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No water for Pakistan from glaciers after 2060: UNDP

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Hyde

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No water for Pakistan from glaciers after 2060: UNDP


Updated at: 2054 PST, Sunday, June 13, 2010
No water for Pakistan from glaciers after 2060: UNDP ISLAMABAD: Pakistan is a water scarce country and according to United Nations Development Program (UNDP) report most of the glaciers will deplete in next 50 years and if the situation was not arrested immediately it could lead to catastrophe.

"Glaciers melting are an alarming sign and there would be no water from glaciers after 2060, so there is a dire need of taking active steps to take the challenge," said Chairman Pakistan Council of Research in Water Resources (PCRWR).

The need to initiate rainwater harvesting not only in urban areas but in rural areas is the immediate remedy to deal with the emerging situation, he said.

"Unless we want to avoid war on waters in future, we must preserve water for the coming generations," he said.

Water resources are shrinking at alarming pace, and the increase in population is also growing at high ratio, one can forecast the future water crisis.

Thanks to weather that rain tends to shower as usual and dying water reservoir again started breathing. This is a high time to preserve rainwater at any cost and with immediate effect.

In 1947, the per capita water availability in the country was 5,000 gallons per annum. Presently water availability goes down to 1000 gallons per person per annum.

Unless we turn towards draught like situation adaptation measures are essential to be taken before the time and for this purpose rainwater harvesting would be one of alternate solutions.

Rainwater harvesting is the gathering, or accumulating and storing of rainwater. Rainwater harvesting has been used to provide drinking water, water for livestock, water for irrigation or to refill aquifers in a process called groundwater recharge.

For the purpose one can initiate rainwater collection at grass root level, to make arrangements for water collection at our rooftops.

Rainwater collected from the roofs of houses, tents and local institutions, or from specially prepared areas of ground, can make an important contribution to drinking water. In some cases, rainwater may be the only available, or economical, water source.

Rainwater systems are simple to construct from inexpensive local materials, and are potentially successful in most habitable locations.

Roof rainwater can be of good quality and may not require treatment before consumption. However, some rooftop materials may produce rainwater that is harmful to human health. Household rainfall catchment systems are appropriate in areas with an average rainfall greater than 200 mm per year, and no other accessible water sources.

The pilot rainwater project has been initiated by the CDA in Islamabad at the compound of Faisal Mosque with the collaboration of UNDP and Pakistan Council of Research for Water Resources (PCRWR).

Islamabad is the first city to have a rainwater harvesting facility to re-charge the underground water table. CDA has planned to establish 20 more rainwater-harvesting projects in other locations of the Islamabad city.

According to Senior Director CDA, Water Management Directorate, Mr. Shahid Sohail, "Groundwater in Islamabad has gone 200ft deep, he is of opinion that due to exploitation of water its usage has been increased manifold and our lifestyle is also a reason for this water "downfall" he further explained that in the past we use to live in clay houses but now we live in cemented buildings, our streets and roads do not absorb rain water instead ten of thousand gallons of water go into different nullahas that ultimately drown into Arabian Sea.

He identified that countrywide monsoon "area-weighted" average rainfall is 137.5 m/annum and we can collect almost 250 cubic meter water, equal to 44,000 gallons by making special rainwater collection on rooftops spread over to 250 sq yards.

In Indian city Chennai groundwater went down from 3 to 7 meter deep causing seawater seepage into underground rainwater channels.

The rainwater harvesting methodology was proved a success that not only enhanced the ground water level but also pushed the seawater back from the aquifer.
 
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i think glaciers is the only source of drinking water iin pakistan. if the report is right than pakistan is in trouble. they need to find another source of water.
but one more thing india is building dams on the river after 2060 all will be not in the use.
 
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What was the population of pakistan in 1947 - Around 40 Million Present population is about 170 Million.

Pakistan's population was 35 million in 1947 and in 2010 is over 185 million.
 
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☪☪☪☪;928918 said:
Well I'd be dead by 2060.

My son will have to go through this. I love him too much to allow this to happen.
 
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Pakistan's population was 35 million in 1947 and in 2010 is over 185 million.

So Pakistan's Population has increased to over Five and a Quarter Times of the 1947 Population and the per capita water availablity is now One-Fifth.

Proof positive that India is not stealing Pakistan's River Waters.

Thanks
 
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☪☪☪☪;928918 said:
Well I'd be dead by 2060.


Well, that is in God's Hands.

However there will be at least 750 Million Pakistanis by 2060!

