indushek
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I have heard a alternate theory in last few days
America is stuck in Ukraine, supporting them against Russian Invasion. Weapon stockpiles of Europe and America are drying out, not withstanding the money minting done by US MIC who take funds from European allies to supply weapons to Ukraine on behalf of the 'alliance'.
In the backdrop of above scenario in world, which has affected every country on planet, there is said to be a silent agreement between US and China. China will keep Putin on leash to not go to town on Ukraine, and in return US will make noises but not hamper China's progress on certain key fronts like Taiwan and India.
Why should China accept a future agreement, which can always be reneged by US later? Cause it helps their own goals, of keeping Russian weak and dependent on them if not the other goals of theirs which in itself is a invaluable gain for them to make it to the top with no challenger but US.
Proponents of this theory, point to few recent incidents where the Wagner group threw a tantrum at Putin, and then the silence of Putin even when Kremlin was attacked. In a way this theory doesn't sound outlandish, and this war going on for few more years is invaluable for Chinese. A weakened and dependent Russia, a war weary West will let the Chinese get what they want strategically even if it involves kinetic means (vis a vis Taiwan and India).
Pakistan becomes important in this calculus, as it helps in pinning down India as a second front to worry about.
The Chinese never interfere in another country's internal matters, and their representatives speak very very carefully in diplomatic speak. So when the Chinese official who visited Pakistan says that they (Pakistan) should get their act together when it comes to internal stability, barely one or two days before chaos started in Pakistan, it can't be wished away as friendly suggestion.
Few more recent developing events, I have been noticing to support this argument. UAE is in Western camp as many will agree, and Mr Munir has not shown any interest in their mediation. Now the Saudis are in Pakistan to negotiate a deal, and their recent bonhomie with China is World renowned.
Given all the above, it is possible that Mr Munir has his hands tied down irrespective of his intentions for the country and Mr Khan. It also explains in a way, as to why a West that screams at the top of its lungs, when there is any minute supposed abuse of human rights, keeps quiet of what is happening in your country.
The Question is at what cost will Mr Munir achieve this internal stability, and what will these external entities extract as their rightful pound of flesh. I am sure even if West is letting the Chinese to have a run in Pakistan for now, being masters of double gaming they have options open to tilt the tables on Chinese at any point their hands are free of Ukraine issue.
I am only writing this, to see if anyone might agree with this theory and some of my observations.
