TheTallGuy
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Dear Eagle..please explain a little for idiot like me..I will try to pen my opinion based upon possible thought process in regard to 9 locked IAF jets.
- IAF violated Pakistan Airspace on 26th but wasn't shot?
- Almost every sane mind argues and most knew as well that Modi pulled a political show after Pulwama. Pulwama was done by a Kashmiri obtaining all the everything for attack from within Indian Occupied Kashmir. I am sure and pattern tells as well that R&AW deliberately let him to have all arrangements & strike, in view of long term gains to help Modi win elections which proved by Modi's reaction. Modi immediately blamed Pakistan and pulled a stunt with the help of Military & Indian Intelligence. IAF plan was to violate the airspace & shoot weapons but cleverly done so within the parameters of ROEs so not to get shot within Pakistan hence, dropped their payload far from target and totally opposed to the firing rules & parameters. IAF knew very well that how much time it has to turn back and save their lives. PAF didn't take a shot under the same ROEs but that couldn't be left without response.
- Beating the IAF so will not look back; scenario:
- Does that made any sense despite shooting down couple of their jets? They in return came up with awarding Abhinandan with Veer Chakra and then went on to award rest of the fleet with Dodgers designation and now, just heard that the lady who was supposed to save Abhinandan through RT is being awarded for yet another medal. So, whether you shoot them all or one; doesn't matter to an enemy like Modi that has no self respect.
- Shooting down all the fleet so Modi wouldn't re-commit:
- Can anyone believe that Modi will sit down? an extremist like him will never stop unless total wipe-out as such mentality has no intellect to read about after math but keeps insisting upon bloodshed even it has already costed him fairly. Had it been a self respecting & dignified rival; would have tone down immediately and accepted the white wash even if it was a single jet on that day.
- The consequences of shooting down 9 of them:
- DG ISPR said it clearly that we retained the escalation ladder. That is the key why Pakistan didn't want to escalate. Pakistan reads the enemy, knew his mentality & the game of trap being played to pull the country into a full blown war. Even if it wasn't a full blown war but a conflict apparently was planned in a manner that would have bleed Pakistan economically more & more when situation was already worst. Once conflict and threat arose; the country would have witnessed investors shying away, economy coming down & a risk to the investment in shape of CPEC and other projects. Modi mindset is not about peace if beaten black & blue because a man with moral will immediately realize his loss i.e. a fighter jet was enough that too with an Indian pilot being captured and returned for peace. It doesn't matter to RSS fascists.
- If shooting down 2 or 9 doesn't matter, why not to shoot them all at first?
- We argue that shooting them 2 or 9, if didn't make any difference then why not to do so? Here, on this point I think that it would have caused more damage & PR loss to Pakistan as compare to India. In-fact Modi trap would have won diplomatically due to our own short comings in foreign relations. Pakistan would have been painted as an aggressor & offender as well. given the odds against Pakistan, one can calculate that why the leadership choose to remain with plan, SOPs & ROEs. Had it been the full blown war; history speaks volume that how far PAF can go then. I can say for Pakistan that we don't care about what an enemy will do. Military calculates everything with benefits & losses. The plan will be always be like to have an upper hand without a single loss. An escalation could result in civilian loss having a madman like Modi. It wasn't because PAF didn't want to or couldn't do so but these decisions are made in view of everything. They are not some bunch of street gangs looking to live this days, having no home or any worry about the people back at home. A civilian loss into the hands of enemy is in-fact a loss no less than of Military hence, one has to save it from happening by one way or another. Pakistan retaliated and also saved from losses which was result of best planning as such and calculating all the aspects. Emotions aren't strategical tactics but only necessary during action. Plannings are based upon best possible, safe & impacting tactics.
- Pakistan choose to send a message, show strength & capability and retain escalation ladder?
- We know that Pakistan was retaliating against Indian violation of LoC, Pakistani Airspace & killings our two trees adding an unlucky crow. Pakistan could have erased all the targets in direct hit rather, choose to convey it that Modi may be pulling for something to help him win Election but we mean serious business and it could be them next time. They got the message, though. Then PAF only choose to shoot one fighter that was threatening PAF strike package and the one who violated our airspace. I am saying again that if IAF could have crossed the border with all the squadrons; would have been coming down like rain. Nobody should forget that whole package on that day with fighter sweep, CAP & strike role. The plan was based upon the maximum & possible response of India. We didn't shoot their fighters within Indian Airspace because we didn't want to escalate things neither to be called as aggressors nor to harm our progress. Pakistan knew the plan that in-case going a bit out of rules, will definitely help the so-called world police to come after us. Know the consequences because it is not some cow boy movie. Having a demoralized and confidently shameless rival, is a threat not just for us but the whole region. Less beating, the more mix of pity & thoughts so a fascist & warmonger shouldn't go suicidal. PAF can easily provide every single proof including all the ground targets, the MKI and losses of India but the things is that the message is delivered and not to make a madman like Modi to go suicidal in view of our position & progress of nation which needed time with peace. Any action warranting a long escalation or a full blown war could have cost us more. Not to forget the disrupt Easter Border where India was fully in control of Kabul and could have used anything. Iran sector was already hot in view of US aggression or conflict arising.
- Whether that was a full blown war or not?
- These retaliations & operations are not full blown war. Both the countries, Pakistan & India knew it well. There are certain levels & steps and happenings before a full blown war otherwise the rest of the world is coming after you and that is a written, settled & understood law. Operation Swift Retort was a limited scale conflict to prove capability, courage, skills & safety of Pakistan. There is a huge difference between a conflict as such & full blown war. Had it been not the case; the whole world would have been fighting till date for one reason or another. I thanks ALMIGHTY when I see that people like Modi are not in power corridors & decision makers of Pakistan. It is indeed a relief that short sighted & reactionary people aren't dealing top of the affairs within Civil or Military establishment. The concerned decision makers are fully aware of everything, best possible steps and the traps being set every other day against Pakistan.
what would be the result in case of escalation ladder if "Wng Cmd.Abhinandon Vertheman" was killed in action inside Azad Kashmir with MiG-21BISON? should that give "Escalation ladder" Away? would that be of grave consequence? would that make India fire Brahmos? and in return we would nuke them as per "Supposed" escalation Ladder.
If what is implied in the scenarios you have posted...why need a fighter sweep if Strike Package did not intrude LOC? no body even 16 x Su-30MKIs at the border would be able to stop SOWs landing in rajouri or narian.
You need fighter sweep to clear the airspace for 100% bombs on target "which was the mission" and if you tell me 4 x aircraft standing CAP was not a threat to be shot at...then what else would be for Fighter sweep.
I have been given impression that pilots were on-leash what to shoot and what not to shoot..do i understand it properly