Cheers :cheers:
 
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Well, that is in God's Hands.

However there will be at least 750 Million Pakistanis by 2060!

Cheers :cheers:

Care to follow up that prediction with some statistics or logic perhaps?

Pakistan's population growth rate is falling. At the current rate, it will be 320-340M by around 2045. However, it is quite unlikely that even a doubling will occur due to the usual loss of population growth associated with increases in literacy and per capita income. If you follow the progress of developed countries and take into account population growth reductions as they went from under developed to developing to a fully developed nation, you will see my point.

Even at the current levels of growth, Pakistan does not reach the numbers you are talking about by 2060.
 
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Care to follow up that prediction with some statistics or logic perhaps?

Pakistan's population growth rate is falling. At the current rate, it will be 320-340M by around 2045. However, it is quite unlikely that even a doubling will occur due to the usual loss of population growth associated with increases in literacy and per capita income. If you follow the progress of developed countries and take into account population growth reductions as they went from under developed to developing to a fully developed nation, you will see my point.

Even at the current levels of growth, Pakistan does not reach the numbers you are talking about by 2060.

Pakistan’s Population in 1961 : 42,880,378.

Pakistan’s Population in 2010 (now as per Nahraf) : 185 Million

So, 185 Million / 42,880,378 = 4.3243276….

Therefore 185 Million X 4.3243276 = 800 Million.

Are these Statistics provided Logical enough for you?
 
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Pakistan’s Population in 1961 : 42,880,378.

Pakistan’s Population in 2010 (now as per Nahraf) : 185 Million

So, 185 Million / 42,880,378 = 4.3243276….

Therefore 185 Million X 4.3243276 = 800 Million.

Are these Statistics provided Logical enough for you?

No, but they are proof that you have no understanding of population growth rates.

Look here: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/fields/2002.html

Pakistan's current growth rate for 2010 is estimated at 1.513 by the CIA World Factbook. I have seen some estimates as high as 1.9% and I was actually using a 2% number to calculate a doubling in 35 years. So I was taking the absolute high end of the estimate and didn't even assume that there would be any reduction in the growth rate - which is false, because the growth rate has been coming down over the last 40 years. It was around 3.5% in the mid 70s.

So you are completely incorrect and your numbers are completely false. That said, we can move on now.
 
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And by the way, here is another population growth projection study which lists Pakistan at 267M in 2050. So much for your "estimate"...

Population Facts - Projected Growth (2000 - 2050)

292 million is being cited by the UN keeping in consideration expected improvements in population growth rate reduction. That is something not a lot of people are sure about.

I have been reading a couple of books in population growth and sadly our situation is really bad comparing to the rest of the world, and South Asia as well. Bangladesh and India have improved their population control programmes significantly, but ours is in tatters not because of lack of funding or institutional effectiveness but due to rejection of ideas on social cultural and religious factors (unlike Iran where the clergy promotes it). One study showed that around a quarter of those who were informed about necessary precautions and procedures and started using it have left them because of religious reasons, which is a very bad sign (I'll dig this report fro you). Contraceptive use has fallen as well.

Population growth rate and fertility aren't decreasing as we would like it to, and the trend isn't comparable with the world figures or the regional figures. We are performing bad here.

Read this while I try to get a copy of our official studies conducted by NIPS.

Also visualize it and see the magic of Iran.

http://www.gapminder.org/world/#$majorMode=chart$is;shi=t;ly=2003;lb=f;il=t;fs=11;al=0;stl=t;st=f;nsl=t;se=t$wst;tts=C$ts;sp=5.59290322580644;ti=2009$zpv;v=0$inc_x;mmid=XCOORDS;iid=phAwcNAVuyj0TAlJeCEzcGQ;by=ind$inc_y;mmid=YCOORDS;iid=phAwcNAVuyj0XOoBL_n5tAQ;by=ind$inc_s;uniValue=8.21;iid=phAwcNAVuyj0XOoBL_n5tAQ;by=ind$inc_c;uniValue=255;gid=CATID0;by=grp$map_x;scale=log;dataMin=0.855;dataMax=8.7$map_y;scale=log;dataMin=0;dataMax=1458024460$map_s;sma=75;smi=2.65$cd;bd=0$inds=i18_j,,a4at;i101_r,,,,,,;i103_b,,aIa1;i170_f,,araO
 
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people are geting literate and hence the growth rate is decreasing .. back in 1980s people use to have 5 -10 childeren but now that number is around 3 and 2..
Thanks to family Planing people are now getting awareness.!
 
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