakistan has eliminated these terrorists across Afghan borders and is able to focus back on Eastern border with India?
A strategy which can keep Pakistan down and below a threat threshold would be that of an economic turbulence imposed as a result of direct military threat from India; something which India could impose at will and inexpensively so. Solution lies in implicating Pakistan in a terror incident and squeezing its trade and supplies by naval blockade. Pakistan's already weak economy would not be able to sustain such blockade and would have to offer India leverages, affirmations and given-ups which India would need. This would be something which India could repeat easily, inexpensively and by seen justified for doing so.
India already has capacity and much bigger naval squad vis a vis Pakistan. Under a post-terror situation, Pakistan would be forced by the west to give-in instead of confronting India.
The main objective of doing so would be to to bring Pakistan below a threat level. India cannot confront a head-on war with Pakistan and when it can, Indians loss would be far too bigger to recover and withstand Chinese future aggression. If Pakistan's economy stays under 4%, it would stay plunged into its ongoing energy, unemployment and infrastructure problems. Such a troubled country despite carrying Nuclear Weapons would refrain from indulging into a direct or indirect conflict with India. Thus the "third arm" will be incapacitated.
The most important point to note is that United State is willing and already helping India to gain influence in his region and is influencing countries which are siding with China. In case of terrorist attacks in Indian and a consequent Naval Blockade, USA can easily be seen putting its weight in Indian basket.
Mostly seen as a pretext, American think-tank has recently revealed consequences for Pakistan against terrorist attacks in India. Pakistan foreign office needs to raise a protest with United States for clearing grounds for a possible Indian action against Pakistan and warn that any backing of India on such incidents would lead to a full-scale war and possibly a irreversible nuclear conflict.
By: Graphican - graphican (@graphican) | Twitter
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Recent Developments on this subject:
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