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New Growth Strategy for Pakistan - Updated Draft comes out

ajpirzada

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By Ijaz Kakakhel

ISLAMABAD: The country’s future development and prosperity are centered on enhanced productivity, strengthened internal markets and innovative, community-led urban development.

In this regard the Planning Commission (PC) is working vigorously on making New Development Approach (NDA), on the basis of which the country’s development plans would be carried out, sources told Daily Times on Friday. An unintended consequence of the country’s policies has been the stifling of internal markets, cities and communities, which play a critical role in fostering productivity, innovation and entrepreneurship and ultimately promote growth, prosperity and development.

Under the new development framework, private sector should be the growth-driver in open market environment that rewards efficiency, innovation and entrepreneurship, while the government is the facilitator that protects public interests and rights, provides public goods, enforces laws, punishes exploitative practices, and operates with transparency and accountability.

Sources said the two key factors that have determined economic growth in the past are external resource inflow and public sector projects. The latter used to be mainly financed by the former. In the old model, Pakistan has excessively focused on public sector investment and producing labour with low-end technical skills. The NDA should now be based on endogenous growth, where the quantity of investment should be complemented by efforts to improve the quality of investments i.e., their productivity and efficiency. The private sector must drive economic growth with timely implementation of market reforms, which should promote competitiveness. Pakistani cities presently are configured as suburban clusters instead of being creative cities, which are locomotives of growth. It is essential for Pakistan to step up its efforts to produce high-end human capital. Promoting innovation and entrepreneurship should be the cornerstone of the government’s facilitation to private sector.

Small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) comprise of 85% of entrepreneurial businesses in the country. They employ approximately 78% of the non-agricultural labour force and contribute over 30% to Pakistan’s GDP and 25% of the country’s exports of manufactured goods.

Pakistan, despite having a huge market size, has very weak market efficiency indicators, indicating very low level of innovation.

Despite low cost of doing business in comparison to the regional economies, Pakistan is ranked 103 out of 125 countries in the global innovation index. Pakistani exports have long suffered due to a lack of product and regional diversification. Manufacturing supply chain is skewed towards production and assembly of goods that use imported inputs, intensively. Components of the supply chain, such as research and development, design, distribution and marketing, have long been neglected.

Creation of competitive markets is the starting point towards sustained economic growth. Free and flexible markets should allow businesses, which have run their course, to exit and be replaced by more efficient firms. Instead of providing incentives and subsidies to different sectors, markets should be allowed to determine optimal allocation of resources. Second, it is imperative that there are deep reforms, which limit the effectiveness of rent-seeking mechanisms. Third, a sound judicial system that ensures property rights and contract enforcement could go a long way in sustaining inclusive growth. Fourth, the triple helix system of promoting innovation should require universities, industry and government to collaborate for the promotion of new and marketable ideas. Finally, entrepreneurship should be incorporated in school curriculums at all levels of education. Institutions having practical facilities for young entrepreneurs need to be strengthened. Demand-driven approach for internal markets, starting with consumers and working back to link into supply systems with the producer by improving the quality and quantity of retail outlets — according to the NDA.

Government land in prime city center areas should be privatized and made available for mega commercial projects. Taxes, legislation and regulations should not penalise commercial developments, as is currently the case. Clarity in zoning and building regulations needs to be provided to allow for more and bigger warehouses and cold chain services. There should be focus on improving transport efficiency, while prioritising freight transport efficiency considering its role in linking up the entire supply chain network. Promoting openness and competition, e.g. bringing goods of international quality to consumers would promote innovation. Furthermore, competition in value chain development needs to be promoted. Free entry and exit of participants in the market (without special privileges or licenses) as well as a more liberal policy allows for mobility with greater fairness and competition for wholesalers thus, encouraging private investment.

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
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lets do some policy making......

what do you think of government selling its land to create space for economic activities...
what do you think of government unbundling railways into: rail tracks and signalling; station management; and services (passenger and freight) and then privatizing them all....
what do you think of government introducing '6th freedom right' for our aviation industry....
what do you think of government increasing the area to hight ratio for commercial plazas.....
what do you think of government introducing 'electronic signatures act' to increase role of ICT in offices.....
what do you think of government introducing PaCCS on all custom posts of pakistan......

all the presentations on various themes of NDA can be found here:
Presentations on New Development Approach


lets think... lets debate
 
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no comments anyone? if going through presentations is too much to ask for, then atleast comment on my earlier post. those questions are actually the reforms proposed by the planning commission.
 
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There is no count on how many schools have been closed.
No funds are available for post graduate studies.
No funds to available for running state universities.
Political parties are disturbing students by implanting fake students, in universities.
I even read today that many private colleges are closing down in Lahore.
 
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This is very interesting and I wouldn't have found it if it wasn't for you posting the link here. Thanks! I'll go through this in more detail and will share my thoughts... if I have any :-)
 
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This is very interesting and I wouldn't have found it if it wasn't for you posting the link here. Thanks! I'll go through this in more detail and will share my thoughts... if I have any :-)

yup.. its quite interesting. much of the reforms are very much a departure from what we have been doing in last 60 years. a rational private sector must support it.

will be gud to to hear you views
 
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Point No.1 in NDA should be as follows..

1. Ban zardari from ever running in elections again.
2. annex assets from all corrupt politicians
3. bring back the looted wealth
4. Use the above annexed wealth to pay of national debt
5. Open up investment opportunities.
 
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Point No.1 in NDA should be as follows..

1. Ban zardari from ever running in elections again.
2. annex assets from all corrupt politicians
3. bring back the looted wealth
4. Use the above annexed wealth to pay of national debt
5. Open up investment opportunities.

well first four things are to be done by the public which votes for these politicians.

and for the 5th point, yes this is where planning commission can show the govt how to do this. NDA slides are available on planning commissions website and i have given the link up there. u can go through the reforms and tell where they are going wrong.
 
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There is no count on how many schools have been closed.
No funds are available for post graduate studies.
No funds to available for running state universities.
Political parties are disturbing students by implanting fake students, in universities.
I even read today that many private colleges are closing down in Lahore.

Private sector works with the concept of demand-supply and profits why they are closing?? Can u plz elaborate on that??
 
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yup.. its quite interesting. much of the reforms are very much a departure from what we have been doing in last 60 years. a rational private sector must support it.

will be gud to to hear you views

The reforms are step by step process and they have to be customized to the needs of a particular economy.

But in my opinion FTA with china is a death warrant for MSME (Micro, Small and Medium enterprises). Now, ur MSME can't compete with cheaper priced goods from china.

Yeah every country/economy have its strengths and weaknesses and leather/textile in pakistan will try to brave the flood of goods from china but they will be find it tougher as china almost makes everything. So all in all not so bright future for ur MSME as they are in infant stage and facing a behemoth.

Same is with India we have big MSME but they are facing threat from china in Indian market itself but due to late opening of economy our companies have got established them self and in some area they simple outperform chinese.

The point to be noted is that our products are superior in quality but Indian consumer picks chinese products due to the fact that they are cheaper by 30%-40%.

As our per capita income is rising now consumer don't go for cheaper chinese stuff but buys Indian one for quality resulting in the sharp decline of chinese goods in electricals, electronics etc.

But our MSME have easy access to loan, tax breaks, some what govt. protection etc. etc.

So Pakistan Govt. have to provide tax breaks, low cost credit, protection, stable currency and incentives to MSME in Pakistan so they can survive and compete in this era of open market.
:pakistan:
 
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First of all Thanks pirzada for sharing this.... I am watching the presentations now... will surely comment afterward.
 
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So Pakistan Govt. have to provide tax breaks, low cost credit, protection, stable currency and incentives to MSME in Pakistan so they can survive and compete in this era of open market.
:pakistan:

this all is gud from a political point but not from an economic point of view.

tax breaks: what tax breaks? pakistan tax to GDP ratio is the least in asia. also more tax breaks plus subsidies mean increasing dependence on IMF etc.

low cost credit: meaning government will have to pay the banks to decrease their banking spread. again not possible for pakistan and unsustainable for any country.

protection: well our textile sector has always been productive but even today they are far from being innovative. they still depend on govt subsidy. so the question to ask is if protection of last 6 decades has really benefited our textile sector?
you can also take the case of auto-mobile sector which is heavily protected. but what have we gained out of it? only assembly plants at the cost of consumers.

stable currency: in short term this can again only be achieved through buying foreign currency. and we cant do that. we have to stop resisting the reality and allow the equilibrium exchange rate to prevail in the market.

and about MSME: well all the empirical evidence suggests that competition is good for growth and innovation. yes marginal insulation should be provided to allow them enough time to establish their foothold. however, this has already been provided through various barriers to trade etc..

and accept the fact China is the industrial house of this world. they have all the comparative advantage. yes they have produced cheapest of goods so far but now they are improving in quality as well. only comparative advantage which pakistan can expect to have interms of regional economies is interms of services sector which ultimately does benefit both industrial and agricultural growth.


lastly pakistan is not india. our geography, politics, and economic climate is very different and therefore what might be feasible or sustainable in india might not be true in pakistan's case.

regards
 
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